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The second question is what will happen under Trump with economic policy in the U.S. I actually believe that his policies will lead to very serious problems for the American economy and will slow it down.
#USA #Trump #Economy

More than two years have passed, and there’s still no mobilization, nor is it planned—there’s no sign of it on the horizon for the coming months. In Russia
#Russia #War in Ukraine

Their next rate meeting is on December 20, and they stated that they will raise rates again if nothing changes. As you and viewers might guess, over the next two months, it’s hard to imagine what could cause a sudden drop in inflation, especially when everything is spiraling and inflation expectations remain high, with no change in fundamental factors. So, it’s likely they’ll raise the rate again in December. The Central Bank of Russia is expected to increase the key rate once more on December 20, 2024.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

I think that eventually, Nabiullina will be dismissed after some time. Referring to Elvira Nabiullina, the head of the Central Bank of Russia.
#Russia

Next week, they have no other option but to sharply raise the rate... Predictions are predictions. I think at least 3 basis points, which means the current rate of 19% will go up to at least 22%. The Central Bank of Russia will raise the key rate to a minimum of 22% on October 25, 2024.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

The prices for the most common 95-octane gasoline are being held steady for now, largely due to the fuel damper mechanism. My prediction is that they won’t be able to maintain this for long, and eventually, the oil companies will approach the government and say: "There is already a significant gap between the real (economically justified) price of gasoline at retail gas stations and the price we are holding back—let’s start raising it". I’m curious when exactly this will happen, but I suspect we’re looking at the beginning of the year. Prices for 95-octane gasoline in Russia will soon start to rise.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy #Gasoline

They're once again spinning unrealistic fairy tales... Now they want to convince us that they'll keep the deficit under a trillion rubles. In the three years of full-scale war, none of the Ministry of Finance's forecasts have come true. Our forecasts, however, have been accurate: they've exceeded all their modest projections, and nothing has worked out as they planned. This means that Russia's budget deficit in 2025 will exceed 1 trillion rubles.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

We bet with Michael $100 that military spending will increase by no less than 2 trillion rubles in 2025.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy #War in Ukraine

We are waiting for the meeting on September 13. There is no scenario where the Central Bank will start lowering the rate. In the best case, the maintenance of 18% is being discussed. I will take a risk and make a prediction: I think they will raise it after all. The Central Bank of Russia is likely to raise the key interest rate at the upcoming meeting on September 13.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

I believe that the upcoming year 2025 will be incredibly difficult for Putin. And at the current scale, he will not be able to continue the war.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin

I do not share the sentiment that the far-right has won. Overall, the AfD does not have such percentages in Germany, and in western Germany, they are closer to zero. They will not win at the national level. The Alternative for Germany will not win the national elections in 2025.
#Germany

I think she will win. Kamala Harris
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #KamalaHarris #Trump

Putin will get a breather, will resume and accumulate resources... and he will attack again. Putin will attack Ukraine again if a ceasefire is declared.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Technically, it will end with the defeat of Hamas.
#Israel-Hamas war #Hamas #Israel

Almost nothing. I think the question now is when he will physically finish his journey. They will get to him. Right now, they will try to make the situation calm down a bit, and then he will suddenly disappear from the radar. Response to the question: "What is left of Prigozhin?
#Russia

I am absolutely sure that China will not supply weapons. To Russia.
#Russia #China #War in Ukraine

Already now, at the beginning of the year, oil is below $50. And it is unlikely to become more expensive.
#Oil #Economy #Economy of Russia #Russia

I believe that it is absolutely certain that serious breakthroughs will be achieved. This is a matter of the coming weeks. The Armed Forces of Ukraine will make breakthroughs.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

As people's purchasing power declines, we will soon see a drop in housing prices.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy

Due to the closure of enterprises and the cessation of cooperation with international companies, there will be millions of new unemployed. In Russia.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy

And we will definitely see 200 rubles per dollar, 300 rubles per dollar... even in the legal market.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy #Ruble #Dollar

I am more of a skeptic. I will explain why there will not be a real military conflict... This possibility cannot be denied; such a risk exists, and it is very serious. I am not urging anyone to relax. I try to analyze all of this with a cool head.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine