Predictions and promises monitor

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Maxim Katz

Politician, blogger (Russia)

Predictions
10
Verified
4
Came true
50%
Complex
50%
Confident
0%
5.5

Maxim Katz

If an opportunity opens up in Russia right now to create a party and take part in elections, there will be a major liberal party in two weeks — I’ll create it. I know how, I know who, everything is clear to me — it will be ready in two weeks. If I remain in the same condition as I am now by the time Russia opens up, we’ll set it up in two weeks. It will participate in everything, people will vote for it. It won’t get 60%, it will get 15–20%. In Moscow, it will get 40 percent, in St. Petersburg and other major cities. It will be an important political force.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Maxim Katz

I think this is unlikely. I don’t see any reasons for this to start happening. I actually think it will be quite the opposite. In response to the question: “In your view, under Putin as president, are any steps toward liberalization, holding certain elections, or at least simulating them possible?”
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Maxim Katz

They will try not to carry out mobilization before the procedure... They will do everything possible to avoid large-scale mobilization. Because for them, it is very politically dangerous. However, they may start it in emergency mode if the front begins to collapse. Before the presidential elections in Russia in March 2024.
Completely came true
#Russia
ru → en

Maxim Katz

I think he will be exchanged soon. Evan Gershkovich
Completely came true
#USA #Russia
ru → en

Maxim Katz

I think so, that's it. I don't believe he will be able to do anything in the Anti-Corruption Foundation. About Leonid Volkov
Did not come true
#Russia
ru → en

Maxim Katz

I don't think they will want to separate because, economically, it is completely unjustified for them; they are part of a large country. Chechnya will not want to separate from Russia after Kadyrov's departure.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Maxim Katz

Putin is unlikely to last that long. Most likely, in the next 2-3 years, he will no longer be president. I'm not making a prediction
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Maxim Katz

I believe that everything will be okay, and a normal government will be in place in Russia within 3-5 years.
Did not come true
#Russia
ru → en