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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Trump

Authors
92
Predictions
184
Verified
50
Came true
56%
Complex
40%
Confident
38%

Igor Aizenberg

I don't think he would ever say out loud that he sees Russia as an adversary, or that Putin is a war criminal. That’s completely out of the question. Trump
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

U.S. President Donald Trump recently even proposed a 50 percent cut in defense spending. He made this proposal to Russia and China. But of course, this is pure demagoguery. In reality, under Donald Trump’s administration, American defense spending will increase.
Expected
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

For now, everything is being done for Putin — in favor of Putin, in the name of Putin, to support Putin. But nothing will come of it, in my opinion. So this will eventually lead to a tightening of sanctions against Russia. On the relationship between Trump and Putin
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

An increase in military support for Ukraine — it’s already clear that this won’t happen. Trump won’t do it, even though such proposals have been discussed.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Trump
ru → en

Leonid Shvets

I don't think so, after all. In response to the question: "Will Trump break up NATO?"
Expected
#NATO #Trump
ru → en

Mark Feygin

This is a left-liberal award for its own— not for outsiders, but for its own. That doesn’t make it better or worse. It’s simply a prize given only to those whom the liberal community considers acceptable to honor with such awards. It’s not necessarily the most deserving individuals. This is also a political tool. Trump is not part of this circle; he will never receive a Nobel Prize. Never.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Yes, Trump will dismantle NATO. Let’s not have any doubts, let’s not hesitate or say, "Maybe he won’t." He will. He will.
Expected
#NATO #Trump #USA
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Trump, one of Putin's most important demands regarding Ukraine not joining NATO—strictly speaking, he basically agrees with it. So why antagonize this man? If he gets angry or offended, he might simply declare that the U.S. supports Ukraine’s application... How can you afford to quarrel with such a person? That’s why Putin will go to the negotiations. And I believe he will make a significant number of concessions.
Expected
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Yigal Levin

Trump commented on his recent conversation with the Danish Prime Minister and noted that he is confident the United States will eventually acquire Greenland. I think this will indeed happen. The U.S. has not expanded for over half a century because those decades were consumed by the confrontation with the socialist bloc, where everything teetered on the brink of the Cold War escalating into not just a hot war, but a nuclear one.
Expected
#Greenland #USA #Denmark #Trump
ru → en

Sergei Markov

The Danish authorities are in a complete panic. They’re trying to secretly reach out to Trump and ask him not to take Greenland. In exchange, they’re ready to give the U.S. everything in Greenland—any military bases, any concessions. I think Trump won’t take Greenland outright. He’ll take everything there while formally leaving Denmark’s flag flying.
Expected
#Greenland #Denmark #Trump #USA
ru → en

Roman Svitan

Trump will work on lowering the price of oil, and he has the mechanisms to do it. I think the price of oil will definitely drop below 60 dollars—he’ll keep it somewhere around 60 to 50.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA #Economy
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Peace Seems Likely Everywhere...
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The election of Donald Trump will probably inevitably lead us to World War III.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Trump wins, there will be big problems for the liberals... If he does win, Trump will make a tour, stopping in Vienna, meeting with the Freedom Party of Austria, Orban, Fico, Alternative for Germany, Sahra Wagenknecht, and Meloni. That’s why I’m personally convinced that Trump will be assassinated; he won’t live to see this happen because he is too dangerous.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

As for the possibility of negotiations with Putin for Trump, there is none. There is a 90% likelihood that throughout Trump's term, if he gets one, a summit meeting with Putin will not take place. It's impossible to arrange. Putin will not enter into any negotiations with Trump about ending the war, on the terms that Trump might propose.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

There are no interests for either Trump or Biden to end the Ukrainian war... Do you think Trump will stop supplying weapons to Zelensky? I believe he absolutely will not.
Expected
#Trump #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Attempting to assassinate Donald Trump is an outrageous thing... they have arrested the shooter... it is clear that he will face severe responsibility, he will be convicted and, apparently, given a very long sentence.
Expected
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Malek Dudakov

As for Taiwan, I think we will see a slow escalation moving forward... The Americans are supplying their new medium-range missiles to the Philippines, and of course, there are endless training exercises involving American forces and the Taiwanese army. Under Trump, I believe everything will continue, including arms supplies.
Expected
#Taiwan #USA #Trump
ru → en

Artemy Troitsky

Jack White formulated the reason why he is suing Trump... I think the court will support Jack White... Jack White will win this case, if not 100%, then 99%.
Expected
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

I can say this publicly—my opinion is that there definitely won’t be a full-scale war, nothing like "Desert Storm," nothing like what happened in Iraq with Saddam Hussein. That’s not going to happen. But a targeted strike on nuclear facilities... that would actually be good for him (Trump). A full-scale war in the Middle East involving the U.S. and Iran won’t happen, but targeted strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities are possible.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Iran #USA #Middle East #Trump
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Over these 4 years, if Trump fails to achieve peaceful negotiations with Russia and Iran, then by the end of his term he might resort to war with Iran, for example.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Iran #Trump
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Back in the summer of last year, I said that we would still see Trump in Tehran. And that’s most likely how it will be — just like we saw him meeting with Kim Jong Un.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #Iran #USA
ru → en

Igor Aizenberg

He could be impeached for that. But I don’t think there will be enough Republican senators in the Senate to reach 67% of the votes for his removal. So he will remain president, and the next election will be in November 2028. Talking about Trump.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Trump is serving his second term in presidential office, a second term in office. He won’t be president a third time... I’m sure that Trump won’t run for a third term.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #USA #Elections
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

Trump will never go to war with China. He won't even go to war with Iran, believe me. The most he’s capable of is fighting the Houthis. Response to the question: "Slava, what do you think, will Trump give the green light for a ground operation against China?"
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Iran #China #Trump
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Trump won’t stay on in four years, no matter what anyone says about a third term or a swap with Vance. I don’t believe in that — I think there’s absolutely no chance.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Trump #Elections
ru → en

Michael Nacke

I don't rule it out—in fact, I believe it's a very likely scenario—that we will see the United States involved in some kind of armed conflict, not in Ukraine, but near its own neighbors or somewhere else. I think it will happen. And I also think it will be a loud fiasco.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

If the defeat in the midterm elections is crushing, then he won’t make it to the end of the term. In response to the question: "In your opinion, will Trump serve out his full term?"
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

No, they can't. Because the Democrats (Trump's enemies) don't have that kind of power. In response to the question: "Can they try to impeach Trump?"
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Sergey Sanovich

If Trump tries, they won’t let him. That would require violating two constitutional amendments: not just the 22nd, which limits the number of terms, but also, it seems, the 12th, which concerns who can be vice president. A vice president can only be someone who is eligible to be president — and he isn’t. And I believe even the Supreme Court would rule that he can’t. But I don’t think he’ll even try — mainly because of his age.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #2028 United States presidential election #Elections #Trump
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

First of all, I expect that there will be an attempt to amend the U.S. Constitution to allow Trump to stay for another term.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Olena Kurbanova

Donald Trump will not serve out his full term. I am more than certain that he will not be president for four years.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Vladislav Inozemtsev

He has engaged in war on multiple fronts simultaneously, which, in my opinion, is a catastrophic mistake. His actions are purely impulsive. The level of his team has turned out to be absolutely abysmal. That’s why I believe he will not last until the end of his term—and maybe he won’t even survive. Trump.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

Something tells me that Trump is planning to run for another term, despite the relevant amendment to the U.S. Constitution.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #USA #Elections
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

Another unpleasant conclusion: there will be no more exchanges of political prisoners for spies. Trump is only willing to trade for his own guys—everything else means nothing to him. Unfortunately, this is very bad news.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Russia #Trump
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

Ukraine must count on the fact that the world will never recognize this annexation. As for the statements that the defense minister said there can be no return to 2014—I’m sorry, but your president also said that today we cannot, we do not have the capabilities for that. But the defense minister did not say that they recognize this as Russian territory. That will not happen, you can be sure of it—that will never happen. Neither Donald Trump, nor his defense minister, nor any congressman or senator will ever say this out loud.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine #Trump
ru → en

Mark Feygin

As for Trump's statements about his peacekeeping and humanitarian mission, when he says that not only will we not start wars ourselves, but we will also end others— the one who does not participate in the war is the one who wins. This will not work for Trump, this will not work for Trump. He will not be able to end wars or avoid starting them during his four-year term.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Mikhail Khazin

There will likely be restrictions on transferring dollars within the territory Trump declares his own. However, I currently believe this will involve a united economic system comprising Canada, the U.S., and Mexico. Dollars, both cash and electronic, will only be transferable out of this system with very strict limitations.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Dollar #Economy #USA #Canada #Mexico #Trump
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I think, my prediction is that this issue will somehow be resolved. After all, the American establishment, which is absolutely not inclined to take responsibility for any new territories—whether it's the 51st state, Canada, or Greenland—will manage to convince Trump that such actions are entirely unnecessary at the moment. After all, Trump doesn’t make this decision alone. By the way, to annex new territories, all states would need to vote in favor. You can’t just annex territories to America like that.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Canada #Greenland #Denmark #Trump
ru → en

Oleg Itskhoki

How will the Trump administration address this? The issue of the national debt, for example, clearly won’t be resolved by this administration. On the contrary, the debt will grow, and this might become a topic for the next administration.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Economy #Trump
ru → en

Sergey Zhirnov

Trump will not live to the end of his term in any case. The probability is 90%. First, he is an elderly man, turning 79 in 2025. Second, there have already been two assassination attempts on him.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

The most intense reaction was to the revocation of birthright citizenship. When Trump signed this order, reports in the press claim he called birthright citizenship "ridiculous." I believe the likelihood of this order being repealed is close to 100%.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

A speculative financial instrument, in my understanding, with no future beyond Donald Trump's presidential term. When the rapid collapse of this Trump-coin will begin, no one knows. It could happen on the last day of Trump's presidency or midway through his term.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Cryptocurrencies #Trump #USA #Economy
ru → en

Stanislav Kucher

There are political forces, including the Democrats, that are undoubtedly interested in driving a wedge between Trump and Musk. I think they will inevitably fall out one way or another, or at the very least, part ways. This is because both are entirely self-sufficient personalities, both are individuals accustomed to running their businesses in their own unique ways, and both respect power. Such people cannot remain in a close alliance for long.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

If at some point Trump or his inner circle grows tired of Musk’s antics, they will get rid of him. I believe two bears cannot live in the same den. Sooner or later, they will part ways. After all, there can only be one person in Washington who commands the world through Twitter and other social media, and that person is Donald Trump.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Petteri Orpo

I don't believe armed action at all, for example regarding Greenland. He does not believe that Greenland will be taken over by the US through any means during the next presidential term.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Greenland #Denmark #USA #Trump
en

Konstantin Eggert

Trump will undoubtedly withdraw some American troops from the territories of allied countries. In his relations with NATO, Trump will emphasize the independence of European armies.
Expected January 31, 2029
#Trump #NATO #USA #European Union
ru → en

Sergey Parkhomenko

It seems to me that we are in a situation where there is a very high risk that if Trump realizes that there is no immediate result and he is not achieving some sort of instant success, he will simply drop this matter, he will simply stop dealing with it. Speaking about organizing negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2028
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Artemy Troitsky

I think that soon Trump will face the arctic fox (*pesets*). How exactly this will happen, I don’t know. But there are many possible scenarios, ranging from mass popular uprisings… all the way to a military coup.
Expected December 31, 2028
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Maria Maksakova

As a result, we will, of course, see a much lower oil price. Under Trump, following Saudi Arabia's joining of the Abraham Accords.
Expected December 31, 2028
#Oil #Economy #Trump
ru → en