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Predictions and promises monitor

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Konstantin Borovoy

Politician, entrepreneur, blogger (Russia, USA)

Predictions
40
Verified
5
Came true
60%
Complex
60%
Confident
60%
Rating
5.55
All Expected Expected soon New results

Konstantin Borovoy

And Zelensky also cares about security. He understands that stopping the war means immediate elections, immediate removal of this group from power, and the start of investigations into this group's activities after the elections.
Expected
#Ukraine #Zelensky #Elections #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

First, Putin says, recognize these territories and give me guarantees, and then I'll be ready to stop the hot phase of the war. He understands that if the war stops now along this line, it will lead to endless negotiations that will last decades and certainly won't result in the recognition of occupied territory.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

If the war doesn't stop, it will lead to the removal of democratic power in Ukraine and catastrophically increase the chances of Putin's supporters coming to power.
Expected
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

The conditions formulated by Putin. Putin very much wants to gain a lot before negotiations begin, before the hot phase of the war stops. As I understand it, he's achieved his goal; he'll get sanctions. And these sanctions will be very painful. Answer to the question: "Under what conditions, in your opinion, will peace negotiations take place?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #USA #Economy #Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Let them believe that defeat is not final, that it is not capitulation. But now they will be offered a deal and asked to abandon their nuclear ambitions. They will ponder it for a long time—and most likely agree. After all, on the other side of the scale lies the bombing of Iran or actions that would remove the Ayatollahs.
Expected
#Iran #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I don't think that either Ukraine or Russia will have enough strength to continue this war until 2026. I have a feeling that some kind of political process has begun—a process of understanding that this war needs to be stopped.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think they will come to power. In response to the question: "What will happen with the French right-wing?"
Expected
#France
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

It's obvious that Iran is stalling, and has been for years—more than a decade. And all of this will end the way we want it to: with the physical destruction of Iran’s nuclear program, nuclear weapons, and missile systems.
Expected
#Iran #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I am also confident that one day a monument to Novodvorskaya will be erected in Russia — the only dissident who fought for Russia’s true interests.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think he will keep trying to stop this war for a long time — until he succeeds. In response to the question: "How long will Trump keep trying to stop the war? When might he say he's washing his hands of it, that he’s done everything he could, and from now on it’s up to others — America is no longer interested?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Russia needs to return to the global stage. But returning while sanctions are still in place is impossible. And no one will lift the sanctions without the de-occupation of the territories.
Expected
#Russia #Economy #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

The Iran issue ranks second. On Trump’s scale, I would give it a weight of 3 out of 10. We know that this issue will be resolved, and very quickly. The nuclear program will be stopped through negotiations.
Expected
#Iran #USA #Trump
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Trump is serving his second term in presidential office, a second term in office. He won’t be president a third time... I’m sure that Trump won’t run for a third term.
Expected
#Trump #USA #Elections
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I’d give Putin five years, no more. Then maybe a gray zone — another five years. Ten years total. By that time, he’ll probably die anyway.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I foresee this happening within a couple of years — blogging will start to fade and disappear. Only those will remain who turn their platforms into professional news agencies, information agencies, or expert organizations.
Expected
#Internet
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Musk’s sales are down 50 percent, and the market cap is down 17 percent. Smart Democrats in Congress have already picked up on this. They’re buying like crazy — buying Tesla stock. Because it will go up. It can’t go down.
Expected
#Economy
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I'm sure that Yermak will publish a memoir that will be very popular, in which he will talk about his relationship with Zelensky.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In reality, Putin won’t last long. When this regime collapses, all those territories will return to Ukraine — there’s no doubt about that. And all those criminals who carried out these seizures — we will hunt them down around the world and bring them to justice. Justice will prevail. Sometimes, it doesn’t come immediately.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

You'll see — something big is about to start in connection with the decision regarding Marine Le Pen, and it won’t be pretty. I have no doubt about it for even a second. The protests will be massive.
Expected
#France
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think there’s a very important point related to Taiwan. The Democratic administration has an ambiguous stance — at one point, Biden made a very dangerous statement saying that the U.S. would not intervene in a conflict between China and Taiwan. That is a very dangerous position. It’s clear that under Trump, nothing like that could happen — Taiwan will defend itself, and it is not a province of China.
Expected
#Taiwan #China #USA #Trump
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I don't think it will come to an uprising. But we’ll see. I believe that if anyone would stage an uprising, it would be the Democrats. Not an uprising, but rather some protests—those are possible. He implies that there will be no uprising from the Republican Party in the U.S. if Trump loses.
Cannot be verified
#USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think this will be one of Ivanishvili's justifications when he is removed from power and receives a sentence in absentia, a punishment. He will probably outlive Putin and eventually face punishment, perhaps even in absentia.
Expected
#Georgia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In Georgia, a revolutionary scenario is likely. The Georgian people are very emotional. At some point, when mere existence becomes truly dangerous for people, they will rise up and overthrow Ivanishvili. He won’t sit in prison; he’ll flee to Russia immediately.
Expected
#Georgia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Leftist ideology began to retreat in the 21st century... In France, nationalists, patriots, Le Pen... will come. Implying that Marine Le Pen, or right-wing forces in general, will eventually come to power in France.
Expected
#France
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

A similar situation is unfolding in Ukraine right now. The choices aren’t great either. Ukraine is slowly moving toward authoritarianism. There’s already a propaganda campaign instead of a free information environment. The security forces are beginning to dominate as well. I think they’ll remove Zelensky from power, and gradually, security forces and intelligence services will start to take control.
Expected
#Zelensky #Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

We are talking about the current President of the United States, Joe Biden. But in a couple of weeks, there will likely be a different U.S. President, who has already stated that this is exactly what he plans to do. In response to the statement: "The U.S. could have easily brought down oil prices. But they didn't". Konstantin Borovoy is implying that the next U.S. President will likely be Donald Trump.
Completely came true
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections #Trump
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In the United States, it is unlikely that Kamala Harris will win. The next 8 years will belong to the Republicans.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I am almost certain that after the Republicans come to power in the U.S., as it was already the case during Trump’s presidency, there will be a reduction in programs of the United Nations. There will be a cut in funding for these programs.
Expected
#USA #UN
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

It will lower it, of course. That’s already clear. In response to the question: "Stocks are falling, the S&P 500 is down 4%. Will the Federal Reserve raise or lower the rate?"
Completely came true
#USA #Economy
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I really want this trial to happen. But I am a realist... The likelihood of a trial against Putin is very low. Response to the question: 'When do you think the trial against Putin will take place?'
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

There are no chances left that Russia will survive as a unified state. Absolutely no chances. There will be many new states.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

He is expendable. They will soon discard him like an unnecessary, used resource. About Yevgeny Prigozhin
Completely came true
#Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Therefore, this state has no other chances; it will disintegrate. Russia.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think that starting in January, the impeachment process will begin — if the Republicans win — an impeachment process against Biden.
Did not come true
#USA #Biden
ru → en