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#Israel-Hamas war

Authors
27
Predictions
38
Verified
12
Came true
50%
Complex
75%
Confident
58%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Vitaly Dymarsky

I believe that Netanyahu will not leave the Gaza Strip until he receives full guarantees that it has ceased to be a hub of hatred toward Israel and as long as there is even the slightest threat coming from there.
Expected
#Israel #Israel-Hamas war #Gaza
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

I don't think this agreement will last for a long time. I believe there is skepticism about it even in Israel. Surprisingly, I think the Arab world is also skeptical about it. I believe there will, of course, be no peace in Israel.
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

I expect a ceasefire in Gaza. I think it could happen at the beginning of the year, maybe right after Trump’s inauguration, or perhaps even by the end of this year... It seems the sides will return to a freeze.
Almost came true
#Gaza #Israel #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I said from the very beginning that I think the operation will end with, well, basically a genocide of all those Arabs, and there will be none of them left at all—either they’ll be driven out or the entire population of Gaza will be killed off, and Israel will annex this territory. I think, in the end, that’s what will happen. In response to the question: "How do you think Israel’s operation in Gaza will end?"
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

Our goal is that by November 2028, when we are discussing the potential winner of the U.S. presidential election, we should have at least a 20 percent chance that this winner will not be dealing with ending the Russia-Ukraine war. It's quite possible that by then, we will still be addressing the issue of ending the Russia-Ukraine war. I believe, however, that the war in the Middle East will end sooner. The war in the Middle East will end before 2028.
Expected
#Middle East #Israel #Gaza #Iran #Lebanon #Hamas #Hezbollah #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

Most likely, it will all end up just being a freeze, as it has happened before. There will be some sort of middle ground compromise where Israeli forces, for example, will withdraw from most of Gaza, but may maintain a presence in a buffer zone to prevent new attacks by militants. The entire issue will be frozen under the pretext of restarting the negotiation process. I think this is the most realistic scenario right now. There will be a freeze in the war between Israel and Hamas.
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Middle East
ru → en

David Sharp

The wars in the Middle East will not end for a long time... and 2024 will be a year of war. Answer to the question: 'Will we see the end of the war in the Middle East in 2024?'
Completely came true
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza #Hamas
ru → en

Alfred Koch

According to the finance minister's assessment, the war will last until the end of February... if there is no escalation and if Hezbollah does not come from the North... Israel will manage with Hamas and Gaza in the remaining two months - January and February. That's how I, and not just I, view this war.
Did not come true
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas #Gaza
ru → en

Alfred Koch

No, it won't be as prolonged. In response to the question: "2023 is another war that started with Hamas's attack on Israel... will it be as prolonged as ours?" (like the war in Ukraine)
Did not come true
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe the conflict in Israel will come to an end. I mean in southern Israel, in the Gaza Strip. I think they will deal with Hamas... it will be over in January-February, there will be no difference. But when they say that they will be fighting for years – that won't happen.
Did not come true
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas #Gaza
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Do we have to wait a whole year? Netanyahu won't last that long, believe me, that's for sure. In response to Nikita Vasilenko's remark: "Well, Netanyahu might wait for Trump's return."
Did not come true
#Israel #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

Events in the Middle East can certainly impact the market, and in the short term, they will likely have an effect, but probably not for very long and not in a very severe way. Israel's war against Hamas may affect oil prices, but only for a short period and not significantly.
Expected
#Oil #Economy #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

There are talks that Iran threatens to start a war if Israel begins a military operation in the Gaza Strip. If a war does start, Israel will wipe Iran and its army off the face of the earth in a matter of days. They won't even need to conduct a ground operation for that.
Expected
#Israel #Iran #Israel-Hamas war #Gaza
ru → en

Arti Green

I believe that Israel will indeed carry out this ground operation. It will be very slow. That's my prediction – it will be very slow. This is due to the fact that the most valuable asset in the Israeli army is its soldiers, and they will take care to protect them.
Completely came true
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas #Gaza
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I think negotiations are underway regarding the hostages... I believe that this will not be successful. Hamas will not release these people. They will not release them.
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Hamas #Israel
ru → en

Arkady Babchenko

I assure you, soon there will be "mangal" on the Merkava tanks. "Mangal" refers to a type of protective grid or cage installed on tanks to defend against drone attacks and anti-tank missiles.
Completely came true
#Israel #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Arkady Babchenko

I believe that this time the existence of the Gaza Strip will be reduced to zero... There will be no more Gaza Strip... In what form, I do not know... There will be complete Israeli control, the Israeli army... there will be no autonomy there. I have no doubts that there will be no more Gaza Strip.
Expected
#Gaza #Israel-Hamas war #Hamas #Israel
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

I have a feeling that the leadership of Hamas will simply not exist; the people who made those decisions will not be alive within at most few months.
Completely came true
#Israel-Hamas war #Hamas #Israel
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

A week for the attempt to free the hostages. Two weeks for the complete elimination of Hamas. And the fourth week – well, to address the issue with the sponsors... a month. Regarding the timeline of Israel's war against Hamas.
Did not come true
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas
ru → en

Yurii Romanenko

Hamas can significantly change the geopolitical landscape in this way if Israel does not completely defeat them. And I think it's unlikely that Israel will be able to completely destroy them, because it will require an operation that involves huge resources, and they will need to enter the Gaza Strip and clear everything out...
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas #Gaza
ru → en