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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Putin

Authors
124
Predictions
345
Verified
92
Came true
65%
Complex
48%
Confident
48%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Yevgenia Albats

Putin urgently needs to end this war. I think he needs to wait a few months. And we will see how gradually he will start to roll back... Apparently, he will manage to retain at least Donbas for some time, and the question of Crimea will likely be postponed. But Putin will begin to roll back
Did not come true June 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergei Markov

My forecast? No—my insight: the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine will collapse now due to Ukraine’s ultimatums. But that will be the first move, a pass. After that, the second move: an announcement will be made about a meeting between Putin and Trump as soon as possible.
Did not come true May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Trump #USA
ru → en

Win/Win

The meeting between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump is being prepared and will take place before the end of May. Depending on the circumstances… those will be the topics discussed. It’s definitely not going to be like the Vatican on chairs.
Did not come true May 31, 2025
#Putin #Trump #Russia #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Trump said: "I want to meet with Putin right away. The inauguration is now, and I want to meet with Putin immediately." And everyone was speculating whether he would meet with Putin or Zelensky first. I said they wouldn’t meet before summer. And now, my prediction just has one more month to hold.
Completely came true May 31, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Savik Shuster

To be honest, I don’t expect Putin to show up. It would be a very positive sign if he did — it would mean that Russia is seeking a ceasefire. In Istanbul on May 15 for negotiations with Zelensky.
Completely came true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Turkey
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I'd give it a 1. Not zero. It's not zero probability. In response to the question: "Could Putin come? On a scale from 1 to 10, what number would you assign to the likelihood of Putin coming?" (To Istanbul on May 15 for negotiations with Zelensky)
Completely came true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Turkey
ru → en

Roman Kostenko

To be honest, I find it hard to believe that Putin will come, because I don’t see it happening — and I think he’s afraid of direct negotiations, especially on neutral ground, where there will be no propaganda, no support, and he’ll have to sit at the same table with Zelensky. I think Putin is afraid, so I doubt he’ll come. In response to the question: "What’s your prediction? Will Putin come?" (To Istanbul on May 15 for talks with Zelensky)
Completely came true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Zelensky #Turkey
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Putin responded during the night with his proposal for a meeting on May 15 in Istanbul. We've seen Zelensky's response... Will Putin agree or not? My personal opinion is that, of course, he won’t come, and of course, nothing will happen. Putin will not come to Istanbul on May 15 for negotiations with Zelensky.
Completely came true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Zelensky #Turkey
ru → en

Ekaterina Kotrikadze

It seems to me that he is considering taking this risky step — the step of signing a truce with Ukraine. I don’t know whether he will go to Istanbul or not; I admit that he might. Of course, I agree that there’s a 99.9% chance he won’t go, but still, I allow for the possibility that it could happen. 99.9% chance that Putin will not go to the negotiations with Zelensky in Istanbul on May 15.
Completely came true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Turkey
ru → en

Alexander Gabuev

In my view, it is impossible to reach any kind of agreement right now. No matter what level the delegations are represented at—even if Putin himself comes, which I highly doubt—Putin has been saying from the very beginning that the Ukrainian president is illegitimate. (Putin will not attend the negotiations in Istanbul.
Completely came true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Zelensky #Turkey
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

I don’t believe he’ll come. In response to the question: "In short, I think Putin will have to come up with something more impressive. And what can he do except act tough and show up in Istanbul on Thursday? What do you think will happen?"
Completely came true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Turkey
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

When will the Russian delegation arrive in Istanbul? I don’t know who will be there. It’s unlikely that Putin will respond to such an invitation from Zelensky — “I’ll be waiting for Putin in Turkey on Thursday in person”. Knowing the character of our Petersburg comrades, they’ll react to this with a smirk and won’t go in response to such an invitation. At most, they’ll say: “Send Arahamia, and we’ll send Vladimir Rostislavovich Medinsky”
Completely came true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin #Turkey
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

One accurate prediction can be made: Trump's ceasefire proposal will not work in 24 hours, 100 days, or 3 months. Because Putin has already clearly stated what he wants. He wants conditions that severely limit Ukraine’s sovereignty, restrict its ability to make independent decisions in foreign and defense policy, and give him the opportunity at any moment, within a few months, to repeat his aggression under the pretext of Russia’s security guarantees.
Completely came true May 10, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

Trump has appointed a special representative for Ukraine and given him 100 days. This means there will be no meeting for at least 100 days, as during this time, the representative will be searching for a solution. If Trump ever meets with Putin, it certainly won’t be for negotiations or to discuss any details. No, by then, a finalized solution will already be on the table—just waiting to be signed. There will be no meeting between Trump and Putin in the next 100 days.
Completely came true May 10, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Vadim Radionov

I don’t think that anything will change in a global sense immediately after the elections... The U.S. elections are a significant event that shapes future developments. But I don’t believe that once the day has passed and the votes are counted, we’ll wake up in a different world. If things do change, it will happen gradually. In response to the question: "Do you feel that Putin will stop soon after the U.S. elections?" (Implying that Putin will stop the war in Ukraine after the 2024 U.S. presidential election)
Completely came true April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #2024 United States presidential election
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

I think it will end with an agreement to have another conversation. I don't expect any major turning points. In response to the question: "Peskov stated that Putin does not intend to make any official statements after the conversation. We’ll be waiting for information from Trump... What do you think will be the outcome of today’s conversation?"
Completely came true March 19, 2025
#Putin #Trump #Russia #USA #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

At the negotiations between Trump and Putin, which I am sure will take place by the end of February.
Did not come true February 28, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

Negotiations will undoubtedly take place; this seems obvious to me. I think we should expect them within days, any day now. I believe there will be a phone conversation. It will be interesting to observe how it is arranged. Most likely, it will be organized in such a way that Trump will call Putin.
Completely came true February 12, 2025
#Russia #USA #Trump #Putin
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

We will witness a grand scenario of "Cuban Missile Crisis 2.0" will unfold. The world on the brink of nuclear war, but at the last moment, Trump, not yet elected president, calls Putin, and together they save the world from catastrophe. Everyone breathes a sigh of relief.
Did not come true February 12, 2025
#Nuclear weapons #Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think there will most likely be a call or some kind of conversation, or perhaps even a meeting... between Trump and Putin before the inauguration.
Did not come true January 20, 2025
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mikhail Kasyanov

One and a half to two years. Answer to the question: 'How many years do you give this regime?' (Putin's regime)
Did not come true December 31, 2024
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

One of my close acquaintances says that it will be less than two years. I don't have that feeling. The answer to the question "How much time is left for Putin?"
Completely came true December 31, 2024
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Here’s my prediction: one of these three figures—Orbán, Fico, or Elon Musk—will definitely make a statement in support of Putin within the next 24 hours or so. Not directly in support of Putin, but something along the lines of how we urgently need to negotiate with him now because look how formidable he is.
Almost came true November 22, 2024
#Putin
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

A very unpopular and very unprofitable decision for Putin, he will have to go for a new partial mobilization if the war cannot be stopped in the next month.
Did not come true October 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

The final times of Vladimir Putin's regime have begun... if not in the next few months, then definitely within the next six months, a year, or a year and a half.
Did not come true August 10, 2024
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Putin will not release Navalny... there are two people that Putin will not let go. I understand that I could be wrong, but nonetheless, I have been following this for a long time. These are two personal enemies of Putin: Alexei Navalny and Vladimir Kara-Murza.
Partially came true August 1, 2024
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Oleksiy Goncharenko

A good Russian is Vladimir Kara-Murza, whom I consider my friend, and who openly spoke out against the war. For this, he is currently in prison, and it is clear that he will never be released under Putin.
Did not come true August 1, 2024
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

Right now, it seems there are chances that they will release Kara-Murza... but they will keep everyone in solitary confinement until death... they will never be released, never.
Did not come true August 1, 2024
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

Removal after the liberation of Kherson. The removal of Putin from power... they will remove him with the wording: "Comrade Putin is ill, he cannot fulfill his duties, and he is transferring his responsibilities to the collective body of the Security Council"
Did not come true July 31, 2024
#Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

No, it won't survive. Answer to the question: "Will the Putin regime last until then?" (until July 1, 2023)
Did not come true July 1, 2024
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Yes, of course. Answer to the question: 'Will Putin remain in power?'
Completely came true March 31, 2024
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Orlov

My prediction is simple: there will be elections, they will take place on schedule, in 2024, and Putin will win them. Context: Mobilization has just begun in Russia, there have been many problems, and there are many opinions that Putin may not last until the next elections, or that the elections may be postponed.
Completely came true March 18, 2024
#Putin #2024 Russian presidential election #Russia
ru → en

Valery Solovei

Everyone understands that the future will come. It will be without Putin. It will arrive much sooner than previously thought. Not after 2024, but apparently, not just apparently, but definitely in 2023.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

In the near future, I believe that by the end of this year, very high-level investigations will begin regarding at least two of Putin's closest oligarchs.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Gleb Pyanykh

It may have only a year left. To Putin's regime.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Ilya Ponomarev

But my prediction... this birthday that Putin will celebrate... will be his last birthday.
Did not come true October 7, 2023
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Valery Solovei

In the coming months, I wouldn't count on anything like that. Response to the comment: 'As soon as Putin loses the presidential seat, he will be killed immediately.'
Completely came true September 25, 2023
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I am not sure that this can happen in the near future... I have skepticism; I approach this with skepticism. Commenting on the remark "Putin may be removed by the Security Council due to health reasons"
Completely came true September 14, 2023
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

And the question that is on the agenda, and I still think that this will not happen, is whether Putin will manage to push for the launch of Nord Stream 2.
Completely came true September 9, 2023
#Gas #Europe #Putin
ru → en

Gennady Gudkov

I don't think there will be any showdown with Prigozhin. It is not beneficial for Putin.
Did not come true August 23, 2023
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

But he will not remove Sergei Shoigu, for example... or Gerasimov in the near future. Putin
Completely came true June 14, 2023
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

But now he has 'Europe in three months.' We will freeze them now, and they will kneel; they will pressure Zelensky to sit at the negotiating table, stop supplying him with weapons, and halt economic assistance... well, that's his current plan. He will most likely fail just like with 'Kyiv in three days'. About Putin and his plans
Completely came true May 31, 2023
#Putin #Russia #European Union #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Gas
ru → en