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John Mearsheimer

No, I don't think that Xi Jinping is going to attack Taiwan anytime soon. And there are a variety of reasons for that. One of the main reasons is that for him or for China to attack Taiwan it has to cross a large body of water. And amphibious operations are among the most difficult military operations you can ask an army to perform. It is very difficult to cross a body of water as large as the Taiwan straight. Answer to the question: "Do you think that Xi Jinping is going to attack Taiwan in this decade?"
Expected December 31, 2029
#Taiwan #China
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Notes and References

1) Firstpost. Will Xi Jinping Invade Taiwan? John Mearsheimer Answers | Vantage with Palki Sharma [https://youtu.be/5KC_X741N_M?t=224]

Prediction params: expected, regular, confident