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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Ukraine

Authors
239
Predictions
1038
Verified
392
Came true
63%
Complex
58%
Confident
52%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Mikhail Krutikhin

Economic sanctions don’t work, because over 25 years Putin has caused so much damage to the Russian economy that any new economic measures would simply be a continuation of Putin’s own policies. That doesn’t stop the war. The only thing that can stop the war is his defeat on the battlefield.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

The fate of this war will not be decided at the negotiating table. And there is no chance of ending this war today until the Russian occupation army is destroyed, as long as Putin remains in the Kremlin. As long as Putin is in the Kremlin, the war will not stop.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Many say that the Taurus missiles have a range of 500 km. But I am absolutely sure that even if Merz manages to get the Bundestag’s approval for supplying Taurus missiles to Ukraine, they will deliver a special limited version with a range of no more than 300 km, because there is an agreement between states that missiles with a range over 300 km cannot be supplied to anyone.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Germany #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

If peacekeepers are deployed, then a no-fly zone over Ukraine will definitely follow... They will at the very least protect the areas where the peacekeeping contingent is stationed. That’s for sure.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

If the war continues specifically with Ukraine, there won’t be a mobilization. But if there’s a clash with NATO or a group of NATO countries, then mobilization will definitely happen.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Taking Zaporizhzhia or taking Dnipro won’t work for the Russians — I’m saying that in advance. Because capturing a major city is an extremely complex operation, fraught with massive losses.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Let’s imagine that Russian troops really do approach Zaporizhzhia and the battle for the city begins. Do you think the Armed Forces of Ukraine would leave those bridges across the Dnipro — I believe there are three of them — intact? In my view, the likelihood of that is zero.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Over the past month, there’s been a kind of offensive stirring of Russian troops. And overall, it’s clear they’re probably planning to move toward Zaporizhzhia. Will it work? Only God knows. I think it won’t work out.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

Only Moscow matters. That’s why strikes must be directed solely at Moscow — and then this war will end, and it will end very quickly. There are no other ways to stop this war.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

In any case, they will not appear in Ukraine until a full agreement to freeze the war is signed. Only after that can a peacekeeping contingent be deployed on Ukrainian territory.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In reality, Putin won’t last long. When this regime collapses, all those territories will return to Ukraine — there’s no doubt about that. And all those criminals who carried out these seizures — we will hunt them down around the world and bring them to justice. Justice will prevail. Sometimes, it doesn’t come immediately.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

An increase in military support for Ukraine — it’s already clear that this won’t happen. Trump won’t do it, even though such proposals have been discussed.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Trump
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

This crazy idea of external governance in Ukraine is clearly completely unworkable.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

To imagine that Ukraine would give up or withdraw from the territories of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia — that’s a strange assumption. Even if Trump joins the war alongside Putin, even that won’t lead to Ukraine agreeing to give them up.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Zubov

I would like Putin to repent... Once he is gone, the war will truly end within two weeks. I am absolutely sure of that. And it will most likely end exactly this way.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I am 100% sure that the status of Crimea will not be recognized as Russian territory by either the United States or the UN.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #Russia #UN
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

But the real issue of the conflict is the lack of security guarantees that Zelensky is demanding—guarantees that neither Trump, nor Vance, nor Biden, nor anyone else can provide. There will never be security guarantees… Security guarantees are impossible in this situation. They will not happen, not ever, under any circumstances.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Nacke

DeepState focuses on the situation in Zaporizhzhia—referring to a village on the western flank of the Pokrovsk direction, not the city of the same name, which Russian forces have not yet reached and most likely never will.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I absolutely do not believe that Putin will agree to stop seeking official recognition from Ukraine and its Western allies of the so-called realities on the ground. That Putin would accept a peace agreement in which he continues to de facto control these captured territories, but no one except him officially recognizes these seizures.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

From my point of view, the Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada will never vote for any document even remotely resembling the Budapest Memorandum or the Minsk Agreements.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Robert Fico

And what will happen to Ukraine? Ukraine will lose a third of its territory, it will be fully controlled by the Russian Federation. And foreign troops will be stationed on the territory of Ukraine. And Ukraine will never be, never be in NATO.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
sk → en

Ian Matveev

It’s unlikely that Chasiv Yar will be captured within the next week, but it can no longer be said with certainty that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the city. After the turning point a couple of weeks ago, it became clear that Chasiv Yar will also be abandoned—sooner or later, but inevitably.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

Of course, it will. Just not now and not through military action anymore. At this point, the war is unlikely to shift in such a way that Crimea can be reclaimed militarily. But through diplomacy, Ukraine will undoubtedly regain it sooner or later. In response to the question: "Will Ukraine get Crimea back?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

Abramovich would rather wait for Ukraine when it comes to rebuilding. I can bet anything with you that Abramovich will be the main figure in Ukraine's reconstruction—just wait and see. In response to the question: "The residents of Saratov will pay for a sister city in Gaza. Why not Abramovich?"
Expected
#Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I am absolutely certain that a contingent of several countries will be stationed on Ukrainian territory—a military contingent with heavy weaponry.
Expected
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Gela Vasadze

Once again, I’ve come to the full understanding that Ukraine will inevitably become a member of NATO.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Here’s my prediction: in the presidential election after the war, both Zelensky and Zaluzhny won’t be on the ballot simultaneously. Either neither Zelensky nor Zaluzhny will be there, or Zelensky will be, but not Zaluzhny, or Zaluzhny will, but not Zelensky. That’s my prediction. In Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Arti Green

This situation not only cannot continue for long, but it will never reach the borders of Donetsk region. Just never. Russia will not be able to capture the entire Donetsk region of Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

I am absolutely convinced that when peace comes and elections are held according to the constitution, he will not run in those elections. I think that would be the wisest decision on his part. Speaking about Zelensky.
Expected
#Ukraine #Zelensky #Elections
ru → en

Sergey Gulyaev

Russia has absolutely no chance of winning it. I said this on February 25, the day after the war began. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Gary Tabach

Everyone understands perfectly well that Ukraine will not be accepted into NATO. There’s a whole range of reasons for that.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Oleg Soskin

Post-communist Ukraine was destroyed by Kuchma and Zelensky. It can no longer be restored. There will be no accession to the European Union or NATO.
Expected
#Ukraine #European Union #NATO
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Did the Russians threaten Ukraine with nuclear weapons? They did. This means there is every reason, since Russia violated the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty with respect to Ukraine, to create nuclear weapons in response. I suspect that they will be developed... Ukraine already has this program, and it will be implemented regardless.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Absolutely. I fully agree with this statement. In response to: "And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

Putin is incapable of engaging in the kind of negotiations we mean when we use the word "negotiations." And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen. Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Therefore, even 10 Oreshnik missiles, despite a strong desire to strike decision-making centers, are unlikely to reach their targets. Referring to decision-making centers in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Kostyantyn Batozsky

I think we will learn how to shoot down these missiles, "Kedr" and "Oreshnik," just as we did with many seemingly new and breakthrough types of weapons. At first, it was difficult to intercept Shaheds—but we learned. Then it was hard to intercept cruise missiles—we learned. Later, ballistic missiles—it was tough, but we learned. We’ll learn to intercept these missiles too. After all, the world is now genuinely interested in testing air defense systems against such weapons in real combat conditions.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

What is meant by defeat? It’s Russia achieving its political goal, namely installing a puppet government in Kyiv... This is no longer achievable—neither with weapons nor with soldiers.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Garry Kasparov

This war will end with Ukraine’s victory. It may not happen in five months, as we had hoped—perhaps in five years—but ultimately, the war will end with the restoration of Ukraine’s borders as they were in 1991.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Putin has many problems. But the scenario he desires most is for the U.S. to stop helping Ukraine altogether. In that case, Putin expects the situation to become easier for him. At the same time, he’s probably ready to consider a freeze, but he wants the terms of the freeze to be as favorable to him as possible. Ideally, he would want all four regions that are now included in the Russian Constitution, including the cities of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, which Ukraine will never agree to under any circumstances.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Viktor Jerofejev

I am confident it will be resolved according to the Korean scenario—there’s no other way. But how much longer this will go on is completely unclear, and Trump has no solution. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Missiles will fly. Want me to make a prediction? Sooner or later, they will fly to Moscow. To Moscow, just like they are flying to Kyiv now.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en