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Predictions and promises monitor

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Authors
323
Predictions
1919
Verified
662
Came true
66%
Complex
52%
Confident
48%
Predictions Author Ranking
All Expected Expected soon New results

Ruslan Leviev

I doubt that such a decision will be made in the near future. Only if the practice of Russian drones or missile incursions becomes more frequent, and random civilians are killed on European territory. The answer to the question: "Will the countries bordering Ukraine shoot down Russian missiles?"
Expected January 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I think if it happens, it will be next year. They haven’t reached Pokrovsk yet. In response to the question: "When do you think the assault on Pokrovsk will take place?"
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

The stability of the Russian ruble. So, the range of 93-97—I don’t really see the need for it to reach, maybe touch, 98-99, but that’s unlikely. The ruble exchange rate will be 93-97 per dollar until the end of 2024.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Ruble #Dollar #Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Yevgeny Popov

I think that even before January, Trump will offer Russia an obviously unfavorable deal regarding Ukraine, which we will, of course, reject. Donald will shrug and, in his usual manner, announce an unprecedented aid package for the Zelensky regime and the lifting of all restrictions on missiles.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Vadim Radionov

I don’t share the optimistic predictions that the war will end this year. It seems to me that this process, this momentum that has been set in motion, will last a long time. But maybe a black swan will spread its wings, and it will all end quickly. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don’t think we will go through with it; I’m a skeptic in this regard. We will continue to escalate and provoke. Since the talks in "Great Yalta" are about reconciliation by the New Year and a ceasefire, I expect some major provocation from our side soon—something intended to disrupt these efforts. He implies that peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine are being prepared for before the New Year, and that Ukraine will derail them with a provocation.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

So far, there doesn’t seem to be any sign that the front will collapse. I see no grounds to think a cascading collapse of the front will happen. Nothing currently indicates that outcome. They simply don’t have the forces to make it happen… I believe we’ll continue to see this slow movement with some acceleration. In response to the question: “How do you think events will unfold on the Russia-Ukraine front over the next couple of months?”
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Grigory Tamar

I believe that in the coming days, some very unexpected and quite impressive events will take place on Iranian territory, which will fundamentally change the entire situation in the region.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Iran
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

The investigation won’t be long. It will be quick. I think everything will be wrapped up by the end of this year. Commenting on the situation where the Anti-Corruption Foundation accused Leonid Nevzlin of organizing an attack on Leonid Volkov and Alexandra Petrachkova.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I don’t think so. The inertia of the war over the next three months will carry it into next year. For the war to truly come to an end, we need radical solutions—either towards peace or towards further escalation. But those radical solutions are not there; we don’t see them. Response to the question: "Do you feel that the hot phase of the war might end this year?"
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

Right now, I would bet that the strike on Feodosia is just a warm-up, a training exercise, and that the main blow will target the oil terminals in Novorossiysk and Ust-Luga. Most likely, this strike will happen after the U.S. presidential elections, at the beginning of November, exactly one month from now.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Oil
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

Keeping in mind the military operations that Russia has conducted or attempted in the past, their intentions are generally clear; there is nothing particularly complicated about it, and I think it is quite obvious. Kupiansk is now becoming a city of key importance. I believe that, most likely, we should expect in the coming months, probably when it gets colder, and the autumn rains come to an end, a significant offensive on Kupiansk.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Evgeny Savostianov

So, ahead of us is the continuation of this series: Israel’s final showdown with the bad guys surrounding it. The U.S. elections are slowing things down… But after the elections, even before the final results are in—which could take weeks—I think things will move quickly. First, a war on Lebanese soil, and then strikes on Iran targeting the bases of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Iran #Israel #Lebanon
ru → en

Valery Solovei

Apparently, the personnel disposition will change very significantly by the end of this year. I think by about 75-80%, referring to the composition of the government, including ministers and the Prime Minister.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Vladislav Zhukovsky

I would be happy to be wrong and to see the Central Bank lower the interest rate... However, a 100% increase is likely to happen. I think it will happen in October, and then there will be another rate increase in December.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Michael Nacke

We've seen, and are still seeing, a lot of discussion about U.S. aid under the PDA, where roughly $5.8 billion is supposedly frozen and will expire in October, blah blah blah. In reality, it won’t expire—everything will be extended, mark my words, screenshot this tweet. PDA = Presidential Drawdown Authority
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Valery Solovei

The new prime minister is expected to be appointed before the New Year, to be precise, by December 15th.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I believe that peace is still far away. At the same time, I am confident that the war will end this year. I repeat my forecast: I believe that the war will end this year. I base this on my knowledge.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Where will Russia reach by 2025?... To Sloviansk, I am sure, it definitely will not reach... I am making such cautious subjective predictions.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

What is the year 2024? It's the elections in America in November. As for Ukraine, I don't know if they will be postponed or not... most likely, they will be held in some way.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

David Sharp

The wars in the Middle East will not end for a long time... and 2024 will be a year of war. Answer to the question: 'Will we see the end of the war in the Middle East in 2024?'
Expected December 31, 2024
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza #Hamas
ru → en

Ivan Fomin

You can write this down; I take responsibility for it. For the year 2024. Two more years like this, and then everything will warm up — and there will be good neighborly relations with Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. This is the current period, this is the situation. Everything will ease up.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Russia #Lithuania #Latvia #Estonia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Remember the joy of the Z-channels from the strikes on Ukraine's civilian infrastructure. Very soon, it will be replaced by outrage and wailing from the strikes of ATACMS on Russian airfields. Today's shelling has brought this decision closer, with or without the approval of the United States.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ivan Stupak

Right now, this will not happen... I don't see it in the next year or two. Response to the question: 'Will there be a war between China and the USA, China and Taiwan?'
Expected December 31, 2024
#China #USA #Taiwan
ru → en

David Sharp

I do not see a change in power in Ukraine, because trust in President Zelensky is quite high... I see no reasons for a change in power in Ukraine in the next 10 months
Expected December 31, 2024
#Ukraine #Zelensky
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

I am making a prediction that by the end of 2024, the first contingents will enter Ukraine... I believe that this is exactly how it will happen. About the French military contingent (possibly initially related only to military factories).
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #France #Ukraine
ru → en

Pavel Sebastyanovich

What will happen in 2024? Personally, I have pessimistic forecasts. First of all, I don't believe in any negotiations. I see no reason for Russia to sit down at the negotiating table.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

I don't see why anything should come to an end this year... They are definitely planning to continue fighting... Everything has been restructured for war. The war in Ukraine will not end in 2024.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

I believe that a window of opportunity for very serious negotiations and an exchange of all for all will soon open, in order to free thousands and thousands of Ukrainians from captivity.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Anatoly Nesmiyan

The closure of YouTube in Russia is happening gradually, but it is already clear that it will be completely shut down by the New Year.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Zelensky states that Ukrainian military commandant offices will be established in the Kursk region. Does this mean they are settling in for the long term? No. He knows very well that they will not be there for long.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Zelensky
ru → en

Igor Strelkov

Regarding the situation on the front: I am closely monitoring it. I consider the strike by the Ukrainians in the Kursk region to be a diversion. We should expect a second — main attack, in which they will likely deploy their remaining reserves and aviation (F-16s). Most likely, this will be in the direction of Crimea.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I think that there won't be enough time for any peace process to begin by the end of the year. This is more likely a question for next year.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

None of this will happen by the end of the year. Regarding negotiations for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

I believe that the current leadership of the Federal Penitentiary Service will change after this, just like the Ministry of Defense. Due to the hostage-taking at the Rostov pre-trial detention center.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Kasyanov

One and a half to two years. Answer to the question: 'How many years do you give this regime?' (Putin's regime)
Expected December 31, 2024
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

One of my close acquaintances says that it will be less than two years. I don't have that feeling. The answer to the question "How much time is left for Putin?"
Expected December 31, 2024
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Valery Solovei

Yes, they did nothing to him. We will see Yevgeny Viktorovich in Moscow next year. They did nothing to him. He is alive, healthy, and free." About Prigozhin.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Gleb Pyanykh

Europe will definitely refuse Russian gas completely within two years.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Europe #Russia #Gas
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Their next rate meeting is on December 20, and they stated that they will raise rates again if nothing changes. As you and viewers might guess, over the next two months, it’s hard to imagine what could cause a sudden drop in inflation, especially when everything is spiraling and inflation expectations remain high, with no change in fundamental factors. So, it’s likely they’ll raise the rate again in December. The Central Bank of Russia is expected to increase the key rate once more on December 20, 2024.
Expected December 20, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

In the Kursk region, we even have territory that is essentially occupied by the Ukrainian army... It’s clear that in the coming months, this occupation of Russian territories—undoubtedly shameful for Putin—will continue.
Expected December 16, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en