Predictions and promises monitor

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Authors
323
Predictions
1919
Verified
662
Came true
66%
Complex
52%
Confident
48%

Mark Feygin

As for foreign agents and these new legislative measures, this is certain, it’s 100%. I’ve said many times that foreign agents will be stripped of their citizenship, and I have no doubt about it. (In Russia.)
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Maria Maksakova

Their production cost is around $38. Anything below $38 and above $5 allows Saudi Arabia to earn well. A figure like $36-35 could be reached. If such a price is established, I think the Russian Federation could last a maximum of 3-4 months. Russia will face serious economic problems if the price of oil falls below $38.
Expected
#Oil #Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy
ru → en

Ezra Mor

There won’t be another Lebanon war because this is the last Lebanon war. The war between Israel and Lebanon.
Expected
#Israel #Lebanon
ru → en

Julian Roepcke

Everyone understands perfectly well that Russia will not stop there. Russia will go further. No one will say, “We’ve reached the borders of the areas annexed in 2022, and that’s it, we’ll stop here.” No, they’ll come up with some pretext, saying a buffer zone is needed or something else. That’s precisely why Ukrainians are now actively building new lines of fortifications in both the Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia regions.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
en

Mark Feygin

If British and American troops are indeed deployed there under an international UN mandate, you understand that they will never leave—they’ll dig trenches, settle in, and so on, whether in blue helmets or any other color. Moscow will never agree to this. Moscow will not accept a truce in the Ukraine war that involves a neutral buffer zone controlled by British forces.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #United Kingdom #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

The way he’s proposing to fly to Mars is impossible because of cosmic radiation, and no human will make it to Mars. They just won’t make it—they’ll die; everyone will die from the cosmic radiation.
Expected
#Space #Science and technology
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

It will remain occupied at first, but then we will definitely take it back, reclaim it, no question about it—there’s no other way. Sooner or later, Crimea will certainly be part of Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Maria Snegovaya

This is not advantageous for Putin at the moment. The situation on the front is good for him, and there is a threat to Ukraine that he will push further in the near future. But if such a freeze is reached, it will most likely be temporary because the U.S., Europe, and the West as a whole cannot provide Ukraine with a long-term security guarantee today.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Alfred Koch

None. She’ll travel around giving lectures at provincial universities. In response to the question: "What future awaits Kamala Harris?"
Expected
#KamalaHarris #USA
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Putinism, having survived this war, will become stronger, tougher, and more aggressive toward its citizens. After the war in Ukraine ends, the Putin regime will grow stronger.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Roman Svitan

Trump will work on lowering the price of oil, and he has the mechanisms to do it. I think the price of oil will definitely drop below 60 dollars—he’ll keep it somewhere around 60 to 50.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA #Economy
ru → en

Oleksiy Goncharenko

I think that sooner or later a warrant for Lukashenko will appear, if not for this case, then for something else. Lukashenko has done so many things that a warrant is inevitable. An ICC warrant.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

One of the ideas I proposed for Middle East peace, which should lead to the creation of a Palestinian state. Whatever Bibi Netanyahu and his supporters may say now, he himself understands perfectly well that this is unavoidable. The only questions are the timing, the format, and the nature of the Palestinian state entity.
Expected
#Palestine #Israel
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

This military economy is built like a bubble; it cannot avoid bursting. These are salaries not backed by increased labor productivity. These incomes rest on the fact that there are no people actually working. And these tanks keep rolling on, turning into scrap metal in Donbas, along with the missiles. In this sense, nothing is being produced—no new factories, no new enterprises. The economy isn’t developing; it’s swelling like a bubble. At some point, it will inevitably burst, but how, in what situation, and what that will look like, I don’t know. Talking about Russia's economy.
Expected
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Peace Seems Likely Everywhere...
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

There will definitely be a war in Moldova. Of course, there will be, and it’s frightening; it’s the actions of this Maia Sandu and these lunatics from the European Union that have led to this.
Expected
#Moldova #European Union
ru → en

Konstantin Sonin

I am confident that Russia will, for many years—decades even—have to pay compensation for the destroyed Ukrainian cities, industries, and energy systems, and will have to make significant concessions to return to international trade and cooperate with other countries, at least partially. This will happen under any American administration, there’s no doubt about it.
Expected
#Russia #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Sonin

I am confident that Russia will have to withdraw its troops from the occupied territories of Ukraine... This will happen under any American administration, there’s no doubt about it.
Expected
#Russia #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Slavomir Majman

I believe that sooner or later, Georgia will return to its path toward the European Union. And the West will start to forget what they didn’t like about the elections and the pre-election period there.
Expected
#Georgia #European Union
ru → en

Olga Romanova

Therefore, mobilization, as I understand it, is absolutely inevitable, absolutely inevitable. In Russia.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Deploying weapons in space, creating manned and unmanned space bases, and so on. Putting weapons into space is inevitable, unavoidable. This isn’t a science fiction novel; this is real life on Earth.
Expected
#Space #Science and technology
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The election of Donald Trump will probably inevitably lead us to World War III.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Right now, such a strike would be an unnecessary setback for Iran in the current context. Such a strike might even benefit Trump, who is fiercely opposed to Iran... I would say with a high degree of probability that there won’t be a strong response at this time. They may put on a show for appearance’s sake. The fact is, Iran itself and its proxies are in a state of disarray after all these Israeli strikes. Iran is unlikely to deliver a powerful strike on Israel despite the heightened rhetoric.
Expected
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Pavel Sebastyanovich

As for joining the EU and NATO, that will never happen. We just have to accept it—it will never happen. As long as this government is in place and this policy continues, it will never happen. Speaking about Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine #European Union #NATO
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Lukashenko, a man who has been in power for 30 years... I am firmly convinced that he will outlast Putin. Because, in terms of maneuvering skills—being practically in Putin’s back pocket, 1000 percent dependent on him—he still manages to create room to maneuver for himself.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Alexander Baunov

If Israel finds itself in a dire, hopeless situation, then, of course, the United States will enter the war on Israel’s side, just as it did against Saddam Hussein on Kuwait’s behalf.
Expected
#Israel #USA
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

I thought that the most likely development of the Russia-Ukraine conflict would be a shift toward a Korean scenario. But it seems the situation will more likely resemble the Israel-Palestine conflict, where there are periodic meetings, consultations, negotiations, and peace agreements, followed by Nobel Peace Prizes. After that, everyone starts killing each other again. And, as you understand, this has been going on for almost 80 years. Relying on any truces to fundamentally change the situation is no longer possible.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

The Kremlin will hold onto Ramzan Kadyrov until the very end... Analysts are correct when they say that the fall of Kadyrov will be a precursor to Putin's own fall. This will happen sooner.
Expected
#Russia #Kadyrov #Putin
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

Do not think that Margarita Simonyan’s future is cloudless. Many think so, but it’s a dangerous, heavy delusion... Long before the entire system falls, we will see the fall of Margarita Simonyan. I feel very sorry for her.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Yelena Veduta

I think the United States is not far off from eventually moving toward socialism.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Sergey Aslanyan

Russia is now a country of Chinese cars. The wave of Chinese will instantly recede as soon as the country wises up, stops waging war, and immediately regains the chance to lift the curtain and move toward Europe rather than Asia. The Chinese will disappear in that same moment. By "Chinese," he is referring to Chinese-made cars.
Expected
#Russia #China
ru → en

Sergey Aslanyan

North Korea has waited for its historic chance, growing bolder every second, and sooner or later it will go to war. In other words, North Korea will definitely attack.
Expected
#North Korea
ru → en

Sergey Aslanyan

It will last a little while longer, and after some time, it will be sold to the Chinese. This is because Ratan Tata has passed away. Ratan Tata had no children; he only had a German Shepherd. He divided his inheritance between his dog, his cook, and his butler. The brand will die, as no one knows how to manage it. Eventually, when it's on the brink of collapse, the Chinese will come and buy it. In response to the question: "What is the future of the Jaguar brand?"
Expected
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

It is evident that, as a result of Putin's rule, there will be a strong nationalist party, with its core obviously consisting of veterans of this war. Following Putin's rule, a significant nationalist party will emerge in Russia, founded on veterans of the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Leftist ideology began to retreat in the 21st century... In France, nationalists, patriots, Le Pen... will come. Implying that Marine Le Pen, or right-wing forces in general, will eventually come to power in France.
Expected
#France
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

A similar situation is unfolding in Ukraine right now. The choices aren’t great either. Ukraine is slowly moving toward authoritarianism. There’s already a propaganda campaign instead of a free information environment. The security forces are beginning to dominate as well. I think they’ll remove Zelensky from power, and gradually, security forces and intelligence services will start to take control.
Expected
#Zelensky #Ukraine
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

And it will never be in either the European Union or NATO, especially in the current situation. You’re not planning to accept Ukraine or Georgia, so you’re going to accept Armenia with a Russian base? Who are you telling these stories to? Armenia will not be in either the EU or NATO.
Expected
#Armenia #European Union #NATO
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I said from the very beginning that I think the operation will end with, well, basically a genocide of all those Arabs, and there will be none of them left at all—either they’ll be driven out or the entire population of Gaza will be killed off, and Israel will annex this territory. I think, in the end, that’s what will happen. In response to the question: "How do you think Israel’s operation in Gaza will end?"
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza
ru → en

Roman Svitan

At some point, we’ll be discussing how many Tomahawks we received, how they’ll be launched, and so on. That’s definitely how it’s going to be. We will get Tomahawks. But it’s important to understand that the Tomahawk itself isn’t a game-changer; it’s a missile that’s already half a century old. Ukraine will eventually receive Tomahawk missiles.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Yulia Navalnaya

If I come back to Russia, I will participate in the elections as a candidate.
Expected
#Russia
en

Dmitry Oreshkin

Of course not. If it becomes absolutely critical, he may be forced to proceed. But mobilization is the last thing he would do. In response to the question: "He (Putin) won’t go for mobilization?"
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Gennady Gudkov

A massive flow of truthful information is reaching Russia today, which the authorities are trying to block by every available means—and they’re failing. This alone already creates a huge foundation for the future, which I am confident will be normal, democratic, and free in Russia.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I believe that, given Putin currently has four sources for replenishing cannon fodder, there’s no need for mobilization. I think it’s unlikely to happen. Never say never—of course, it could occur—but I don’t see it happening at the moment. For Putin, mobilization is a negative move; it creates tension.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

If Putin is no longer in power, then the Caucasus will immediately, of course, separate, and that’s completely obvious. Separate from Russia
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

The International Criminal Court (ICC) has issued an arrest warrant for Putin, and this warrant will likely be expanded this year and next. This expansion will cover issues like systematic torture, imprisoning innocent individuals and coercing confessions, as well as prosecuting POWs. According to the Geneva Convention, POWs should not face criminal prosecution, as they are entitled to exchange and return home.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Kochetkov

This is as absurd as the discussions about creating nuclear weapons in Ukraine under current conditions… At this point, developing nuclear weapons is an entirely utopian idea.
Expected
#Ukraine #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think this will be one of Ivanishvili's justifications when he is removed from power and receives a sentence in absentia, a punishment. He will probably outlive Putin and eventually face punishment, perhaps even in absentia.
Expected
#Georgia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In Georgia, a revolutionary scenario is likely. The Georgian people are very emotional. At some point, when mere existence becomes truly dangerous for people, they will rise up and overthrow Ivanishvili. He won’t sit in prison; he’ll flee to Russia immediately.
Expected
#Georgia
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

I think no one doubted that Lukashenko would rule Belarus until his own end. He will not leave the office of president as a result of elections.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

They are ready to capitulate if it means avoiding nuclear war. For them, human life is more important than the idea of victory. I think if it comes down to a choice between nuclear war or surrender, they will choose surrender. Referring to Europe if Putin were to deploy troops, for example, in Lithuania.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Europe
ru → en

Gela Vasadze

I think they will cancel it. I think they will cancel it. In response to the question: "Do I understand correctly that they might cancel the visa-free regime for Georgia?" (This most likely refers to the visa-free regime with the European Union)
Expected
#Georgia #European Union
ru → en

Oleksandr Kharebin‬

It's not the first organization to dissolve. The UN will face the same fate... There was the League of Nations, and as for the UN, it's just a matter of time and the pace of its dissolution.
Expected
#UN
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

It’s fairly obvious that, like Putin, Lukashenko will only leave his throne upon physical death. For both Putin and Lukashenko, losing power is essentially equivalent to physical death or a long prison sentence.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Vladimir Pastukhov

A civil war in Russia is unfolding in a hidden form, and its transition to an open form is practically a foregone conclusion, inevitable. I am not thinking about how to prevent it, but rather how to win it.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en