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Predictions and promises monitor

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#France

Authors
17
Predictions
21
Verified
6
Came true
83%
Complex
50%
Confident
67%

Igor Eidman

Le Pen is far-right. The far-right in France has never been and will never be the majority in society. She might even win the first round, but she will lose to anyone in the second round.
Expected
#France #Elections
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Leftist ideology began to retreat in the 21st century... In France, nationalists, patriots, Le Pen... will come. Implying that Marine Le Pen, or right-wing forces in general, will eventually come to power in France.
Expected
#France
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

He can remain in France, where he is not in any danger in the coming years while the judicial investigation is ongoing. Pavel Durov.
Expected
#Durov #France
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe with a high degree of certainty that Durov will grant access to Telegram. While in custody, Durov will agree to cooperate with the French law enforcement system, and let's be frank, with the French means with the American and all the others
Expected
#Internet #Censorship #France #Russia #Durov #Telegram
ru → en

Margarita Simonyan

What is the main point in the story with Durov? That everyone who is used to using Telegram for sensitive conversations/messages should delete those messages right now and stop doing so. Because Durov was shut down to take the keys. And he will hand them over.
Expected
#Internet #Censorship #Russia #France #Durov #Telegram
ru → en

Vision of the future

Most likely, Macron did not forgive Durov for his connections with the authorities of Azerbaijan, whom Paris accuses of organizing protests in New Caledonia. The protests were allegedly organized through Telegram. However, it is unlikely that Durov will become the new Assange. He will be interrogated, pressured, and then released
Expected
#France #Russia #Internet #Censorship #Durov #Telegram
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

You might ask if he will send troops there? I don't think so... I am quite skeptical about Macron's initiative. Regarding the deployment of French troops in Ukraine.
Expected
#France #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

France was one of the most friendly Western powers toward Russia as a whole, as a phenomenon. Now, in the French political class, sentiments are at their strongest that Russia is a long-term strategic threat. These sentiments will outlast Emmanuel Macron, who has two years left to lead France. They will 100% outlast him.
Expected December 31, 2029
#France #Russia
ru → en

Alex Parker Returns

Pavlo de Dur continues to spin on the French bottle. Over a million channels and chats were suddenly deleted from Telegram. This is one of the most massive purges in the history of the messenger. I am sure that Pavlo will comply with absolutely all the demands of the French intelligence services, yet he still won’t be able to avoid punishment. All the best. By "Pavlo de Dur," the author refers to Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Durov #Telegram #France #Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

You'll see — something big is about to start in connection with the decision regarding Marine Le Pen, and it won’t be pretty. I have no doubt about it for even a second. The protests will be massive.
Expected December 31, 2026
#France
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

It’s possible that France might want to send troops to Ukraine on its own. However, it’s unclear how they would be supplied there, and what would happen if the Russian army strikes French forces. In that case, Paris would find itself in a very difficult position — either start a war with Russia or quietly withdraw the troops and admit military defeat. Therefore, we’ll risk making a prediction — Macron won’t send anyone anywhere. All his statements are loud but empty political PR. Until the Americans authorize the deployment of European — and specifically French — troops to Ukraine, no Europeans will appear there.
Expected December 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #France #Europe #USA #Russia
ru → en