Predictions and promises monitor

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Sergey Auslender

Military Expert (Israel)

Predictions
5
Verified
2
Came true
50%
Complex
100%
Confident
50%
5.36

Sergey Auslender

There will be no change of power in Syria. Syria will simply fragment into a series of isolated cantons. There will be no regime change.
Did not come true
#Syria
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

But in any case, as I believe, until January 20, until Trump’s inauguration, Israel will not take any decisive action in this direction. Regarding Iran.
Expected
#Israel #Iran #Trump #USA
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

It seems to me that Trump will start by crashing oil prices, working to bring them down in order to take away Putin's main advantage—money.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #Economy #Russia #USA
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

So far, there doesn’t seem to be any sign that the front will collapse. I see no grounds to think a cascading collapse of the front will happen. Nothing currently indicates that outcome. They simply don’t have the forces to make it happen… I believe we’ll continue to see this slow movement with some acceleration. In response to the question: “How do you think events will unfold on the Russia-Ukraine front over the next couple of months?”
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en