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I've become convinced that a probable year for an invasion of Taiwan used to be considered 2027. But now, I think it will be 2029 at the earliest. This is because it shouldn't happen while Trump is in office, so he can say, "This war wouldn't have happened on my watch."
#Taiwan #China #Trump

They won't seize it. It will agree to some kind of slow integration on its own, like Hong Kong. In response to the comment: "If Taiwan is captured..."
#Taiwan #China

I think no, they likely won't attack. The US will certainly get involved. Answer to the question: "Do you think China will attack Taiwan?"
#Taiwan #China #USA

Theoretically, it’s possible, but practically, I think the Americans will withdraw from the Ukrainian conflict within 1–2 years. Things are heating up too seriously around Taiwan. In response to the question: "Is it possible that China, through third countries, will try to drag the US into a hot conflict with Russia in order to buy time and rearm?"
#USA #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #China #Russia #Taiwan

In the event of a full-scale war between India and Pakistan, it is likely that China will launch military actions not only in the direction of Taiwan, but also toward Bhutan, a significant portion of whose territory China continues to claim.
#India #Pakistan #China #Taiwan #Bhutan

One shouldn’t think that if China seizes Taiwan, it will gain control of TSMC’s chip production facilities. I believe the Americans will destroy them quickly with precision strikes — China won’t get anything.
#China #Taiwan #USA

Xi Jinping fully understands that if he miraculously manages to seize Taiwan, then within a few months Japan will become a nuclear power, and so will South Korea.
#Japan #Taiwan #China #South Korea

They won’t go to war with Taiwan just to gain control over the chip industry and so on. They’ll resolve this issue peacefully. Even though they’re lagging behind in silicon-based technologies, they won’t start a war over Taiwan. Chinese wisdom is still present there. Ours has vanished into eternity, but theirs — the Confucian approach — is still alive in China. That’s why I don’t believe China will go to war.
#China #Taiwan

The Americans know that Taiwan won’t resist... Chinese won’t resist other Chinese.
#Taiwan #China

I am more inclined to expect that Trump will now concede Taiwan to China.
#Taiwan #China #USA #Trump

If the Americans step in for Taiwan and defend it as they have promised, it could result in a devastating military defeat for China—literally a catastrophe—that would completely shut down the idea of bringing Taiwan back into China’s fold. Completely. Therefore, in theory, they should not decide on such an action in the near future.
#Taiwan #China #USA

I’m willing to bet that this won’t happen. It absolutely won’t. This is a card that China always plays, especially frequently in recent times. In response to the question: "What do you think is the likelihood that China will follow through on its intentions and try to seize Taiwan by force?"
#Taiwan #China

Erdogan is much smarter and more farsighted than Putin. My assumption is that Erdogan’s operation in Syria will be far more successful than Putin’s operation in Ukraine. In reality, no one will be able to stop it. And most likely, Xi Jinping will follow Erdogan’s lead.
#China #Taiwan #Xi Jinping

Russia’s use of nuclear weapons, even tactical ones, removes the limitations on nuclear weapons across the entire globe. And this cannot fail to concern China, because immediately—mark my words—immediately, Taiwan will begin implementing its nuclear program.
#Taiwan #Nuclear weapons #Russia

I think there’s a very important point related to Taiwan. The Democratic administration has an ambiguous stance — at one point, Biden made a very dangerous statement saying that the U.S. would not intervene in a conflict between China and Taiwan. That is a very dangerous position. It’s clear that under Trump, nothing like that could happen — Taiwan will defend itself, and it is not a province of China.
#Taiwan #China #USA #Trump

China plans to take over Taiwan by any means necessary, including military action, if the situation is safe for them—meaning if it can be done without consequences, such as no interference from the United States. Under what circumstances would that be possible? It's quite obvious: if Ukraine loses, if the West abandons it. If the West gives up on Ukraine and it loses the war, China will take over Taiwan.
#Taiwan #China #Ukraine #USA

I think that right now China will not take any radical steps regarding Taiwan... So, I believe there won’t be a direct, severe escalation that would require U.S. intervention anytime soon.
#China #Taiwan

Yes, there is a painful question regarding Taiwan. Well, China has clearly seen that now is not the time to address these issues, at least not through military means. And after the example of Russia, it definitely will not go down that path. I believe it will achieve all its goals anyway. I am absolutely convinced of this. The Chinese know how to be patient. They will take Taiwan, they will take everything they need. Just not right away.
#Taiwan #China

As for Taiwan, I think we will see a slow escalation moving forward... The Americans are supplying their new medium-range missiles to the Philippines, and of course, there are endless training exercises involving American forces and the Taiwanese army. Under Trump, I believe everything will continue, including arms supplies.
#Taiwan #USA #Trump

The likelihood of a hot conflict, in my opinion, is not very high. Although there is a lot of hysteria coming from the West, claiming that war is just around the corner. But I believe that this is not in the interests of either the USA or China. Considering that a lot depends on Taiwan, which accounts for 60 percent of the global semiconductor market.
#Taiwan #China #USA

Moreover, the Chinese may provoke something in Taiwan. Most likely, they will. For example, a blockade of the island. Since the forces of the U.S. Navy and Army are far from unlimited.
#Taiwan #China #USA

The war in Taiwan will, of course, devastate the economies of the entire world. A hypothetical war
#Taiwan #Economy

No, I don't think that Xi Jinping is going to attack Taiwan anytime soon. And there are a variety of reasons for that. One of the main reasons is that for him or for China to attack Taiwan it has to cross a large body of water. And amphibious operations are among the most difficult military operations you can ask an army to perform. It is very difficult to cross a body of water as large as the Taiwan straight. Answer to the question: "Do you think that Xi Jinping is going to attack Taiwan in this decade?"
#Taiwan #China

Well, first of all, Taiwan is not so easy to take. Taiwan has a quite sizable army, and it is far from helpless... therefore, I think that the Chinese will not resort to a forceful solution to the issue.
#Taiwan #China

China will not seize Taiwan. China will not get involved in a story like Putin
#China #Taiwan

I am far from thinking that China will use military force in attempts to seize Taiwan
#Taiwan #China

No, I don't think so; it would be foolish for the Chinese to take by force what they can achieve through peaceful means. Referring to the fact that there will be no military conflict between China and Taiwan.
#Taiwan #China

Right now, this will not happen... I don't see it in the next year or two. Response to the question: 'Will there be a war between China and the USA, China and Taiwan?'
#China #USA #Taiwan

There is a feeling that she will make it. Nancy Pelosi will reach Taiwan.
#Taiwan #USA

Apparently, the United States has backed down, and Pelosi will not fly to Taiwan.
#Taiwan #USA

For now, I don't think China will decide on a landing operation in Taiwan. In connection with Pelosi's visit to Taiwan
#Taiwan #China #USA

With a high degree of probability, I still believe that the Americans will not cancel this visit. About Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan.
#Taiwan #China #USA

I believe that there will be no military conflict; China will not go for it. About the threats from China if Nancy Pelosi visits Taiwan
#Taiwan #China #USA