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Predictions and promises monitor

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#USA

Authors
111
Predictions
226
Verified
93
Came true
65%
Complex
30%
Confident
35%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Mark Feygin

They say that all efforts are being focused on arranging a new meeting between Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky. And I think such a meeting will most likely take place.
Expected
#Trump #Zelensky #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmytro Spivak

In my opinion, the Republicans are in power now and will likely stay for the next 8-12 years.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Igor Eidman

I think that pretty soon Trump will send Musk packing, because two narcissistic egocentrics with delusions of grandeur won’t be able to share the same space.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

If British and American troops are indeed deployed there under an international UN mandate, you understand that they will never leave—they’ll dig trenches, settle in, and so on, whether in blue helmets or any other color. Moscow will never agree to this. Moscow will not accept a truce in the Ukraine war that involves a neutral buffer zone controlled by British forces.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #United Kingdom #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

There will be a peace plan from the Americans, from Trump’s team. They will offer it to Putin. And then there are two scenarios: Putin more or less agrees, or he more or less refuses. I’m betting that he will more or less refuse, meaning I’m betting that there won’t be a truce in this format. But that’s just my guess.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

It seems to me that Trump will start by crashing oil prices, working to bring them down in order to take away Putin's main advantage—money.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #Economy #Russia #USA
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

The second question is what will happen under Trump with economic policy in the U.S. I actually believe that his policies will lead to very serious problems for the American economy and will slow it down.
Expected
#USA #Trump #Economy
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

It draws the attention of European officials, which is something Georgia really needs right now. America is likely to lean toward not recognizing the election results. In Georgia.
Expected
#Georgia #USA #Elections
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think there will most likely be a call or some kind of conversation, or perhaps even a meeting... between Trump and Putin before the inauguration.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Oleg Itskhoki

We can say with great confidence that taxes will remain low, and the debt will increase significantly in four years. In other words, we will have a substantially larger national debt. This is an issue the next president will have to address, and it will likely be a major debate in the next election. In four years, a significant increase in the U.S. national debt is expected.
Expected
#USA #Economy
ru → en

Mikhail Veller

If he didn’t provide them before, he won’t provide them now. Joe Biden is unlikely to change his approach and will not give Ukraine long-range missiles.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Biden #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Roman Goncharenko

I think there will be an attempt to reallocate funding; in other words, Trump will ask the Europeans to pay more, but I don’t think he’ll actually stop military aid. Lend-Lease is indeed an option that will be used. The Biden administration hasn’t really used this Lend-Lease mechanism—selling weapons rather than giving them. I think Trump will make use of it.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Stanislav Kucher

Of course, there will be no mass, multimillion deportation either. He promised it, but this is one of those promises that I’m sure Trump won’t keep, and thank God he won’t.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Alfred Koch

None. She’ll travel around giving lectures at provincial universities. In response to the question: "What future awaits Kamala Harris?"
Expected
#KamalaHarris #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe that at least until the inauguration, nothing will happen. Everything will continue as it is. There will be no ceasefire in the war in Ukraine until Trump’s inauguration.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

They’re saying that Trump won, but he won’t become president—that he still has to live to see the inauguration. Trump will 100% survive until the inauguration; I don’t think there will be any issues.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Roman Svitan

Trump will work on lowering the price of oil, and he has the mechanisms to do it. I think the price of oil will definitely drop below 60 dollars—he’ll keep it somewhere around 60 to 50.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA #Economy
ru → en

Ivan Kurilla

Kamala had that chance—that someone from a different generation would come in—but she couldn’t make use of it... I don’t think she has much of a political future.
Expected
#KamalaHarris #USA
ru → en

Nickolay Kapitonenko

It seems to me that this is more of a rhetorical trick, and to actually end the Russia-Ukraine war, not just in 24 hours but even within a few months, will be practically impossible. Trump might try, but the question is, at what cost, and not everything here will depend on him.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Peace Seems Likely Everywhere...
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Oil Heading to $50 by May.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA
ru → en

Yevgeny Popov

I think that even before January, Trump will offer Russia an obviously unfavorable deal regarding Ukraine, which we will, of course, reject. Donald will shrug and, in his usual manner, announce an unprecedented aid package for the Zelensky regime and the lifting of all restrictions on missiles.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Arti Green

The leverage in this war is in the hands of the President of the United States. If it’s Donald Trump, then oil prices will almost certainly drop significantly—one could even say they will collapse.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA
ru → en

Arti Green

There will be no just peace. It will be a compromise between justice and injustice, because the Western coalition is not inclined to push this conflict to the point of nuclear escalation. Therefore, they do not plan a military defeat of the Russian Federation. Some agreement will be reached, and I am confident it will happen, as the President of the United States has the leverage to achieve it. Knowing Donald Trump, I can say that he will likely reach this agreement fairly quickly. Regarding an agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Konstantin Sonin

It seems to me that expecting something similar to 2021, when there were indeed protests in Washington that ended with the storming of the Capitol and led to the loss of lives, is unlikely. I wouldn’t expect such protests, primarily because, in 2021, the election results were being contested by the sitting president.
Expected
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

So it’s most likely that this decision, if it is made—and I think it will be—will be made in February of next year. Talking about U.S. authorization for Ukraine to strike Russian territory with long-range missiles.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Alon Kaisar

America has already had a Black president, and when a woman, Hillary Clinton, ran against Trump, they chose the big white man over the woman. And now, it’s both a woman and Black. I think America isn’t ready for this yet... A cautious hint that Kamala Harris will lose the election.
Completely came true
#2024 United States presidential election #KamalaHarris #USA #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Medvedev

A somewhat weary Trump, spouting clichés like “I’ll offer a deal” and “I have great relationships with...,” will also be forced to follow all the system’s rules. He won’t be able to stop the war. Not in a day, not in three days, not in three months. And if he genuinely tries, he might end up like JFK. Trump will not be able to stop the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The election of Donald Trump will probably inevitably lead us to World War III.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Chingiz Mamedov

I don’t see quick solutions. Trump, of course, is now saying that it’s very simple—he’ll tell Zelensky one thing, he’ll tell Putin another, and they’ll be forced to agree with him... I don’t think that even if Trump is elected, this issue will be resolved that quickly.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Mykhailo Podolyak

In my view, the policy of the next president will be exactly the same as it is today, though perhaps with more or less intensity in support... Both Republicans and Democrats understand that this war is not only about territories in the eastern part of the European continent; it is not only about the territory of Ukraine. Regardless of who becomes the next U.S. president, their policy of supporting Ukraine will remain unchanged.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Alexander Baunov

If Israel finds itself in a dire, hopeless situation, then, of course, the United States will enter the war on Israel’s side, just as it did against Saddam Hussein on Kuwait’s behalf.
Expected
#Israel #USA
ru → en

Yelena Veduta

I think the United States is not far off from eventually moving toward socialism.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Roman Svitan

At some point, we’ll be discussing how many Tomahawks we received, how they’ll be launched, and so on. That’s definitely how it’s going to be. We will get Tomahawks. But it’s important to understand that the Tomahawk itself isn’t a game-changer; it’s a missile that’s already half a century old. Ukraine will eventually receive Tomahawk missiles.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

From my personal experience communicating with Americans, I get the impression that the U.S. elections will in no way affect the level of combat activity in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I don't think it will come to an uprising. But we’ll see. I believe that if anyone would stage an uprising, it would be the Democrats. Not an uprising, but rather some protests—those are possible. He implies that there will be no uprising from the Republican Party in the U.S. if Trump loses.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I think this permission will most likely be granted, but only after the elections. In response to the question: "Why does the U.S. prohibit strikes deep into Russia?" Referring to allowing Ukraine to use long-range American weapons for strikes deep into Russian territory.
Expected
#Ukraine #Russia #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

It would be beneficial for the Americans if a pro-American force came to power in Russia, so that together they could pressure and contain China. Establishing a pro-American regime in Russia would be a reasonable goal for the Americans. I believe that, sooner or later, they will achieve this.
Expected
#Russia #USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

We are talking about the current President of the United States, Joe Biden. But in a couple of weeks, there will likely be a different U.S. President, who has already stated that this is exactly what he plans to do. In response to the statement: "The U.S. could have easily brought down oil prices. But they didn't". Konstantin Borovoy is implying that the next U.S. President will likely be Donald Trump.
Completely came true
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections #Trump
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Trump wins, there will be big problems for the liberals... If he does win, Trump will make a tour, stopping in Vienna, meeting with the Freedom Party of Austria, Orban, Fico, Alternative for Germany, Sahra Wagenknecht, and Meloni. That’s why I’m personally convinced that Trump will be assassinated; he won’t live to see this happen because he is too dangerous.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

We'll take the risk of making a prediction. Most likely, there will be a negative response to all the points of the plan. The West will continue to pursue the same political line on Ukraine as before. Ukraine is needed as a proxy tool for the war against Russia, not as an asset for which the West would be willing to directly engage in conflict with Russia at the risk of nuclear war. Referring to Zelensky's Victory Plan.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en