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North Korea: Apparently, there's a meme going around showing the North Korean Führer looking sad — everyone is bombing everyone else, and he wasn’t invited. Of course, he could attack South Korea, but then he would be killed, and he doesn't want that.
#North Korea #South Korea

For now, they differ in that American tanks aren’t rolling up to Toronto... I still don’t really believe that Americans are going to go to war with Canada. In response to the question: “What’s the difference between Trump’s statements about Canada and Putin’s about Ukraine?”
#USA #Canada

Honestly, I would assess the likelihood of nuclear war as extremely low. From Russia’s side.
#Nuclear weapons #Russia

They don’t need to occupy anything. Siberia will fall into their hands absolutely for free. In 50 years — at most 50 — there simply won’t be any people left in that region of Russia... The population is shrinking, and rapidly. In 50 years, there will be no one left there... I’m 52, and my grandchildren will quite possibly witness how all of Siberia becomes Chinese. I’m absolutely sure of that. In response to the question: "Does China have enough military strength to occupy Siberia?"
#Russia #China

If the Americans step in for Taiwan and defend it as they have promised, it could result in a devastating military defeat for China—literally a catastrophe—that would completely shut down the idea of bringing Taiwan back into China’s fold. Completely. Therefore, in theory, they should not decide on such an action in the near future.
#Taiwan #China #USA

As for Gaza, I don't think so. In response to the question: "Do you think Israel will extend its sovereignty over Gaza, the West Bank, and newly controlled territories in Syria?"
#Israel #Gaza

It’s kind of like the Korean scenario — that’s what awaits the war in Ukraine. Wherever the front line runs, that’s where it gets fixed, and that’s where a sort of border appears — not a state border, but a de facto one. Naturally, Ukraine won’t recognize those territories as Russian, even in the best-case scenario... But I strongly doubt that this will all end in 2025. To be honest, I really doubt it. In response to the question: "Is there a chance the fighting will end this year, and what is your opinion on the territorial issue?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

The new Syrian leadership has said nothing about reclaiming the Golan Heights. For now, they are talking about returning to the 1974 borders. Israel, in turn, states that during this period of uncertainty and transition, they will remain in the buffer zone without interfering with anyone. Moreover, they are taking full responsibility for maintaining everyone within the buffer zone. However, they will reassess the situation later. If the Syrian leadership demonstrates competence and a commitment to civilized dialogue, there will be no problem—Israel will regroup and withdraw to the 1974 borders. But this is unlikely to happen before the end of 2025. Of course, we’ll see—anything is possible, but it remains improbable.
#Syria #Israel

It is unlikely that the Russians will hand over Assad. This means they will not fulfill the main condition set by Julani. And that means they will not have bases in Tartus.
#Russia #Syria

It seems to me that Trump will start by crashing oil prices, working to bring them down in order to take away Putin's main advantage—money.
#Trump #Oil #Economy #Russia #USA

I don’t think such a breakthrough is possible at this point... As of now, the collapse of the Ukrainian front doesn’t seem possible to me. In response to the question: "Is a breakthrough of the front by Russia possible?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

And the reason for this is that it’s yet another message to Tehran—look, the bombs have arrived, we are ready, so think faster about the deal before it's too late. And this whole media wave about Israel striking in the coming months, but no later than May-June, is a threat meant to push the Iranians to quickly accept Trump’s generous offer. They won’t agree, so these bombs will come in handy.
#Israel #Iran

I have a feeling that the Americans will end up entering the war after all. Trump issued a statement saying that he strongly warns the Iranian regime against attacking our forces and facilities in the Middle East...
#USA #Iran #Israel