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#Syria

Authors
15
Predictions
18
Verified
6
Came true
67%
Complex
67%
Confident
67%

Igor Eidman

And Assad will also end up lingering in Russia; of course, Putin won’t hand him over. I don’t think they’ll be able to keep their military bases either. It won’t even be Syria deciding this issue, but rather Turkey… They don’t need Russia’s presence in Syria.
Expected
#Syria #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

The new Syrian leadership has said nothing about reclaiming the Golan Heights. For now, they are talking about returning to the 1974 borders. Israel, in turn, states that during this period of uncertainty and transition, they will remain in the buffer zone without interfering with anyone. Moreover, they are taking full responsibility for maintaining everyone within the buffer zone. However, they will reassess the situation later. If the Syrian leadership demonstrates competence and a commitment to civilized dialogue, there will be no problem—Israel will regroup and withdraw to the 1974 borders. But this is unlikely to happen before the end of 2025. Of course, we’ll see—anything is possible, but it remains improbable.
Expected
#Syria #Israel
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

It is unlikely that the Russians will hand over Assad. This means they will not fulfill the main condition set by Julani. And that means they will not have bases in Tartus.
Expected
#Russia #Syria
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

If there is no Turkish-American deal regarding the Syrian Kurds, there will be no serious large-scale military operation by Turkey against the Kurds.
Expected
#Turkey #Syria #Kurds
ru → en

Roman Tsymbaliuk

My assumption is that during 2025, there will be no Russian occupiers on Syrian soil.
Expected
#Syria #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I believe he won’t live in Russia. Maybe his son or some of his family, whom no one cares about, will live in Russia. But I think he himself will most likely live elsewhere, perhaps in some Arab Emirates or similar countries. In response to the question: "What about Bashar al-Assad, where will he be?"
Expected
#Syria #Russia
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

Most likely, Russia will leave and will already begin evacuating the S-400 systems provided to Assad toward the Tartus naval base. Most likely, it will leave, most likely it will leave. Russia will leave Syria.
Expected
#Russia #Syria
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Firstly, we don’t know what kind of power will ultimately take shape... but the kind of ally Moscow once had will no longer exist, and there will no longer be any Russian military base in Syria. Russia’s presence in the Middle East will definitively come to an end.
Expected
#Syria #Russia #Middle East
ru → en

Savik Shuster

I think they will eventually reach Damascus. But after that, there will be complete chaos, because this entire alliance will fall apart, and they will start fighting each other. About the forces opposing Assad.
Expected
#Syria
ru → en

Sergei Markov

There will be no further collapse of Syria—Assad will gather all resources.
Did not come true
#Syria
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I believe that most likely, Bashar al-Assad’s regime will fall.
Completely came true
#Syria
ru → en

Oleg Soskin

Most likely, Turkish proxy units will capture Aleppo in the coming days. The Assad regime in Syria will be destroyed.
Completely came true
#Syria
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

There is a very high likelihood that Assad's regime will be destroyed—a very high likelihood. I can see this happening.
Completely came true
#Syria
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

There will be no change of power in Syria. Syria will simply fragment into a series of isolated cantons. There will be no regime change.
Did not come true
#Syria
ru → en