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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Putin

Authors
103
Predictions
263
Verified
65
Came true
55%
Complex
54%
Confident
45%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Gennady Gudkov

No, it will not end—it may pause or simply come to a halt. The war cannot end as long as Putin is in the Kremlin. It will continue in one form or another. Even if it stops in Ukraine, then Georgia, Armenia, Moldova, and possibly Kazakhstan should prepare. In response to the question: "Do you think the war will end in 2025?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

At the negotiations between Trump and Putin, which I am sure will take place by the end of February.
Did not come true
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

There will be no scenario where Putin openly and publicly appoints a successor and then gradually hands over power to him.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

There will be no complete ban on abortions, in my opinion—knock on wood, I hope I don’t jinx it. Because, knowing Vladimir Vladimirovich’s psychology, we understand that he is a cautious person in this regard. He will not take measures that would be extremely unpopular among broad segments of his own electorate, especially among female voters. Therefore, any abortion restrictions will be very moderate.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I absolutely do not believe that Putin will agree to stop seeking official recognition from Ukraine and its Western allies of the so-called realities on the ground. That Putin would accept a peace agreement in which he continues to de facto control these captured territories, but no one except him officially recognizes these seizures.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Trump, one of Putin's most important demands regarding Ukraine not joining NATO—strictly speaking, he basically agrees with it. So why antagonize this man? If he gets angry or offended, he might simply declare that the U.S. supports Ukraine’s application... How can you afford to quarrel with such a person? That’s why Putin will go to the negotiations. And I believe he will make a significant number of concessions.
Expected
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Vladimir Vladimirovich has one very strong trait, a very strong one. It lies in the fact that he has transitioned from being the executive director of a joint-stock company to becoming its majority shareholder. There are both advantages and disadvantages to this. The advantage is that he will see things through to the very end, no matter what. The disadvantage is that any succession operations or transfer of power are completely impossible. Talking about Putin.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

One accurate prediction can be made: Trump's ceasefire proposal will not work in 24 hours, 100 days, or 3 months. Because Putin has already clearly stated what he wants. He wants conditions that severely limit Ukraine’s sovereignty, restrict its ability to make independent decisions in foreign and defense policy, and give him the opportunity at any moment, within a few months, to repeat his aggression under the pretext of Russia’s security guarantees.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

Trump has appointed a special representative for Ukraine and given him 100 days. This means there will be no meeting for at least 100 days, as during this time, the representative will be searching for a solution. If Trump ever meets with Putin, it certainly won’t be for negotiations or to discuss any details. No, by then, a finalized solution will already be on the table—just waiting to be signed. There will be no meeting between Trump and Putin in the next 100 days.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

Negotiations will undoubtedly take place; this seems obvious to me. I think we should expect them within days, any day now. I believe there will be a phone conversation. It will be interesting to observe how it is arranged. Most likely, it will be organized in such a way that Trump will call Putin.
Completely came true
#Russia #USA #Trump #Putin
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

In four years, Putin will be gone—I’m willing to bet anything on it. Putin is finished. He definitely won’t last four more years.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

VV will remain in power for quite a while, as he’s only 72. I would estimate at least another 10 years of his rule. By VV, he means Putin.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

In this situation, failing to reach an agreement with Trump, preventing him from fulfilling his campaign promise, essentially upsetting him, would be quite a risky move. I don’t think Putin is that unreasonable. Therefore, in terms of resolving this conflict, I view this year quite positively. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #Putin
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I think within a short period, two to three months, sorry, no less, preparations will be made for a meeting. There will be a meeting between Xi Jinping, Putin, and Trump, where they will divide the world.
Expected
#Trump #Xi Jinping #Putin #USA #China #Russia
ru → en

Alfred Koch

Well, Putin will keep pushing slowly, slowly... At some point, he will reach the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk regions... It will take about another year, yes.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Here’s my prediction: if Putin is alive, the war will not end in 2025. Putin has no interest in ending it. He believes he can have it all, not just some compromise. He doesn’t see how any compromise could allow him to save face. The war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Zhirnov

Putin will remain in power for as long as he is physically alive. If he lives until 2036, he will have been in power in the Russian Federation for 36 years by then.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

I suspect that as long as Vladimir Putin is alive and well, there’s no reason to expect the collapse of the regime.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

No, I don’t think so. I think he’s more likely to face the fate of either Brezhnev or Portugal’s dictator Salazar, who simply fell into an unconscious state, with a virtual reality created for him, while in the meantime, agreements were made with the rest of the world. In response to the question: "Will Putin face Assad’s fate?"
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

I have a feeling that during his lifetime, there will be no trial for Putin, and he truly won’t face any punishment.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

After de-Putinization, after his biological death, his grandchildren will grow up, and we will read memoirs from his daughters and grandchildren about what a monster they had to be around and how paralyzed they were, unable to do anything about it.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

This applies to Putin as well. The problem is that he has gotten involved in too many conflicts and is now exhausting his resources, and this will inevitably end in collapse. There are no other options—it’s just a matter of time, how long he can stretch it out, but it will definitely end in collapse.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Absolutely. I fully agree with this statement. In response to: "And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

Putin is incapable of engaging in the kind of negotiations we mean when we use the word "negotiations." And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen. Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I believe the most likely scenario for Putin’s removal from power is a coup d’état resulting from a conspiracy organized by his closest allies.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Savva

And then there should be a trial, an investigation, and a court ruling. However, in the case of Israeli leaders, this won’t happen, just as it won’t happen with Putin. Yes, precisely because there is a political aspect to it. Speaking about the International Criminal Court.
Expected
#Israel #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Here’s my prediction: one of these three figures—Orbán, Fico, or Elon Musk—will definitely make a statement in support of Putin within the next 24 hours or so. Not directly in support of Putin, but something along the lines of how we urgently need to negotiate with him now because look how formidable he is.
Almost came true
#Putin
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

We will witness a grand scenario of "Cuban Missile Crisis 2.0" will unfold. The world on the brink of nuclear war, but at the last moment, Trump, not yet elected president, calls Putin, and together they save the world from catastrophe. Everyone breathes a sigh of relief.
Did not come true
#Nuclear weapons #Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Zhirnov

No, I think strategic nuclear weapons are completely out of the question because everyone understands—Putin included—that even tactical nuclear weapons would still represent a global symbolic strike. After that, no one would trade with him or maintain relations with him.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Stanislav Kucher

My prediction: if next year there is no global war between Russia and the West, a new pandemic, or other cataclysmic events of universal scale, then Putin will leave the post of president of the Russian state in 2025, or at the latest in 2026. More precisely, he will be forced to leave. And by those who are now considered his most loyal Putinists, his eternally devoted team members. They will be helped in this partly by the Ukrainian Armed Forces, partly by the U.S. administration.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

I am absolutely convinced that after this, there will be a Putin 2.0, a post-Putin figure—call him whatever you like. I think preparations for this are already underway. Some candidate or candidates have been chosen to replace the current Putin and create a new Putin. It doesn’t matter at all what their name or surname will be... Whoever takes Putin’s place, along with their team, will hold elections exactly like those that have always been held under Putin. If Putin dies or steps down due to health reasons, his successor will not differ significantly from him in terms of policy.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

Let’s suppose that during this six-year term, Putin either dies or becomes so unwell that he can no longer govern the state. Honestly, I doubt that will happen.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I don’t believe in Putin’s ability to negotiate. I believe that Trump will do all the work, that he will go through the entire process. Yes, he will formulate peace proposals. Yes, he will bring some representatives of Ukraine and Russia to the table—not the presidents, not Zelensky or Putin. And then Putin will start his sabotage. Because Putin has no intention of ending the war, and he doesn’t need any peace agreement.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Trump #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think there will most likely be a call or some kind of conversation, or perhaps even a meeting... between Trump and Putin before the inauguration.
Did not come true
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Putinism, having survived this war, will become stronger, tougher, and more aggressive toward its citizens. After the war in Ukraine ends, the Putin regime will grow stronger.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

The Kremlin will hold onto Ramzan Kadyrov until the very end... Analysts are correct when they say that the fall of Kadyrov will be a precursor to Putin's own fall. This will happen sooner.
Expected
#Russia #Kadyrov #Putin
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

It is evident that, as a result of Putin's rule, there will be a strong nationalist party, with its core obviously consisting of veterans of this war. Following Putin's rule, a significant nationalist party will emerge in Russia, founded on veterans of the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Vadim Radionov

I don’t think that anything will change in a global sense immediately after the elections... The U.S. elections are a significant event that shapes future developments. But I don’t believe that once the day has passed and the votes are counted, we’ll wake up in a different world. If things do change, it will happen gradually. In response to the question: "Do you feel that Putin will stop soon after the U.S. elections?" (Implying that Putin will stop the war in Ukraine after the 2024 U.S. presidential election)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #2024 United States presidential election
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

Of course not. If it becomes absolutely critical, he may be forced to proceed. But mobilization is the last thing he would do. In response to the question: "He (Putin) won’t go for mobilization?"
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

If Putin is no longer in power, then the Caucasus will immediately, of course, separate, and that’s completely obvious. Separate from Russia
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

But to imagine that the Russian Federation, after parting ways with Putin, would continue his course, uphold his values, and remain loyal to him—it’s impossible. In fact, the term "forever" is perhaps the least fitting description for the current Russian statehood.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

As for the possibility of negotiations with Putin for Trump, there is none. There is a 90% likelihood that throughout Trump's term, if he gets one, a summit meeting with Putin will not take place. It's impossible to arrange. Putin will not enter into any negotiations with Trump about ending the war, on the terms that Trump might propose.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Kseniya Larina

When they hang Putin, I assure you, Lukashenko will be the first in line to kick the stool from under him. If Putin collapses, Lukashenko will betray him.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Putin #Belarus #Russia
ru → en