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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Ukraine

Authors
263
Predictions
1269
Verified
550
Came true
65%
Complex
61%
Confident
51%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Maksim Shevchenko

What international contingent forces will be introduced into Ukraine after the signing of peace agreements. I have no doubt about this.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I think that at some stage, Ukraine will still receive Tomahawks or some analog of Tomahawks, like Barracuda missiles.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I believe it is zero. I don't see any such chances for a freeze in the war. There are two and a half months left until the New Year. No, I consider it impossible. Answer to the question: "What do you think is the chance of the war ending before the New Year?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

I think one could choose the option "will give in the coming days". Will Trump give Tomahawks to Ukraine? The four options are: 1) Yes, will give in the coming days 2) Yes, but in months, or even years 3) Will promise, but won't give 4) Won't give and will stop promising. Which option would you choose, Yury Evgenyevich?
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Trump #USA #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Absolutely, and, of course, the Tomahawks will appear. That's my prediction. The US will transfer Tomahawks to Ukraine)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Maxim Katz

I believe so, yes, I believe Putin is currently at war. The Baltics look like the obvious next step. In response to the clarifying question: "If Ukraine capitulates, will Putin definitely start a war somewhere else?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ekaterina Kotrikadze

A person who spoke such words about Ukrainians and Ukraine, I assume, would never be able to get even 1% in an honest election. Arestovych
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I can say for my part that you can have no doubt about the Tomahawks; the question is how effective they will be, when, and how many. As for Tomahawks, this is a more than realistic scenario. The US will transfer Tomahawks to Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Russia
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

Alexei, well, I don't believe in the Tomahawks. Even Biden said that Tomahawks will only be supplied if Putin launches a nuclear strike. The US will not transfer Tomahawks to Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

Probably not; it's very unlikely that Tomahawks will be supplied. In response to the question: "Will there be Tomahawks? How good are they? And what are the pros and cons?" (Will they be given to Ukraine)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Russia cannot conclude a truce without reaching the borders of the DNR and LNR. But what if it fails to reach them? There will be a political crisis, I think. Then the war will continue, and then they will start supplying Tomahawks, I think.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I'll make a prediction: at some point, the percentage of Shahed interceptions by drones will be 40-50%, no less.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

For now, we're being saved by Trump's greed, in that he's willing to sell these weapons to the Europeans, but then he'll sell weapons to the Russians. I think it'll all happen just like that.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #USA #Russia #Trump #Ukraine
ru → en

Ian Matveev

How much longer will the war go on? What do you think, Yan? Right now, I would say no less than six months, no less than six months, and then we'll see. The war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Eidman

If Putin doesn't agree to this, the Europeans won't send any troops anywhere. That's because they aren't ready to go to war with Putin. If Putin doesn't give his consent, the Europeans won't send troops to Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #European Union #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Evgeniy Stupin

I'm still inclined to believe that he will resolve this issue somehow by the end of the year. Either he'll arrange some kind of temporary truce, or he'll go all out. Something will happen by the end of the year. You promised it in a day, but a year is already just around the corner. Trump will make some important decisions regarding the war in Ukraine by the end of the year.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

Right now it's difficult to imagine that this meeting would take place... A trilateral meeting, from my point of view, is absolutely unrealistic... it won't happen now. In response to the question: "Will there be a three-way meeting after all with Trump, Putin, and Zelensky?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Zelensky #Russia #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

While I don't have the gift of prophecy, I can tell you that if the war isn't frozen, they will capture less territory next spring than they will next summer. This is a recurring trend. They always capture more territory in the summer than they do in the spring.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

It was quite obvious that Kamyshevakha would fall in the near future... Sooner or later, it will definitely end up in the Russian rear. That's pretty obvious.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Win/Win

A fake story has been spread about a supposedly planned meeting of Trump's associates in Europe, allegedly with both Trump and Zelensky participating. This is all being done to hijack the agenda being dictated by the summit in China. There won't be any meeting in Europe. At least not with Trump.
Almost came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Trump #Zelensky #European Union
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

One way or another, they will stop the war. He wants the Nobel Peace Prize. I think that, unfortunately, he will stop this war through a very unfair division of Ukraine, but people will stop dying, and he will be seen as a peacemaker. I think that's what will happen. It will be a very unfair, humiliating peace for Ukraine. He = Trump
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Of course, I don't expect any major changes from the Trump administration in the next 2-3 weeks. We will again see comments from Putin, Trump... I expect that Trump will simply back out; this is my personal opinion, assessment, and forecast.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

My very cautious forecast is that they will not occupy the Donetsk region up to its administrative borders this year—they won't. They = Russia.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

Let's not forget about the Novorossiysk port, which I think will become a very important target for Ukraine in September. Let's lock in this prediction of mine. In September, the Novorossiysk port will be in the news precisely in this context.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Oil
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

If peace is achieved, in the format that we can currently imagine, then Crimea will certainly be recognized as Russian. I simply don't see how the Kremlin could concede this on the part of the Americans.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Maxim Katz

In the foreseeable future, it will not happen, from my point of view. I don't know, I could be wrong. In response to the question: "Maxim, when will the meeting between Putin and Zelensky take place, if it happens?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Zelensky #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ilia Novikov

As long as Putin is alive, this war cannot end. It doesn't matter what Trump says, it doesn't matter what Zelensky signs. Putin needs the whole of Ukraine. And if he gets all of it, of course he won't stop there.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Parkhomenko

I think that this meeting will take place someday. At some point, we will see Putin and Zelensky in the same room. In response to the question: "How expedient and realistic do you see a meeting between Vladimir Zelensky and Putin in the near future?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Zelensky #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

The problem is that there are no sanctions that, once implemented, will have an effect on the front (in a matter of days)... In the coming weeks and months, the Russian army will not lose its combat effectiveness or its ability to advance. This is obvious.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Roman Tsymbaliuk

Our president is thinking about the elections, and he's thinking about them too early, and he thinks he has a chance to be re-elected. And because he is thinking not about the war, but about the elections, he will lose the elections regardless, if he lives to see them. Speaking about Zelensky.
Expected
#Zelensky #Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Arti Green

My prediction is that by the end of the year, the kill zone will become insurmountable, and it won't matter how much infantry we have there. There will simply be enough to hold the front. The infantry won't be holding it; unmanned systems will.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

And regarding the fact that many of the Z-supporters have started to rejoice "Finally, we're hitting the bridges, now we need to hit the bridges over the Dnieper River, for example, near the city of Zaporizhzhia". I believe this won't happen because there's very little point to it.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

What else can he do to stop the advance of Russian troops in Ukraine? I'm afraid he doesn't have any special ideas about that. I think that after the ultimatum expires, we'll find out that the "red line" has moved somewhere further away again. That's my prediction. Maybe I'm wrong.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

So, we're waiting. You can place bets, everyone loves to argue. We can debate whether Putin will decide on the same massive bombings he conducted before August 10th. Those interested, write to me, and we'll debate.
Did not come true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

There's a very high probability that Putin will stop the war. It seems it won't be in 10 or 12 days, or by August 10th; larger timeframes are needed for that. But this war will be stopped relatively quickly. Due to Trump's ultimatum.
Did not come true
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I don't think what's happening in Istanbul can be considered a step towards peace in any way. As for a high-level meeting, it won't happen in the format proposed by Ukraine. Russia won't agree to Ukraine's proposal for a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Zelensky #Putin
ru → en

Alfred Koch

In 50 days... Siversk will not be taken, Serebryanka will not be taken, Kupyansk will not be taken, Borova will not be taken, they will not reach Zaporizhzhia. Russian forces.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Many researchers suggest that Russia has a plan to move further towards the village of Velykyi Burluk... But by the end of summer, no, that's too far, it's beyond Russia's capabilities right now.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

In September, when these 50 days are up, it will be clear that no Pokrovsks have been taken, Konstantinovka and Druzhkivka haven't been taken, Sloviansk and Kramatorsk haven't been taken, and there's no buffer zone in the Sumy region.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

To be fair, regarding Russia's much-vaunted 1,000 strikes per day—if they are achieved, and they most likely will be... Russia will be able to launch 1,000 drones at Ukraine simultaneously.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergei Markov

The German Chancellor stated that Russia must pay 500 billion euros to Ukraine. And then Russia can ask for the 200 billion euros frozen in the EU to be returned to them. Hmm. By the way, in that case, they wouldn't give back the 200 billion euros for anything. They'd find something to fault.
Expected
#Russia #Ukraine #Germany #European Union #Economy
ru → en