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Predictions and promises monitor

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#USA

Authors
123
Predictions
267
Verified
106
Came true
64%
Complex
30%
Confident
36%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Dmitry Gubin

I bet that Musk will be devoured by Trump within the next two years.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Roman Tsymbaliuk

By the way, I bet that Greenland's status will not change legally. In fact, it will remain the same as well. Especially since, as you’ve noted yourself, America’s influence there is already significant.
Expected
#Greenland #USA #Denmark
ru → en

Petteri Orpo

I don't believe armed action at all, for example regarding Greenland. He does not believe that Greenland will be taken over by the US through any means during the next presidential term.
Expected
#Greenland #Denmark #USA #Trump
en

Sergei Markov

The Danish authorities are in a complete panic. They’re trying to secretly reach out to Trump and ask him not to take Greenland. In exchange, they’re ready to give the U.S. everything in Greenland—any military bases, any concessions. I think Trump won’t take Greenland outright. He’ll take everything there while formally leaving Denmark’s flag flying.
Expected
#Greenland #Denmark #Trump #USA
ru → en

Alexander Goldfarb

I don’t think it will come to war. I believe he will pressure Denmark and Greenland... Military action seems unrealistic to me because there are plenty of other methods of persuasion. Regarding Greenland joining the USA.
Expected
#USA #Greenland #Denmark
ru → en

Valery Solovei

I think, and I’m even confident, that we will reach a ceasefire and then a peace agreement. I believe this will happen next year. I know that very intense consultations are currently taking place between the Russian and American sides. I assume between the American and Ukrainian sides as well. In response to the question: "What changes can we expect in military and diplomatic updates during 2025?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I believe that the U.S. and the West will not recognize the new president. They will not recognize the elections. In Georgia.
Expected
#Georgia #USA #Elections
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Either something about tariffs, possibly on imports from China, or something related to crypto. In response to the question: "What will Trump’s first executive order be after the inauguration?"
Expected
#Trump #USA #China #Cryptocurrencies
ru → en

Yan Veselov

Of course, he will face difficulties in the summer when the debt ceiling will inevitably have to be raised, even if some budget cuts are implemented. In 2025, the U.S. will have to raise the debt ceiling.
Expected
#USA #Economy
ru → en

Ayder Muzhdabaev

There will be no negotiations, no ceasefire—it’s all complete nonsense. And how Trump will get himself out of this talk about ending the war in 24 hours is unclear. Naturally, Ukraine won’t just give up Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, or Donetsk region.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

I don’t see any threat to the U.S. dollar in the coming decades, for sure. BRICS is not ready for this. In bilateral relations, they can afford, as they already do, to move away from the dollar in favor of national currencies, but this doesn’t mean that the dollar is seriously weakening on the global stage yet.
Expected
#Dollar #USA #Economy
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

I assure you, the crazy Tulsi Gabbard won’t make it through the nomination either.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Roman Tsymbaliuk

Here’s a new prediction for you. As soon as the new administration takes office, strangely enough, the issue of entry into the United States will likely change fundamentally. If anyone thinks that people will be massively deported to Mexico from America, I don’t think it will work that way for a number of reasons.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

Trump’s rise to power, in particular, means that energy prices will fall because Trump promises to increase production.
Expected
#Oil #Trump #USA #Economy
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

But in any case, as I believe, until January 20, until Trump’s inauguration, Israel will not take any decisive action in this direction. Regarding Iran.
Expected
#Israel #Iran #Trump #USA
ru → en

Grigoriy Bakunov

Microsoft has already been split up before. Something needs to be done with Google... I’m confident it will happen, and, oddly enough, I’m sure it will happen faster with Trump.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Trump will fail in his attempt to establish peace... The big question is whom Trump will blame for the breakdown of negotiations—Putin or Zelensky. And I strongly suspect that it will be more convenient and cost-effective for Trump to place the blame for the failed talks on Zelensky.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Zelensky #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Konstantin Eggert

Trump will undoubtedly withdraw some American troops from the territories of allied countries. In his relations with NATO, Trump will emphasize the independence of European armies.
Expected
#Trump #NATO #USA #European Union
ru → en

Stanislav Kucher

My prediction regarding his appointments is that we won’t see most of these people in the American government. The people Trump has proposed for various positions.
Expected
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

We will witness a grand scenario of "Cuban Missile Crisis 2.0" will unfold. The world on the brink of nuclear war, but at the last moment, Trump, not yet elected president, calls Putin, and together they save the world from catastrophe. Everyone breathes a sigh of relief.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Specifically about Gabbard, I think she won’t be approved. Tulsi Gabbard won’t be confirmed as the head of U.S. intelligence.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

Well, I don’t really believe in that scenario. Because even with the makeup of the Senate and the House of Representatives, I see that there are many supporters of continued financial and military aid to Ukraine, including within the Republican Party. In response to the question: "If it happens that after his inauguration, Trump, with a majority in both the Senate and the House, decides to either stop or significantly reduce financial aid to Ukraine to near zero, what will happen?"
Expected
#Trump #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Hardly any missile will actually reach the U.S. The truth is that Aegis, THAAD, and similar systems will intercept 95-97% of the strategic missiles heading toward the U.S. The U.S. knows this, and Moscow knows it too.
Expected
#USA #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe there will be no response. There will be no strikes by Moscow on the territory of third countries—I mean European countries or the U.S. And no strikes on bases, as they mention, in the Baltic states, for example... This won’t happen. Moscow won’t react to this. There will be no military response from Russia to the decision allowing Ukraine to strike Russian territory with long-range weapons.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #USA #European Union
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

Each of them is writing their own biography. Musk is writing his. Trump’s place in that biography is very modest... The fallout between these two figures, their conflict, will be so loud, so explosive, and so fascinating that you won’t need any TV shows for the foreseeable future.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Dmytro Rozenfeld

I’m thinking about how quickly he’ll fall out with Elon Musk. Because Elon Musk overshadows him. And someone like Trump doesn’t like being overshadowed. That’s why I think we’ll soon see a great battle of the titans, with Elon Musk being pushed out of this administration and moving into opposition.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

They say that all efforts are being focused on arranging a new meeting between Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky. And I think such a meeting will most likely take place.
Expected
#Trump #Zelensky #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmytro Spivak

In my opinion, the Republicans are in power now and will likely stay for the next 8-12 years.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Igor Eidman

I think that pretty soon Trump will send Musk packing, because two narcissistic egocentrics with delusions of grandeur won’t be able to share the same space.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

If British and American troops are indeed deployed there under an international UN mandate, you understand that they will never leave—they’ll dig trenches, settle in, and so on, whether in blue helmets or any other color. Moscow will never agree to this. Moscow will not accept a truce in the Ukraine war that involves a neutral buffer zone controlled by British forces.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #United Kingdom #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

There will be a peace plan from the Americans, from Trump’s team. They will offer it to Putin. And then there are two scenarios: Putin more or less agrees, or he more or less refuses. I’m betting that he will more or less refuse, meaning I’m betting that there won’t be a truce in this format. But that’s just my guess.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

It seems to me that Trump will start by crashing oil prices, working to bring them down in order to take away Putin's main advantage—money.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #Economy #Russia #USA
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

The second question is what will happen under Trump with economic policy in the U.S. I actually believe that his policies will lead to very serious problems for the American economy and will slow it down.
Expected
#USA #Trump #Economy
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

It draws the attention of European officials, which is something Georgia really needs right now. America is likely to lean toward not recognizing the election results. In Georgia.
Expected
#Georgia #USA #Elections
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think there will most likely be a call or some kind of conversation, or perhaps even a meeting... between Trump and Putin before the inauguration.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Oleg Itskhoki

We can say with great confidence that taxes will remain low, and the debt will increase significantly in four years. In other words, we will have a substantially larger national debt. This is an issue the next president will have to address, and it will likely be a major debate in the next election. In four years, a significant increase in the U.S. national debt is expected.
Expected
#USA #Economy
ru → en

Mikhail Veller

If he didn’t provide them before, he won’t provide them now. Joe Biden is unlikely to change his approach and will not give Ukraine long-range missiles.
Did not come true
#War in Ukraine #Biden #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Roman Goncharenko

I think there will be an attempt to reallocate funding; in other words, Trump will ask the Europeans to pay more, but I don’t think he’ll actually stop military aid. Lend-Lease is indeed an option that will be used. The Biden administration hasn’t really used this Lend-Lease mechanism—selling weapons rather than giving them. I think Trump will make use of it.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Stanislav Kucher

Of course, there will be no mass, multimillion deportation either. He promised it, but this is one of those promises that I’m sure Trump won’t keep, and thank God he won’t.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Alfred Koch

None. She’ll travel around giving lectures at provincial universities. In response to the question: "What future awaits Kamala Harris?"
Expected
#KamalaHarris #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe that at least until the inauguration, nothing will happen. Everything will continue as it is. There will be no ceasefire in the war in Ukraine until Trump’s inauguration.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

They’re saying that Trump won, but he won’t become president—that he still has to live to see the inauguration. Trump will 100% survive until the inauguration; I don’t think there will be any issues.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Roman Svitan

Trump will work on lowering the price of oil, and he has the mechanisms to do it. I think the price of oil will definitely drop below 60 dollars—he’ll keep it somewhere around 60 to 50.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA #Economy
ru → en

Ivan Kurilla

Kamala had that chance—that someone from a different generation would come in—but she couldn’t make use of it... I don’t think she has much of a political future.
Expected
#KamalaHarris #USA
ru → en

Nickolay Kapitonenko

It seems to me that this is more of a rhetorical trick, and to actually end the Russia-Ukraine war, not just in 24 hours but even within a few months, will be practically impossible. Trump might try, but the question is, at what cost, and not everything here will depend on him.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Peace Seems Likely Everywhere...
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Oil Heading to $50 by May.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA
ru → en