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Technically, it will end with the defeat of Hamas.
#Israel-Hamas war #Hamas #Israel

Putin will get a breather, will resume and accumulate resources... and he will attack again. Putin will attack Ukraine again if a ceasefire is declared.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I am absolutely sure that China will not supply weapons. To Russia.
#Russia #China #War in Ukraine

In Serbia, we can see that the wave of public discontent over some sort of retrospective of different years is growing, and in the end, it will bring Vučić down. I became 100% convinced of that when I saw the protests.
#Serbia

France was one of the most friendly Western powers toward Russia as a whole, as a phenomenon. Now, in the French political class, sentiments are at their strongest that Russia is a long-term strategic threat. These sentiments will outlast Emmanuel Macron, who has two years left to lead France. They will 100% outlast him.
#France #Russia

One thing Trump definitely won’t do is lift the sanctions on Russian LNG, and those sanctions are very effective.
#Russia #USA #Trump #Economy of Russia #Economy

The second question is what will happen under Trump with economic policy in the U.S. I actually believe that his policies will lead to very serious problems for the American economy and will slow it down.
#USA #Trump #Economy

There’s a funny story — because of Trump’s tariffs, the U.S. trade balance won’t improve, but will actually worsen. That’s because of the global economic slowdown, falling oil prices, and the shutdown of oil production facilities in the U.S., which is an important part of American exports. They’ll be exporting less oil, which means their trade balance will get worse. In other words, Trump’s actions will lead to the exact opposite result.
#USA #Economy #Trump

I usually don’t give investment advice, but just take a look at the stocks of European defense companies—they will definitely keep growing, 100%.
#Europe #Economy

Many people are counting on the Central Bank to somehow miraculously defeat inflation and start lowering its key interest rate, which would then bring down loan rates as well. But that is definitely not going to happen.
#Economy #Economy of Russia #Russia

The ruble has settled above 100 per dollar, and I believe it will continue to weaken. Much will depend on the dynamics in the coming weeks.
#Ruble #Dollar #Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy

The price of oil will not rise. It will most likely decrease due to the obvious oversupply. This is because OPEC countries are eager to increase production and move beyond output quotas. If Trump has any influence here, it’s indirect.
#Oil #Economy

I think that eventually, Nabiullina will be dismissed after some time. Referring to Elvira Nabiullina, the head of the Central Bank of Russia.
#Russia

They're once again spinning unrealistic fairy tales... Now they want to convince us that they'll keep the deficit under a trillion rubles. In the three years of full-scale war, none of the Ministry of Finance's forecasts have come true. Our forecasts, however, have been accurate: they've exceeded all their modest projections, and nothing has worked out as they planned. This means that Russia's budget deficit in 2025 will exceed 1 trillion rubles.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

We bet with Michael $100 that military spending will increase by no less than 2 trillion rubles in 2025.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy #War in Ukraine

I believe that the upcoming year 2025 will be incredibly difficult for Putin. And at the current scale, he will not be able to continue the war.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin

This cannot go on for long. After a while, it will become obvious that peace is impossible. That Trump has only provoked Putin, making him more brazen and less willing to negotiate. Somehow, this bubble will burst. I fear it will happen in an unpleasant and rather loud manner.
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine

The only tool that could work in this situation is pressure on Putin. It's already clear after two months that Trump refuses to apply it. And he won’t. He will not apply it. It’s already possible to conclude that Trump does not want to put any pressure on Putin.
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine

More than two years have passed, and there’s still no mobilization, nor is it planned—there’s no sign of it on the horizon for the coming months. In Russia
#Russia #War in Ukraine