Predictions and promises monitor

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#France

Authors
20
Predictions
26
Verified
6
Came true
83%
Complex
50%
Confident
67%

Denis Kataev

I want to be the mayor of Paris... there are no term limits there, but I’m not planning to serve more than two terms — I promise you that. Right now, Paris has a different election system. Mayors are not elected by the people; they’re chosen by the council of deputies... If I were elected to such a position, I’d want to abolish that system, because the mayor should be elected by the people.
Expected
#France
ru → en

Denis Kataev

Having lived here for a long time and having observed many processes, including political ones — particularly the case involving Sarkozy, which is ongoing and will soon result in a verdict — it is most likely that he will receive a real prison sentence. For the first time in French history, a president won't just be under electronic surveillance, but will actually go to prison.
Expected
#France
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think they will come to power. In response to the question: "What will happen with the French right-wing?"
Expected
#France
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

I don’t really believe that the EU and the U.S. will impose sanctions on liquefied natural gas from Russia, simply because the main company supplying LNG to Europe — Novatek — operates the Arctic LNG project in a consortium with a French company and a Chinese one.
Expected
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy #European Union #France #China
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

You'll see — something big is about to start in connection with the decision regarding Marine Le Pen, and it won’t be pretty. I have no doubt about it for even a second. The protests will be massive.
Expected
#France
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

It’s possible that France might want to send troops to Ukraine on its own. However, it’s unclear how they would be supplied there, and what would happen if the Russian army strikes French forces. In that case, Paris would find itself in a very difficult position — either start a war with Russia or quietly withdraw the troops and admit military defeat. Therefore, we’ll risk making a prediction — Macron won’t send anyone anywhere. All his statements are loud but empty political PR. Until the Americans authorize the deployment of European — and specifically French — troops to Ukraine, no Europeans will appear there.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #France #Europe #USA #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

France was one of the most friendly Western powers toward Russia as a whole, as a phenomenon. Now, in the French political class, sentiments are at their strongest that Russia is a long-term strategic threat. These sentiments will outlast Emmanuel Macron, who has two years left to lead France. They will 100% outlast him.
Expected
#France #Russia
ru → en

Alex Parker Returns

Pavlo de Dur continues to spin on the French bottle. Over a million channels and chats were suddenly deleted from Telegram. This is one of the most massive purges in the history of the messenger. I am sure that Pavlo will comply with absolutely all the demands of the French intelligence services, yet he still won’t be able to avoid punishment. All the best. By "Pavlo de Dur," the author refers to Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram.
Expected
#Durov #Telegram #France #Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Igor Eidman

Le Pen is far-right. The far-right in France has never been and will never be the majority in society. She might even win the first round, but she will lose to anyone in the second round.
Expected
#France #Elections
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Leftist ideology began to retreat in the 21st century... In France, nationalists, patriots, Le Pen... will come. Implying that Marine Le Pen, or right-wing forces in general, will eventually come to power in France.
Expected
#France
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

Permission to strike Russian territory with long-range weapons of Euro-Atlantic origin... I believe that this permission will be granted, that’s my prediction. Perhaps in a more limited, compromise form—allowing strikes with British-American Storm Shadow missiles and French SCALP missiles, but not with American ATACMS. Permission for Ukraine.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Russia #United Kingdom #France
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

He can remain in France, where he is not in any danger in the coming years while the judicial investigation is ongoing. Pavel Durov.
Expected
#Durov #France
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe with a high degree of certainty that Durov will grant access to Telegram. While in custody, Durov will agree to cooperate with the French law enforcement system, and let's be frank, with the French means with the American and all the others
Expected
#Internet #Censorship #France #Russia #Durov #Telegram
ru → en

Margarita Simonyan

What is the main point in the story with Durov? That everyone who is used to using Telegram for sensitive conversations/messages should delete those messages right now and stop doing so. Because Durov was shut down to take the keys. And he will hand them over.
Expected
#Internet #Censorship #Russia #France #Durov #Telegram
ru → en

Vision of the future

Most likely, Macron did not forgive Durov for his connections with the authorities of Azerbaijan, whom Paris accuses of organizing protests in New Caledonia. The protests were allegedly organized through Telegram. However, it is unlikely that Durov will become the new Assange. He will be interrogated, pressured, and then released
Expected
#France #Russia #Internet #Censorship #Durov #Telegram
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

I am making a prediction that by the end of 2024, the first contingents will enter Ukraine... I believe that this is exactly how it will happen. About the French military contingent (possibly initially related only to military factories).
Did not come true
#War in Ukraine #France #Ukraine
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

You might ask if he will send troops there? I don't think so... I am quite skeptical about Macron's initiative. Regarding the deployment of French troops in Ukraine.
Expected
#France #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en