Subscribe to our
Telegram channel

Predictions and promises monitor

| About
en | ru | Author Ranking

Vladimir Milov

Politician, public figure (Russia)

Predictions
33
Verified
14
Came true
50%
Complex
50%
Confident
50%
4.97

Vladimir Milov

The prices for the most common 95-octane gasoline are being held steady for now, largely due to the fuel damper mechanism. My prediction is that they won’t be able to maintain this for long, and eventually, the oil companies will approach the government and say: "There is already a significant gap between the real (economically justified) price of gasoline at retail gas stations and the price we are holding back—let’s start raising it". I’m curious when exactly this will happen, but I suspect we’re looking at the beginning of the year. Prices for 95-octane gasoline in Russia will soon start to rise.
Almost came true February 28, 2025
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy #Gasoline
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

I do not share the sentiment that the far-right has won. Overall, the AfD does not have such percentages in Germany, and in western Germany, they are closer to zero. They will not win at the national level. The Alternative for Germany will not win the national elections in 2025.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Judging by what the Central Bank is saying, it looks like they won’t raise it. The Central Bank of Russia will not raise the key interest rate in February 2025.
Completely came true February 14, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Their next rate meeting is on December 20, and they stated that they will raise rates again if nothing changes. As you and viewers might guess, over the next two months, it’s hard to imagine what could cause a sudden drop in inflation, especially when everything is spiraling and inflation expectations remain high, with no change in fundamental factors. So, it’s likely they’ll raise the rate again in December. The Central Bank of Russia is expected to increase the key rate once more on December 20, 2024.
Did not come true December 20, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Next week, they have no other option but to sharply raise the rate... Predictions are predictions. I think at least 3 basis points, which means the current rate of 19% will go up to at least 22%. The Central Bank of Russia will raise the key rate to a minimum of 22% on October 25, 2024.
Almost came true October 25, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

We are waiting for the meeting on September 13. There is no scenario where the Central Bank will start lowering the rate. In the best case, the maintenance of 18% is being discussed. I will take a risk and make a prediction: I think they will raise it after all. The Central Bank of Russia is likely to raise the key interest rate at the upcoming meeting on September 13.
Completely came true September 13, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Due to the closure of enterprises and the cessation of cooperation with international companies, there will be millions of new unemployed. In Russia.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Almost nothing. I think the question now is when he will physically finish his journey. They will get to him. Right now, they will try to make the situation calm down a bit, and then he will suddenly disappear from the radar. Response to the question: "What is left of Prigozhin?
Completely came true August 23, 2023
#Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

I believe that it is absolutely certain that serious breakthroughs will be achieved. This is a matter of the coming weeks. The Armed Forces of Ukraine will make breakthroughs.
Did not come true April 1, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

I am more of a skeptic. I will explain why there will not be a real military conflict... This possibility cannot be denied; such a risk exists, and it is very serious. I am not urging anyone to relax. I try to analyze all of this with a cool head.
Did not come true February 24, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en