screenshot

The most likely scenario as I see it today — the one that's taking shape... President Trump, I think, by May or June at the latest, will realize that Putin is not capable of making agreements, and he'll start stepping away from the issue. Ukraine will no longer interest him. He’ll blame everything on the Europeans: “These are your problems — deal with them yourselves.”
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA

Trump won’t stay on in four years, no matter what anyone says about a third term or a swap with Vance. I don’t believe in that — I think there’s absolutely no chance.
#USA #Trump #Elections

I don't rule it out—in fact, I believe it's a very likely scenario—that we will see the United States involved in some kind of armed conflict, not in Ukraine, but near its own neighbors or somewhere else. I think it will happen. And I also think it will be a loud fiasco.
#USA #Trump

U.S. President Donald Trump recently even proposed a 50 percent cut in defense spending. He made this proposal to Russia and China. But of course, this is pure demagoguery. In reality, under Donald Trump’s administration, American defense spending will increase.
#USA #Trump

Ukraine will not sign a capitulation under the terms proposed by Trump and Putin.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #Putin #USA

For now, everything is being done for Putin — in favor of Putin, in the name of Putin, to support Putin. But nothing will come of it, in my opinion. So this will eventually lead to a tightening of sanctions against Russia. On the relationship between Trump and Putin
#Trump #Putin #Russia

If the defeat in the midterm elections is crushing, then he won’t make it to the end of the term. In response to the question: "In your opinion, will Trump serve out his full term?"
#Trump #USA

My prediction remains the same as it was six months ago, three months ago, and a month ago — namely, that Trump will not achieve real peace in Ukraine. Putin will continue to escalate... Therefore, in 2025, I believe there will be no lasting peace between Russia and Ukraine. And even if, by some miracle, a 30-day ceasefire is agreed upon, it will be broken.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #Putin

No, they can't. Because the Democrats (Trump's enemies) don't have that kind of power. In response to the question: "Can they try to impeach Trump?"
#Trump #USA

It’s not very important to him — to Trump. And I predict that, indeed, after stopping the hot phase of the war, he will hand over the negotiation process to the Europeans. He doesn’t need it.
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA #Europe

One can be fairly certain about the upcoming negotiations: either it will once again be talks in Riyadh, or it will be a direct call between Putin and Trump — and they will finally come to some kind of agreement. Most likely, an energy agreement on non-strike commitments and a deal regarding the Black Sea will be signed. Because the Ukrainian side will agree to sign them.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Russia #Trump #Putin

An increase in military support for Ukraine — it’s already clear that this won’t happen. Trump won’t do it, even though such proposals have been discussed.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Trump

Trump has found himself in a dead end... Technically, he cannot force Ukraine into a deal that suits Putin, because Ukraine won’t agree to it — and neither will Europe.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA #Trump #Putin

Trump will continue to build relations with Putin one way or another. Trump will simply start pulling out of the war in Ukraine. And it will end pretty soon because of that. That’s my prediction. And I would be glad to be wrong. It seems to me that soon, America will no longer be part of this war.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Trump #Russia

I don't think so, after all. In response to the question: "Will Trump break up NATO?"
#NATO #Trump

If Trump tries, they won’t let him. That would require violating two constitutional amendments: not just the 22nd, which limits the number of terms, but also, it seems, the 12th, which concerns who can be vice president. A vice president can only be someone who is eligible to be president — and he isn’t. And I believe even the Supreme Court would rule that he can’t. But I don’t think he’ll even try — mainly because of his age.
#USA #2028 United States presidential election #Elections #Trump

I think he will manage to resolve the Greenland issue. And there’s already a plan. A referendum is held in Greenland. According to the polling data we know, out of 90,000 eligible voters, the majority supports independence, and then Greenland declares a free association with the United States... The issue is resolved without the use of military force.
#Greenland #USA #Denmark #Trump

Trump’s presidency is over. Dear Donald, where will you be working next? Most likely, the Democrats will come back to power again. (Comment on the remark that J.D. Vance might become the next U.S. president.)
#Trump #USA #2028 United States presidential election

I think, in the end, VOA won't be shut down but will be drastically reduced and turned into something resembling Radio Beijing during Mao's era — broadcasting Trump’s wisdom and his Brilliant Ideas around the clock in all languages. VOA = Voice of America
#USA #Trump

This cannot go on for long. After a while, it will become obvious that peace is impossible. That Trump has only provoked Putin, making him more brazen and less willing to negotiate. Somehow, this bubble will burst. I fear it will happen in an unpleasant and rather loud manner.
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine

It is clear that Trump is making many concessions. But his patience is not limitless. And, naturally, at some point, he will get tired of Putin leading him by the nose. He understands all of this perfectly. And I think the turnaround will be impressive. We will see, first of all, the reintroduction of sanctions, secondly, an increase in arms supplies to Ukraine, and much more.
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine

Even if Trump's efforts produce some results, this is not the end of the war, it's not the curtain, it's an intermission, and a second act is inevitable. Talking about a potential truce between Ukraine and Russia.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump

Will Trump change his position? No... We will see how he puts pressure on Turkey to open the straits as a gesture of goodwill. We will see this happen. The straits that Turkey closed at the beginning of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
#Trump #Turkey #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

No matter how many demands Putin makes, no matter how brazen and rude those demands are, Trump fulfills them one by one. And he will continue to fulfill them, allow me to make this prediction.
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA #War in Ukraine #Ukraine

It is clear that the negotiations will lead nowhere. Putin will demand the five regions that Witkoff is already offering him. They will end. New approaches will be needed. Trump will most likely step away from this topic, losing interest in it. This is where China will step onto the stage with much stronger leverage.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA #China #Trump

It seems to me that we are in a situation where there is a very high risk that if Trump realizes that there is no immediate result and he is not achieving some sort of instant success, he will simply drop this matter, he will simply stop dealing with it. Speaking about organizing negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA

The only tool that could work in this situation is pressure on Putin. It's already clear after two months that Trump refuses to apply it. And he won’t. He will not apply it. It’s already possible to conclude that Trump does not want to put any pressure on Putin.
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine

I think it will end with an agreement to have another conversation. I don't expect any major turning points. In response to the question: "Peskov stated that Putin does not intend to make any official statements after the conversation. We’ll be waiting for information from Trump... What do you think will be the outcome of today’s conversation?"
#Putin #Trump #Russia #USA #War in Ukraine #Ukraine

I think that soon Trump will face the arctic fox (*pesets*). How exactly this will happen, I don’t know. But there are many possible scenarios, ranging from mass popular uprisings… all the way to a military coup.
#Trump #USA

First of all, I expect that there will be an attempt to amend the U.S. Constitution to allow Trump to stay for another term.
#USA #Trump

I am more inclined to expect that Trump will now concede Taiwan to China.
#Taiwan #China #USA #Trump

It is already clear that Trump will not sign anything with Zelensky (well, let’s leave a 1-2 percent chance for an extreme scenario—though an alien arrival seems like a slightly more likely scenario).
#Trump #Zelensky #USA #Ukraine #War in Ukraine

Donald Trump will not serve out his full term. I am more than certain that he will not be president for four years.
#Trump #USA

He has engaged in war on multiple fronts simultaneously, which, in my opinion, is a catastrophic mistake. His actions are purely impulsive. The level of his team has turned out to be absolutely abysmal. That’s why I believe he will not last until the end of his term—and maybe he won’t even survive. Trump.
#Trump #USA

He will not achieve peace with Moscow because he cannot make such a peace at Ukraine’s expense. He cannot. That is not what he promised, that is not what is expected of him, and he does not have the authority to do so. Trump.
#Trump #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Russia

This is a left-liberal award for its own— not for outsiders, but for its own. That doesn’t make it better or worse. It’s simply a prize given only to those whom the liberal community considers acceptable to honor with such awards. It’s not necessarily the most deserving individuals. This is also a political tool. Trump is not part of this circle; he will never receive a Nobel Prize. Never.
#Trump #USA

Something tells me that Trump is planning to run for another term, despite the relevant amendment to the U.S. Constitution.
#Trump #USA #Elections

At the negotiations between Trump and Putin, which I am sure will take place by the end of February.
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia

Yes, Trump will dismantle NATO. Let’s not have any doubts, let’s not hesitate or say, "Maybe he won’t." He will. He will.
#NATO #Trump #USA

Another unpleasant conclusion: there will be no more exchanges of political prisoners for spies. Trump is only willing to trade for his own guys—everything else means nothing to him. Unfortunately, this is very bad news.
#USA #Russia #Trump

Ukraine must count on the fact that the world will never recognize this annexation. As for the statements that the defense minister said there can be no return to 2014—I’m sorry, but your president also said that today we cannot, we do not have the capabilities for that. But the defense minister did not say that they recognize this as Russian territory. That will not happen, you can be sure of it—that will never happen. Neither Donald Trump, nor his defense minister, nor any congressman or senator will ever say this out loud.
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine #Trump

Such a deal format proposed by Trump, to me, is a clear indication that the United States will have a commercial interest in Ukraine maintaining control over its eastern regions. When will the specific outlines of the plan appear? It's hard to say. But I assume it will be before April. By April, this plan will likely be in place and probably made public.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA

I have not the slightest doubt that after Trump's meeting with Putin, he will simply adopt Putin's plan and program exactly as it is. I have absolutely no doubt about this.
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA #War in Ukraine #Ukraine

As for Trump's statements about his peacekeeping and humanitarian mission, when he says that not only will we not start wars ourselves, but we will also end others— the one who does not participate in the war is the one who wins. This will not work for Trump, this will not work for Trump. He will not be able to end wars or avoid starting them during his four-year term.
#Trump #USA

I do not believe in a near-term resolution of the issue of peace. I do not even believe in a near-term resolution of the issue of a meeting between Trump and Putin.
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Russia #Ukraine #USA

Trump, one of Putin's most important demands regarding Ukraine not joining NATO—strictly speaking, he basically agrees with it. So why antagonize this man? If he gets angry or offended, he might simply declare that the U.S. supports Ukraine’s application... How can you afford to quarrel with such a person? That’s why Putin will go to the negotiations. And I believe he will make a significant number of concessions.
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #USA

The most likely course of Russia-U.S. negotiations: a forecast attempt. 1. The U.S. and Russia are not ready to reach a compromise on Ukraine. 2. This is why the phone conversation between Putin and Trump has been delayed for so long—there needs to be a result, but there isn't one yet. 3. The conversation will take place soon. They will agree on a summit and a working group. 4. The summit will take place in the spring. However, there will still be no compromise on Ukraine. 5. However, a crucial compromise will be reached—de-escalation in terms of nuclear conflict. Trump will present this as a huge victory. 6. There will be a pause in negotiations on the Ukraine conflict, discussions will continue in a closed format, while military actions will also persist. 7. Trump will cut U.S. funding for Ukraine by about three times—from $300 billion to $100 billion—and will push Europe to contribute more, up to $200 billion. Europe will not increase its contributions. 8. In the spring, summer, and fall, everything will continue as it is. 9. By autumn, political conditions for negotiations will take shape: Europe's and Ukraine’s fatigue will force them to make more concessions to Russia. 10. Thus, by the end of the year, or possibly even in the fall, a peace agreement will be signed.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA #Trump

One accurate prediction can be made: Trump's ceasefire proposal will not work in 24 hours, 100 days, or 3 months. Because Putin has already clearly stated what he wants. He wants conditions that severely limit Ukraine’s sovereignty, restrict its ability to make independent decisions in foreign and defense policy, and give him the opportunity at any moment, within a few months, to repeat his aggression under the pretext of Russia’s security guarantees.
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Ukraine #Russia

He may play it in such a way that Zelensky himself will be blamed, but there may be no deal. There could be a deal, but it won’t result in peace, a peace treaty. Instead, the conflict will continue for another six months to a year, followed by the collapse of the front. Response to the question: "Trump won't get his deal?"
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Trump

Trump has appointed a special representative for Ukraine and given him 100 days. This means there will be no meeting for at least 100 days, as during this time, the representative will be searching for a solution. If Trump ever meets with Putin, it certainly won’t be for negotiations or to discuss any details. No, by then, a finalized solution will already be on the table—just waiting to be signed. There will be no meeting between Trump and Putin in the next 100 days.
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine

I think that Trump and Musk won’t get along for long—that’s my prediction.
#USA #Trump

Negotiations will undoubtedly take place; this seems obvious to me. I think we should expect them within days, any day now. I believe there will be a phone conversation. It will be interesting to observe how it is arranged. Most likely, it will be organized in such a way that Trump will call Putin.
#Russia #USA #Trump #Putin

There will likely be restrictions on transferring dollars within the territory Trump declares his own. However, I currently believe this will involve a united economic system comprising Canada, the U.S., and Mexico. Dollars, both cash and electronic, will only be transferable out of this system with very strict limitations.
#Dollar #Economy #USA #Canada #Mexico #Trump

Trump commented on his recent conversation with the Danish Prime Minister and noted that he is confident the United States will eventually acquire Greenland. I think this will indeed happen. The U.S. has not expanded for over half a century because those decades were consumed by the confrontation with the socialist bloc, where everything teetered on the brink of the Cold War escalating into not just a hot war, but a nuclear one.
#Greenland #USA #Denmark #Trump

I think, my prediction is that this issue will somehow be resolved. After all, the American establishment, which is absolutely not inclined to take responsibility for any new territories—whether it's the 51st state, Canada, or Greenland—will manage to convince Trump that such actions are entirely unnecessary at the moment. After all, Trump doesn’t make this decision alone. By the way, to annex new territories, all states would need to vote in favor. You can’t just annex territories to America like that.
#USA #Canada #Greenland #Denmark #Trump

How will the Trump administration address this? The issue of the national debt, for example, clearly won’t be resolved by this administration. On the contrary, the debt will grow, and this might become a topic for the next administration.
#USA #Economy #Trump

So, it seems Denmark has already given up Greenland, judging by the statements from the Danish side. The likely course of action will be as follows: a referendum will take place in the near future, Greenland will become independent, the Danes will leave, and then the Americans will take control of everything. From the perspective of international law, there will be no grounds for objection. Trump will gobble up Greenland in one go.
#Greenland #Denmark #USA #Trump

Trump will not live to the end of his term in any case. The probability is 90%. First, he is an elderly man, turning 79 in 2025. Second, there have already been two assassination attempts on him.
#Trump #USA

The most intense reaction was to the revocation of birthright citizenship. When Trump signed this order, reports in the press claim he called birthright citizenship "ridiculous." I believe the likelihood of this order being repealed is close to 100%.
#USA #Trump

A speculative financial instrument, in my understanding, with no future beyond Donald Trump's presidential term. When the rapid collapse of this Trump-coin will begin, no one knows. It could happen on the last day of Trump's presidency or midway through his term.
#Cryptocurrencies #Trump #USA #Economy

No, I don’t think so. He won’t be able to. In response to the question: "Do you think Trump can stop the war in Ukraine?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA

There are political forces, including the Democrats, that are undoubtedly interested in driving a wedge between Trump and Musk. I think they will inevitably fall out one way or another, or at the very least, part ways. This is because both are entirely self-sufficient personalities, both are individuals accustomed to running their businesses in their own unique ways, and both respect power. Such people cannot remain in a close alliance for long.
#USA #Trump

In this situation, failing to reach an agreement with Trump, preventing him from fulfilling his campaign promise, essentially upsetting him, would be quite a risky move. I don’t think Putin is that unreasonable. Therefore, in terms of resolving this conflict, I view this year quite positively. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #Putin

If at some point Trump or his inner circle grows tired of Musk’s antics, they will get rid of him. I believe two bears cannot live in the same den. Sooner or later, they will part ways. After all, there can only be one person in Washington who commands the world through Twitter and other social media, and that person is Donald Trump.
#USA #Trump