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Predictions and promises monitor

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#USA

Authors
149
Predictions
358
Verified
138
Came true
62%
Complex
36%
Confident
40%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Igor Slabykh

Ideally, a special prosecutor should be appointed. Because who’s going to conduct the investigation? Tulsi Gabbard, who took part in that chat? Or the CIA director? They’re all interested parties. A special prosecutor needs to be appointed to carry out the investigation. But that’s not going to happen.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

An increase in military support for Ukraine — it’s already clear that this won’t happen. Trump won’t do it, even though such proposals have been discussed.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Trump
ru → en

Sergei Ryabkov

I don't think this will happen. I believe that in the rhetoric, in the vocabulary, in the language used by the current administration, there's a certain amount of bravado. I think it's a kind of verbal whip used to spur the "NATO horse." The U.S. will not leave NATO.
Expected
#USA #NATO
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

For now, they differ in that American tanks aren’t rolling up to Toronto... I still don’t really believe that Americans are going to go to war with Canada. In response to the question: “What’s the difference between Trump’s statements about Canada and Putin’s about Ukraine?”
Expected
#USA #Canada
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I am 100% sure that the status of Crimea will not be recognized as Russian territory by either the United States or the UN.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #Russia #UN
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

But the real issue of the conflict is the lack of security guarantees that Zelensky is demanding—guarantees that neither Trump, nor Vance, nor Biden, nor anyone else can provide. There will never be security guarantees… Security guarantees are impossible in this situation. They will not happen, not ever, under any circumstances.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

The situation is truly strange. Russia has given nothing, yet the Americans have offered it mountains of gold. I don’t think any of this will come to pass. Russia will do nothing, and the Americans will lift nothing from it.
Expected
#Russia #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

This is a left-liberal award for its own— not for outsiders, but for its own. That doesn’t make it better or worse. It’s simply a prize given only to those whom the liberal community considers acceptable to honor with such awards. It’s not necessarily the most deserving individuals. This is also a political tool. Trump is not part of this circle; he will never receive a Nobel Prize. Never.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Yes, Trump will dismantle NATO. Let’s not have any doubts, let’s not hesitate or say, "Maybe he won’t." He will. He will.
Expected
#NATO #Trump #USA
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

We will witness the trial of Elon Musk, where he will be sentenced to 25 years in prison for exploiting employees of high-tech agencies of Tesla. And we will stand in support of Elon Musk.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Trump, one of Putin's most important demands regarding Ukraine not joining NATO—strictly speaking, he basically agrees with it. So why antagonize this man? If he gets angry or offended, he might simply declare that the U.S. supports Ukraine’s application... How can you afford to quarrel with such a person? That’s why Putin will go to the negotiations. And I believe he will make a significant number of concessions.
Expected
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Yigal Levin

Trump commented on his recent conversation with the Danish Prime Minister and noted that he is confident the United States will eventually acquire Greenland. I think this will indeed happen. The U.S. has not expanded for over half a century because those decades were consumed by the confrontation with the socialist bloc, where everything teetered on the brink of the Cold War escalating into not just a hot war, but a nuclear one.
Expected
#Greenland #USA #Denmark #Trump
ru → en

Sergei Markov

The Danish authorities are in a complete panic. They’re trying to secretly reach out to Trump and ask him not to take Greenland. In exchange, they’re ready to give the U.S. everything in Greenland—any military bases, any concessions. I think Trump won’t take Greenland outright. He’ll take everything there while formally leaving Denmark’s flag flying.
Expected
#Greenland #Denmark #Trump #USA
ru → en

Alexander Goldfarb

I don’t think it will come to war. I believe he will pressure Denmark and Greenland... Military action seems unrealistic to me because there are plenty of other methods of persuasion. Regarding Greenland joining the USA.
Expected
#USA #Greenland #Denmark
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Hardly any missile will actually reach the U.S. The truth is that Aegis, THAAD, and similar systems will intercept 95-97% of the strategic missiles heading toward the U.S. The U.S. knows this, and Moscow knows it too.
Expected
#USA #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

If British and American troops are indeed deployed there under an international UN mandate, you understand that they will never leave—they’ll dig trenches, settle in, and so on, whether in blue helmets or any other color. Moscow will never agree to this. Moscow will not accept a truce in the Ukraine war that involves a neutral buffer zone controlled by British forces.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #United Kingdom #USA
ru → en

Alfred Koch

None. She’ll travel around giving lectures at provincial universities. In response to the question: "What future awaits Kamala Harris?"
Expected
#KamalaHarris #USA
ru → en

Roman Svitan

Trump will work on lowering the price of oil, and he has the mechanisms to do it. I think the price of oil will definitely drop below 60 dollars—he’ll keep it somewhere around 60 to 50.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA #Economy
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Peace Seems Likely Everywhere...
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The election of Donald Trump will probably inevitably lead us to World War III.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Alexander Baunov

If Israel finds itself in a dire, hopeless situation, then, of course, the United States will enter the war on Israel’s side, just as it did against Saddam Hussein on Kuwait’s behalf.
Expected
#Israel #USA
ru → en

Yelena Veduta

I think the United States is not far off from eventually moving toward socialism.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Roman Svitan

At some point, we’ll be discussing how many Tomahawks we received, how they’ll be launched, and so on. That’s definitely how it’s going to be. We will get Tomahawks. But it’s important to understand that the Tomahawk itself isn’t a game-changer; it’s a missile that’s already half a century old. Ukraine will eventually receive Tomahawk missiles.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

It would be beneficial for the Americans if a pro-American force came to power in Russia, so that together they could pressure and contain China. Establishing a pro-American regime in Russia would be a reasonable goal for the Americans. I believe that, sooner or later, they will achieve this.
Expected
#Russia #USA
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Trump wins, there will be big problems for the liberals... If he does win, Trump will make a tour, stopping in Vienna, meeting with the Freedom Party of Austria, Orban, Fico, Alternative for Germany, Sahra Wagenknecht, and Meloni. That’s why I’m personally convinced that Trump will be assassinated; he won’t live to see this happen because he is too dangerous.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

We'll take the risk of making a prediction. Most likely, there will be a negative response to all the points of the plan. The West will continue to pursue the same political line on Ukraine as before. Ukraine is needed as a proxy tool for the war against Russia, not as an asset for which the West would be willing to directly engage in conflict with Russia at the risk of nuclear war. Referring to Zelensky's Victory Plan.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

China plans to take over Taiwan by any means necessary, including military action, if the situation is safe for them—meaning if it can be done without consequences, such as no interference from the United States. Under what circumstances would that be possible? It's quite obvious: if Ukraine loses, if the West abandons it. If the West gives up on Ukraine and it loses the war, China will take over Taiwan.
Expected
#Taiwan #China #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

As for the possibility of negotiations with Putin for Trump, there is none. There is a 90% likelihood that throughout Trump's term, if he gets one, a summit meeting with Putin will not take place. It's impossible to arrange. Putin will not enter into any negotiations with Trump about ending the war, on the terms that Trump might propose.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

Here’s a more accurate and direct translation of your text: But from a pragmatic perspective, I understand that they won’t abandon Ukraine. And America, no matter who is president, will not be able to abandon it because abandoning Ukraine means abandoning Europe. Abandoning Europe means abandoning NATO and the European Union. Who will allow Trump to dismantle the EU and NATO? No one in America will allow it, no matter what he says. The U.S. will not abandon Ukraine.
Expected
#USA #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

The radical fears that the United States might leave NATO or paralyze it... have no basis.
Expected
#USA #NATO
ru → en

Mikhail Kasyanov

He knows that there will be retribution. It won’t be a nuclear response, because Western politicians are responsible. They won’t escalate to a nuclear war. The response won’t be nuclear, but it will be devastating. All of Putin’s military infrastructure in Russia will be destroyed. If Putin uses nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin #USA
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

$145 billion is Russia's offensive budget for next year. It’s an absolute record in the entire history of Russia. Oil at $40 undermines that figure. In that case, everything follows a completely different scenario, and then everything we’ve discussed becomes probable. But will America want to do that? Probably not. Because they produce a lot, and they have a vast amount of oil that is extracted at a higher cost.
Expected
#USA #Oil #Russia
ru → en

John Rubino

So yeah, I think home prices in the US are due to fall. But I think that what comes after what will probably be a deflationary recession of the the next year or two just because you know we've taken on so much bad debt that we have to have a recession because consumers are out of money everything's too expensive consumer spending will go down, the economy will slow down we'll have a recession we'll have an equities bare Market all of that will happen and it'll take real estate down with it.
Expected
#USA #Economy
en

Andrey Kozyrev

When the American president talks about victory for Ukraine, there could be completely different weapons behind that, not just the ones currently being used in the war. Even though the current weapons are already causing obvious hysteria and panic in the Kremlin. Putin is saying he might as well commit suicide, because launching a nuclear strike on the West, especially on America, would be suicide for Russia—complete destruction in less than an hour.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #USA
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

There are no interests for either Trump or Biden to end the Ukrainian war... Do you think Trump will stop supplying weapons to Zelensky? I believe he absolutely will not.
Expected
#Trump #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

Trump is the main advocate for fighting with China and bringing all production back to the U.S. But if the Democrats come to power, I think China's policy will very much return to a calm course of agreements on key issues with the Americans. I don't believe they will initiate any large-scale trade wars with the Democrats.
Expected
#USA #China
ru → en

Karina Orlova

The Republican Party has no future. It’s pretty obvious that it will at least split. Because by now, a significant portion of the party is already represented by MAGA.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I am almost certain that after the Republicans come to power in the U.S., as it was already the case during Trump’s presidency, there will be a reduction in programs of the United Nations. There will be a cut in funding for these programs.
Expected
#USA #UN
ru → en

Igor Slabykh

For example, Kansas or Arkansas, where there was a referendum on abortion, meaning that in the red state, the majority of people decided that yes, we want the right to abortion. And I think that in all the states where this issue will be considered in the upcoming elections, there is a very high likelihood that the supporters of the right to abortion will win. Well, we will see.
Expected
#USA #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Attempting to assassinate Donald Trump is an outrageous thing... they have arrested the shooter... it is clear that he will face severe responsibility, he will be convicted and, apparently, given a very long sentence.
Expected
#USA #Trump
ru → en

John Mearsheimer

Let's assume that collapse is so complete that the Russians are able to take all the territory in those four oblast, and then they begin to move in to the next four oblast that are to the West of those four they've already annexed and this would involve oblast like Odessa and Kharkiv. And they take those or they try to take those oblast and it looks like they're making good progress. If you're in this scenario, I think the temptation for the Americans to come in would be significant but I still think we would not come in. If Russia captures Odessa and Kharkiv, the USA will still not intervene directly in the war.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #USA #Ukraine #Russia
en

Malek Dudakov

As for Taiwan, I think we will see a slow escalation moving forward... The Americans are supplying their new medium-range missiles to the Philippines, and of course, there are endless training exercises involving American forces and the Taiwanese army. Under Trump, I believe everything will continue, including arms supplies.
Expected
#Taiwan #USA #Trump
ru → en

Malek Dudakov

The likelihood of a hot conflict, in my opinion, is not very high. Although there is a lot of hysteria coming from the West, claiming that war is just around the corner. But I believe that this is not in the interests of either the USA or China. Considering that a lot depends on Taiwan, which accounts for 60 percent of the global semiconductor market.
Expected
#Taiwan #China #USA
ru → en

Stepan Demura

Moreover, the Chinese may provoke something in Taiwan. Most likely, they will. For example, a blockade of the island. Since the forces of the U.S. Navy and Army are far from unlimited.
Expected
#Taiwan #China #USA
ru → en

Artemy Troitsky

Jack White formulated the reason why he is suing Trump... I think the court will support Jack White... Jack White will win this case, if not 100%, then 99%.
Expected
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Democratic Party leaders in the United States will never dare to seriously confront Russia, neither on the battlefield nor in the realm of sanctions.
Expected
#USA #Russia
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

Nevertheless, I don't think that, for the most part, this trend will change significantly. The trend of support for Ukraine will not change much if the Republicans win the elections in the U.S. in November 2022.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

In America, there is an ideological civil war happening. A direct civil war. Whether it will escalate to a hot war, I don't think so. It may lead to clashes... But I don't believe that F-35s will shoot down F-35s; there is no such potential there.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Aleksandr Kochetkov

Aid to Ukraine will not change significantly due to the Republicans' victory in the U.S. elections. This is not a direct quote, but it conveys the meaning.
Expected
#USA #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

Vladimir Vladimirovich will not succeed in defeating the American-centric world. About Putin
Expected
#USA #Putin
ru → en