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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Russia

Authors
344
Predictions
2050
Verified
826
Came true
64%
Complex
60%
Confident
48%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Dmitry Demushkin

I've stated my prediction: they will choose a path soon—either they will carry out mobilization, or they will have to start peace negotiations. They can wait no longer than half a year.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

They won't be able to keep the budget deficit under 7-8 trillion, and they won't succeed. They will have so many expenses in December. And they will probably proceed as follows: they will finance part of the expenses not on December 30th, but on January 12th or some other day, and that will give them a breather... And this is the first dangerous game that will undermine the budget, because already in the first quarter, when they start calculating, they will show such a deficit that everyone will be shocked... They will certainly do this; I can practically bet on it. In Russia.
Expected
#Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

How is Ibragim Suleymanov doing? And now, judging by the charges filed against him, he has two counts of organizing murders. I don't think the investigation will stop there. My prediction is they will find new criminal cases... Ibragim Suleymanov will be jailed for decades; there is no doubt about that.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

Kozak is a fairly trusted figure for Vladimir Putin. Nothing will happen to Dmitry Kozak, I'm sure of that, just as nothing happened to Kudrin. I think Kozak will be somewhere at Kudrin's level.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

Literally almost every day, news comes in about nationalizations or simply the redistribution of business. You know the most famous examples. There are two options: nationalization, and the second option is declaring it an extremist community. Now they will start doing this routinely. My prediction is that they will put this into practice on a large scale, and we will see quite a few more extremist communities, besides the Nevzorovs, the owners of Kirieshki, and Lesta.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Ayder Muzhdabaev

My forecast is that the situation is approaching its climax. Call it World War Three, a hybrid war, or whatever you like. But the situation is approaching its climax. I think that the resolution will come during the first half of next year, or generally next year as a whole. Putin has already taken a low start. Drones across Europe—that is war... This will end with Russian ships being completely banned from sailing the seas; it will end with clashes with NATO. This cannot end with anything else, because Putin has decided to go all the way.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #European Union #NATO
ru → en

Ian Matveev

Probably not; it's very unlikely that Tomahawks will be supplied. In response to the question: "Will there be Tomahawks? How good are they? And what are the pros and cons?" (Will they be given to Ukraine)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Nikolai Korzhenevskiy

Returning to the Bank of Russia, it will want to see how this will affect inflationary expectations, so definitely until January 1st, no one will be lowering the key rate quickly. Referring to the key rate.
Expected
#Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Russia cannot conclude a truce without reaching the borders of the DNR and LNR. But what if it fails to reach them? There will be a political crisis, I think. Then the war will continue, and then they will start supplying Tomahawks, I think.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

Well, perhaps some very nominal figure, like Zhoga—meaning a 'desk veteran' who hasn't seen much fighting and clearly understands the party line. Naturally, no veterans of the Special Military Operation will be allowed into positions of power. The Kremlin would view them more as a dangerous, destructive force. In response to the question: "Will any SMO veteran be featured as one of the main driving forces in the upcoming campaign?"
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

What I'm sure of is, Putin won't go. The rating of United Russia is so disastrous that Putin cannot be associated with United Russia. As the list leader for United Russia in the 2026 elections.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #Elections
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

There will definitely be some military figure, someone who has an association with the SMO, and a positive one at that. In the 2026 elections in Russia, from the ruling party.
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I am 100% sure that Russia will deliberately provoke European countries with these seemingly accidental incursions. It won't be every week, but once a month or once every two months, hypothetically. I doubt one will be shot down eventually; as long as it flies on a tangent—just cutting the corner—they won't shoot it down. If they fly deep inside, then that's a different matter. In response to the question: "How likely is it that Russia will also troll the Europeans with its planes? And how likely is it that sooner or later one of these planes will be shot down?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #European Union #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Yes, they would. But I don't think it will come to that. In response to the question: "NATO is threatening to shoot down Russian fighter jets. Do they have the guts?"
Expected
#NATO #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

I'll stick with my opinion for now that the Chief of the General Staff will be replaced by the end of the year. Referring to Valery Gerasimov, the Chief of the General Staff of Russia.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Valeriya Ratnikova

Alla Pugacheva could face up to 5 years in prison for her remarks about Dzhokhar Dudayev... I don't think Alla Pugacheva will face a criminal case.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

There's a hateful reaction from pro-Kremlin figures, first and foremost for her leaving, for speaking very highly of Dudayev, and for speaking very highly of Gorbachev; for this, there is fierce hatred. Also, the statement that she will never set foot in Russia again. There have been proposals to list her as a foreign agent or an extremist. But I don't think that will happen. Speaking about Alla Pugacheva
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Is there a chance for 14%? In my opinion, there's no chance of that. There is a chance for 16% by the end of the year, but... Referring to the key rate in Russia, stating that it won't be 14% by the end of 2025.
Expected
#Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

There will definitely be a next time from the Russian side. Putin needs for the drones not to just fly over Poland, but to hit something there, to blow something up on the territory of Poland or another NATO country.
Expected
#Putin #Poland #NATO #War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Here we see Markaryan, who spoke out against the war... He'll go to prison; they'll put him there.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

For now, we're being saved by Trump's greed, in that he's willing to sell these weapons to the Europeans, but then he'll sell weapons to the Russians. I think it'll all happen just like that.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #USA #Russia #Trump #Ukraine
ru → en

Tikhon Dzyadko

Another round of sanctions is being discussed... The 19th sanctions package concerns a serious restriction on the issuance of tourist visas to Russians... I am absolutely convinced that such a measure won't be adopted.
Expected
#Russia #European Union
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Do you believe that Narendra Modi will give up buying Russian oil? No, he won't. Trump will be the one to meet him halfway.
Expected
#India #Trump #Russia #Oil
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

This SCO, as well as BRICS and Russia's customs unions, are purely bureaucratic inventions that won't play a role. They will not replace the dollar.
Expected
#Russia #Dollar
ru → en

Ian Matveev

How much longer will the war go on? What do you think, Yan? Right now, I would say no less than six months, no less than six months, and then we'll see. The war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Eidman

If Putin doesn't agree to this, the Europeans won't send any troops anywhere. That's because they aren't ready to go to war with Putin. If Putin doesn't give his consent, the Europeans won't send troops to Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #European Union #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Evgeniy Stupin

I'm still inclined to believe that he will resolve this issue somehow by the end of the year. Either he'll arrange some kind of temporary truce, or he'll go all out. Something will happen by the end of the year. You promised it in a day, but a year is already just around the corner. Trump will make some important decisions regarding the war in Ukraine by the end of the year.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

I think that when there's a worldwide trial over the rule of Vladimir Putin and his accomplices, Beslan will be one of the main arguments. And have no doubt that this trial will happen.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I think it will come to a victim anyway. The Russians will definitely do it. I don't know who exactly they will eliminate. I mean European leaders; I'm not joking. They will eliminate one of them.
Expected
#Russia #European Union
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

Right now it's difficult to imagine that this meeting would take place... A trilateral meeting, from my point of view, is absolutely unrealistic... it won't happen now. In response to the question: "Will there be a three-way meeting after all with Trump, Putin, and Zelensky?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Zelensky #Russia #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

I think it's a very good option right now to stock up on bucks. You can also take out a small ruble loan from the bank and convert it to dollars. I don't think the dollar will be much less than 80 anymore; I'm sure it won't, but it will be more.
Expected
#Dollar #Ruble #Economy #Russia #Economy of Russia
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

The Max messenger has become "national," meaning it will have to be pre-installed on every smartphone and tablet sold in Russia. Since Apple has officially left Russia, it does not comply with any Russian legislation, which is why it won't pre-install anything.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

While I don't have the gift of prophecy, I can tell you that if the war isn't frozen, they will capture less territory next spring than they will next summer. This is a recurring trend. They always capture more territory in the summer than they do in the spring.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

It was quite obvious that Kamyshevakha would fall in the near future... Sooner or later, it will definitely end up in the Russian rear. That's pretty obvious.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

Under Putin, this law will be neither abolished nor softened, from my point of view. In response to the question: "What are the chances that this law will be repealed or at least modified?" (The law on foreign agents in Russia)
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

One way or another, they will stop the war. He wants the Nobel Peace Prize. I think that, unfortunately, he will stop this war through a very unfair division of Ukraine, but people will stop dying, and he will be seen as a peacemaker. I think that's what will happen. It will be a very unfair, humiliating peace for Ukraine. He = Trump
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Of course, I don't expect any major changes from the Trump administration in the next 2-3 weeks. We will again see comments from Putin, Trump... I expect that Trump will simply back out; this is my personal opinion, assessment, and forecast.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

My very cautious forecast is that they will not occupy the Donetsk region up to its administrative borders this year—they won't. They = Russia.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

Let's not forget about the Novorossiysk port, which I think will become a very important target for Ukraine in September. Let's lock in this prediction of mine. In September, the Novorossiysk port will be in the news precisely in this context.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Oil
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

If peace is achieved, in the format that we can currently imagine, then Crimea will certainly be recognized as Russian. I simply don't see how the Kremlin could concede this on the part of the Americans.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Will he be removed from this list of foreign agents or not? My prediction is that it definitely won't happen quickly—not in a month, not in a year. Speaking about Sergei Markov.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Maxim Katz

In the foreseeable future, it will not happen, from my point of view. I don't know, I could be wrong. In response to the question: "Maxim, when will the meeting between Putin and Zelensky take place, if it happens?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Zelensky #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

I'm betting on Kashevarova. It's time to declare her a foreign agent. In response to the question: "Who is next among the pro-government people, what's your forecast?" (Referring to who will be declared a foreign agent next in Russia)
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Poor Markaryan. What a fool. Of course. There's not a single reason not to jail him. In response to the question: "Do you think he'll be jailed?" (Arsen Markaryan)
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Ilia Novikov

As long as Putin is alive, this war cannot end. It doesn't matter what Trump says, it doesn't matter what Zelensky signs. Putin needs the whole of Ukraine. And if he gets all of it, of course he won't stop there.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Parkhomenko

I think that this meeting will take place someday. At some point, we will see Putin and Zelensky in the same room. In response to the question: "How expedient and realistic do you see a meeting between Vladimir Zelensky and Putin in the near future?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Zelensky #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Parkhomenko

We will also see many countries joining NATO, and many forces moving closer to the Russian border.
Expected
#NATO #Russia
ru → en