In my opinion, until the U.S. elections are concluded and the American stance on the Iran-Israel conflict becomes clear, Iran is unlikely to take any action, and it seems that Israel will refrain from doing so as well.
I don't think that Hezbollah will recover from this blow.
From the elimination by Israel of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and other important figures and targets.
This morning Brent was at 74... If the price keeps dropping, and the overall trend for the year, I think, is downward. It’s hard to predict, but for now, I don’t see any reason for a significant price increase.
Talking about oil prices.
I believe that a period of about 7-9 years is a very realistic timeframe in which Russia will lose the ability to be an oil exporter altogether. That is, oil will remain for the domestic market... but the revenue from exports will cease.
A hope has emerged; they will not be able to suppress this movement... I believe that it will become increasingly difficult to suppress the current wave.
The wave of protests in Iran
The northern branch is still operating, through Belarus, Poland, and Germany... it will eventually die out sooner or later by the end of the year.
About the northern branch of the Druzhba oil pipeline.