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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Russia

Authors
339
Predictions
2011
Verified
794
Came true
64%
Complex
60%
Confident
48%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Evgeniy Stupin

I'm still inclined to believe that he will resolve this issue somehow by the end of the year. Either he'll arrange some kind of temporary truce, or he'll go all out. Something will happen by the end of the year. You promised it in a day, but a year is already just around the corner. Trump will make some important decisions regarding the war in Ukraine by the end of the year.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

I think that when there's a worldwide trial over the rule of Vladimir Putin and his accomplices, Beslan will be one of the main arguments. And have no doubt that this trial will happen.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I think it will come to a victim anyway. The Russians will definitely do it. I don't know who exactly they will eliminate. I mean European leaders; I'm not joking. They will eliminate one of them.
Expected
#Russia #European Union
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

Right now it's difficult to imagine that this meeting would take place... A trilateral meeting, from my point of view, is absolutely unrealistic... it won't happen now. In response to the question: "Will there be a three-way meeting after all with Trump, Putin, and Zelensky?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Zelensky #Russia #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

I think it's a very good option right now to stock up on bucks. You can also take out a small ruble loan from the bank and convert it to dollars. I don't think the dollar will be much less than 80 anymore; I'm sure it won't, but it will be more.
Expected
#Dollar #Ruble #Economy #Russia #Economy of Russia
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

The Max messenger has become "national," meaning it will have to be pre-installed on every smartphone and tablet sold in Russia. Since Apple has officially left Russia, it does not comply with any Russian legislation, which is why it won't pre-install anything.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

While I don't have the gift of prophecy, I can tell you that if the war isn't frozen, they will capture less territory next spring than they will next summer. This is a recurring trend. They always capture more territory in the summer than they do in the spring.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

It was quite obvious that Kamyshevakha would fall in the near future... Sooner or later, it will definitely end up in the Russian rear. That's pretty obvious.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

Under Putin, this law will be neither abolished nor softened, from my point of view. In response to the question: "What are the chances that this law will be repealed or at least modified?" (The law on foreign agents in Russia)
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

One way or another, they will stop the war. He wants the Nobel Peace Prize. I think that, unfortunately, he will stop this war through a very unfair division of Ukraine, but people will stop dying, and he will be seen as a peacemaker. I think that's what will happen. It will be a very unfair, humiliating peace for Ukraine. He = Trump
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Of course, I don't expect any major changes from the Trump administration in the next 2-3 weeks. We will again see comments from Putin, Trump... I expect that Trump will simply back out; this is my personal opinion, assessment, and forecast.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

My very cautious forecast is that they will not occupy the Donetsk region up to its administrative borders this year—they won't. They = Russia.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

Let's not forget about the Novorossiysk port, which I think will become a very important target for Ukraine in September. Let's lock in this prediction of mine. In September, the Novorossiysk port will be in the news precisely in this context.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Oil
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

If peace is achieved, in the format that we can currently imagine, then Crimea will certainly be recognized as Russian. I simply don't see how the Kremlin could concede this on the part of the Americans.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Will he be removed from this list of foreign agents or not? My prediction is that it definitely won't happen quickly—not in a month, not in a year. Speaking about Sergei Markov.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Maxim Katz

In the foreseeable future, it will not happen, from my point of view. I don't know, I could be wrong. In response to the question: "Maxim, when will the meeting between Putin and Zelensky take place, if it happens?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Zelensky #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

I'm betting on Kashevarova. It's time to declare her a foreign agent. In response to the question: "Who is next among the pro-government people, what's your forecast?" (Referring to who will be declared a foreign agent next in Russia)
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Poor Markaryan. What a fool. Of course. There's not a single reason not to jail him. In response to the question: "Do you think he'll be jailed?" (Arsen Markaryan)
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Ilia Novikov

As long as Putin is alive, this war cannot end. It doesn't matter what Trump says, it doesn't matter what Zelensky signs. Putin needs the whole of Ukraine. And if he gets all of it, of course he won't stop there.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Parkhomenko

I think that this meeting will take place someday. At some point, we will see Putin and Zelensky in the same room. In response to the question: "How expedient and realistic do you see a meeting between Vladimir Zelensky and Putin in the near future?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Zelensky #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Parkhomenko

We will also see many countries joining NATO, and many forces moving closer to the Russian border.
Expected
#NATO #Russia
ru → en

Boris Zimin

Vladimir Putin will most likely be buried with honors. He's doing just fine.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

So far, the Central Bank has not announced a further rate cut. I think they will extend this rate at the next meeting. This is my forecast. In Russia.
Expected
#Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

The problem is that there are no sanctions that, once implemented, will have an effect on the front (in a matter of days)... In the coming weeks and months, the Russian army will not lose its combat effectiveness or its ability to advance. This is obvious.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Yes, I think the meeting will take place. There have already been too many confirmations, including official ones. In response to the question: "A meeting between Putin and Trump is expected. Do you think the meeting will happen?"
Completely came true
#Putin #Trump #USA #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I think the situation will unfold as follows. Today, I expect that even though the deadline has passed, Trump will most likely say something like, "Well, we did agree with the Russian side to arrange a meeting, and in doing so, we're signaling the end of the war, so why impose sanctions now?" That is what I expect will most likely happen.
Completely came true
#Trump #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Arti Green

My prediction is that by the end of the year, the kill zone will become insurmountable, and it won't matter how much infantry we have there. There will simply be enough to hold the front. The infantry won't be holding it; unmanned systems will.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Putin's entire demeanor shows he's not going to change his approach. Will Trump actually follow through on his threats or not? I remain in the camp of strong skeptics, believing it's most likely no. This will be limited to public relations noise. Referring to Trump's so-called ultimatum to Putin.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I really think Whitkoff's visit will be pointless and accomplish nothing; they won't agree on anything. Steve Whitkoff's visit to Russia in early August.
Expected
#Russia #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

And regarding the fact that many of the Z-supporters have started to rejoice "Finally, we're hitting the bridges, now we need to hit the bridges over the Dnieper River, for example, near the city of Zaporizhzhia". I believe this won't happen because there's very little point to it.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

He could become a legal, legitimate president of the Russian Federation because he served one term already and this would be his second. I think that's what Medvedev is aiming for. Remember this date, August 3, 2025, when Dmitry Anatolyevich Medvedev once again became the heir to the Russian throne after the deployment of nuclear submarines.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Win/Win

Trump will not impose sanctions on Russia this Friday, as Ukraine has agreed to continue negotiations. (Previously, Vladimir Putin hinted that Ukraine was being dissuaded from talks). The State Department has since made new statements, saying the US is interested in a "lasting, durable peace" and continued negotiations. This means the demand for an unconditional ceasefire has been dropped. Official confirmations are expected soon.
Completely came true
#Trump #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

What else can he do to stop the advance of Russian troops in Ukraine? I'm afraid he doesn't have any special ideas about that. I think that after the ultimatum expires, we'll find out that the "red line" has moved somewhere further away again. That's my prediction. Maybe I'm wrong.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

Tariffs on countries that consume Russian oil. India will, of course, be the first to suffer. I don't think these tariffs will be extended to China; that's my prediction. The Americans aren't going to quarrel with the Chinese over this right now.
Expected
#USA #India #China #Trump #Economy #Oil #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

So, we're waiting. You can place bets, everyone loves to argue. We can debate whether Putin will decide on the same massive bombings he conducted before August 10th. Those interested, write to me, and we'll debate.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

There's a very high probability that Putin will stop the war. It seems it won't be in 10 or 12 days, or by August 10th; larger timeframes are needed for that. But this war will be stopped relatively quickly. Due to Trump's ultimatum.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

Abroad, gasoline is getting cheaper, so it's becoming harder to get the damper (subsidy), and then you need to make a profit somewhere. Profit can only be made on the domestic market, so we expect the price of 95-octane to reach 70 rubles by autumn. In Russia, the price of 95-octane gasoline will be 70 rubles in the autumn.
Expected
#Gasoline #Russia #Economy #Economy of Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

A meeting between Trump and Putin in Beijing is, in my opinion, impossible; there's no substance to it. In my view, it won't happen. Answer to the question: "Is a meeting between Trump and Putin possible?"
Completely came true
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #China
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

Bet! I don't think you'll face criminal charges by New Year's. Dmitry Treshchanin won't have a criminal case opened against him before New Year's.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I don't think what's happening in Istanbul can be considered a step towards peace in any way. As for a high-level meeting, it won't happen in the format proposed by Ukraine. Russia won't agree to Ukraine's proposal for a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Zelensky #Putin
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

Well done, you finally did something decisive without waiting for the United States. They will definitely join the sanctions against Russian oil exports, I'm sure—whether it's in September, October, or November, it doesn't matter, but they will join.
Expected
#USA #Russia #European Union #Oil
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

A weakened Russia suits China as a forced, subordinate partner. Therefore, I don't think any war could happen between Russia and China in the near future. I think everything suits China today.
Expected
#Russia #China
ru → en

Sergey Boyko

I still think that Telegram will follow in WhatsApp's footsteps, but that's just speculation. WhatsApp will definitely be blocked, and Telegram most likely will as well. In Russia.
Expected
#Russia #Censorship #Internet
ru → en

Sergey Boyko

It certainly looks like it, that's exactly what's happening. This is part of the same pattern as the mobile internet shutdowns. I'll just remind you that Russia set a record for mobile shutdowns and the filtering of all previous services. I'd say this is precisely about building that very "Cheburnet," and as a resident of Russia, I'd slowly prepare for whitelists. I'm sure that if Putin maintains his health and power for some prolonged period of time—say, a year or two or three—we'll ultimately arrive at whitelists. That's when there's a list of what's allowed and everything else is forbidden. In response to the hosts' question: "Doesn't this look like preparation for a sovereign network - the Cheburnet?" (in Russia)
Expected
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I'm completely confident that at some point, Putin will try to strike the Baltic states. I believe he has many plans drawn up regarding Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia. Of course, he is unlikely to go for Finland, given his past bad experience and the fact that the Finns are more prepared to defend their country.
Expected
#Russia #Latvia #Lithuania #Estonia #Finland #Putin
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

I expect a decrease to 18%. Answer to the question: "What do you expect from July 25th, what will the Central Bank do?" (with the key rate in Russia)
Completely came true
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Alfred Koch

In 50 days... Siversk will not be taken, Serebryanka will not be taken, Kupyansk will not be taken, Borova will not be taken, they will not reach Zaporizhzhia. Russian forces.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

The ice is thin, but the Central Bank will lower the rate anyway—it seems they've decided there's no point in protecting Russians from inflation.
Expected
#Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

I'm confident the next step will be a ban on artificial intelligence. A ban on everything that, according to Putin, responds to your queries incorrectly.
Expected
#Russia #Censorship
ru → en