Predictions and promises monitor

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Sergey Auslender

Military Expert (Israel)

Predictions
18
Verified
6
Came true
83%
Complex
83%
Confident
50%
6.68

Sergey Auslender

I have a feeling that the Americans will end up entering the war after all. Trump issued a statement saying that he strongly warns the Iranian regime against attacking our forces and facilities in the Middle East...
Completely came true June 22, 2025
#USA #Iran #Israel
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

And the reason for this is that it’s yet another message to Tehran—look, the bombs have arrived, we are ready, so think faster about the deal before it's too late. And this whole media wave about Israel striking in the coming months, but no later than May-June, is a threat meant to push the Iranians to quickly accept Trump’s generous offer. They won’t agree, so these bombs will come in handy.
Completely came true June 22, 2025
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

Trump has appointed a special representative for Ukraine and given him 100 days. This means there will be no meeting for at least 100 days, as during this time, the representative will be searching for a solution. If Trump ever meets with Putin, it certainly won’t be for negotiations or to discuss any details. No, by then, a finalized solution will already be on the table—just waiting to be signed. There will be no meeting between Trump and Putin in the next 100 days.
Completely came true May 10, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

But in any case, as I believe, until January 20, until Trump’s inauguration, Israel will not take any decisive action in this direction. Regarding Iran.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#Israel #Iran #Trump #USA
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

So far, there doesn’t seem to be any sign that the front will collapse. I see no grounds to think a cascading collapse of the front will happen. Nothing currently indicates that outcome. They simply don’t have the forces to make it happen… I believe we’ll continue to see this slow movement with some acceleration. In response to the question: “How do you think events will unfold on the Russia-Ukraine front over the next couple of months?”
Completely came true December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

There will be no change of power in Syria. Syria will simply fragment into a series of isolated cantons. There will be no regime change.
Did not come true December 10, 2024
#Syria
ru → en