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The problem is that there are no sanctions that, once implemented, will have an effect on the front (in a matter of days)... In the coming weeks and months, the Russian army will not lose its combat effectiveness or its ability to advance. This is obvious.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

And Trump also says: "We will discuss how to first and foremost cease fire". My prediction is that Putin will not agree to a truce. During the meeting between Putin and Trump in Alaska.
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #USA

What else can he do to stop the advance of Russian troops in Ukraine? I'm afraid he doesn't have any special ideas about that. I think that after the ultimatum expires, we'll find out that the "red line" has moved somewhere further away again. That's my prediction. Maybe I'm wrong.
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Russia #Ukraine

I'm 99% sure that a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin will never happen.
#Putin #Zelensky #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I think Poland should prepare for much the same, for PiS to return there. I don't see Tusk being able to steer out of this situation. PiS is "Law and Justice" - a political party in Poland.
#Poland

Hereditary dictator Aliyev spat in Putin's direction once, although I'm absolutely sure they'll reconcile and come to an agreement after some time; I have no doubt about it.
#Russia #Azerbaijan

My prediction is that there will be neither an Easter truce nor a cessation of hostilities in the foreseeable future.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I believe that once Kadyrov is gone, within a few months — let alone a few years — all that will be left of him in Chechnya will be memories, that there once was such a person as Kadyrov. Everything will be renamed, everything will be removed.
#Kadyrov #Russia

I strongly disagree with the idea that any form of ending the war in Ukraine will lead to some kind of thaw, a weakening of the regime, or anything like that. I don't believe in it, and I don’t recommend that you do either.
#Russia

I think, in the end, VOA won't be shut down but will be drastically reduced and turned into something resembling Radio Beijing during Mao's era — broadcasting Trump’s wisdom and his Brilliant Ideas around the clock in all languages. VOA = Voice of America
#USA #Trump

There will be no scenario where Putin openly and publicly appoints a successor and then gradually hands over power to him.
#Putin #Russia

Another unpleasant conclusion: there will be no more exchanges of political prisoners for spies. Trump is only willing to trade for his own guys—everything else means nothing to him. Unfortunately, this is very bad news.
#USA #Russia #Trump

The elections in Ukraine are now obviously going to happen, but something tells me that Zelensky’s main problem is not Poroshenko at all. Rather, it is his increasingly apparent unsuitability for this position—both for Trump and for Putin. All parties involved in the deal would prefer to see someone as president of Ukraine who has made no prior commitments, has never called anyone a murderer, and has not made hundreds of other statements that are now awkward for the high-level negotiating sides. So, I would bet that Zelensky will either lose the election or suddenly decide not to run, so as not to cast a shadow over the brave new world.
#Ukraine #Zelensky #Elections

If at some point Trump or his inner circle grows tired of Musk’s antics, they will get rid of him. I believe two bears cannot live in the same den. Sooner or later, they will part ways. After all, there can only be one person in Washington who commands the world through Twitter and other social media, and that person is Donald Trump.
#USA #Trump

In any case, the war will end... I believe that within a year, or two at most, it will come to an end. The war in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

In Germany, it’s clear that the CDU will come to power in the next elections.
#Germany #Elections

I believe he won’t live in Russia. Maybe his son or some of his family, whom no one cares about, will live in Russia. But I think he himself will most likely live elsewhere, perhaps in some Arab Emirates or similar countries. In response to the question: "What about Bashar al-Assad, where will he be?"
#Syria #Russia

I think that sooner or later, some cunning, greedy, or perhaps sympathetic employee of one of the intelligence agencies will leak this video as well, and we will see those horrifying scenes of Alexei Navalny dying, poisoned on Vladimir Putin’s orders in that dreadful prison.
#Russia

It is evident that, as a result of Putin's rule, there will be a strong nationalist party, with its core obviously consisting of veterans of this war. Following Putin's rule, a significant nationalist party will emerge in Russia, founded on veterans of the war in Ukraine.
#Russia #Putin

If we summarize the situation on the front lines, there will only be bad news in the near future... Unfortunately, everything is unfolding according to a negative scenario. In the near future, news from the front lines of the war in Ukraine will be unfavorable for Ukraine's supporters.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I think "New People" is an entirely stillborn party, of no interest to anyone except the people who are part of it. It’s an utterly empty structure without ideology, without meaning, without charismatic leaders, and it will die along with the entire Putin political system, and no one will remember it.
#Russia

So it's clear that they won't be attacking South Korea. Referring to North Korea.
#North Korea #South Korea

I believe that Putin's death will either immediately end the war or the war will come to an end... I think that Putin's death will lead to a situation where, over a certain period of time, the situation on the fronts will begin to change, and the new leadership of Russia will start looking for ways to end the war as quickly as possible in order to begin the division of power.
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Putin

I don’t think the West will engage in a direct war with Russia. They’ll avoid it at all costs… There won’t be any direct NATO-Russia war. That could only happen if Russia, if Putin loses his mind and strikes first.
#Russia #NATO #Putin

There are no elections in the near future in Russia in which the opposition could participate as a united bloc, and there will be none in the coming years.
#Russia #Elections

Putin can only end up in The Hague if he is overthrown as a result of a coup. And these people who overthrow him might decide for some reason that they need to improve relations with the West and blame everything on Putin. So, they might say, "Let's send him to The Hague, let them judge him there, and we will reconcile with the West". This is a very unlikely scenario.
#Putin #Russia

As of now, September 19, 2024, I still hold the opinion that there is a long way to go until the end of this war. And unless some kind of miracle happens, such as the sudden death of Vladimir Putin, the main organizer and inspirer of this war, it will most likely last for another year.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin

I don't think he intends to change them for anyone at all. Putin will not change Navalny and Kara-Murza.
#Russia

I don't think so... As we know, the European Union does not favor countries with territorial issues... Europe prefers to have clear borders. Answer to the question: 'Kosovo is applying to the EU. Will they be accepted?
#Kosovo #European Union