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#Russia

Authors
322
Predictions
1787
Verified
681
Came true
64%
Complex
56%
Confident
48%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Michael Nacke

We’re waiting for a drone swarm. I’m sure that during this war, we’ll see one. Sooner or later, we’ll definitely witness a swarm of drones. Air defense is in no way capable of withstanding a massive attack targeting one or several objectives, carried out by a hundred or two hundred drones. I believe Ukraine already has such capabilities — or will have them soon.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Kara-Murza

I rarely agree with Putin on anything, but there's one thing he said yesterday that’s hard to disagree with. He said that the war in Ukraine will continue until its root causes are eliminated. I completely agree with that. The only thing is, the real root cause of this terrible war is the current Chekist regime... As long as Putin remains in power, the war will go on.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

Let’s see what happens with the sanctions. The 17th EU sanctions package is ready. Will it be adopted? Europe is waiting for action from Trump. But Trump, for his part, is in no rush. I’ll venture a guess: Trump, as someone primarily focused on a meeting with Putin — he has said that he’s willing to postpone all other meetings for the sake of this one — doesn’t want to strain relations with the Kremlin. So I think Trump definitely won’t impose any sanctions now. Before the meeting with Putin.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA #Economy
ru → en

Valery Solovei

Who exactly will become his successor? That’s the key question. It won’t be Adam Kadyrov. Nothing of the sort. Adam Kadyrov will not succeed Ramzan Kadyrov.
Expected
#Russia #Kadyrov
ru → en

Ian Matveev

In terms of probability, I would assess it as low. Because the involvement of Russia’s regions in Russian affairs is very high — most likely, no one will want to separate, in my opinion. The republics of the Caucasus — maybe; their probability is somewhat higher. As for Tatarstan, the probability is zero. In response to the question: "What do you think about the possibility of national republics breaking away from the Russian Federation after the end of the Putin regime? How likely do you think that is?"
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

If we’re talking about European countries, they abide by international law — unlike Putin. Therefore, of course, no one is going to attack Kaliningrad.
Expected
#Russia #Europe
ru → en

Ekaterina Kotrikadze

And Grigory Melkonyants will be released, I’m sure of it, and he will continue to monitor fair elections in Russia. I just hope the viewers don’t take me for a naive, silly girl — I’m truly convinced of this.
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

If, let’s say, Putin loses power, are they planning to try him there in that tribunal? We won’t let them try him there if he loses power. He must be tried in Moscow and must reveal which of these Europeans helped him, who was the main criminal in Europe, who was the traitor. Over there in Europe, he won’t reveal any of this.
Expected
#Putin #Russia #Europe
ru → en

Tetiana Montian

Zero. In response to the question: “Some time ago, people were saying that it would all end because the front would collapse, the front would crumble, and we would take a couple of regions in no time. What are the chances that this will happen?” (That Ukraine’s front will collapse, Russia will break through, and seize more regions)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Tetiana Montian

Timur Ivanov hasn’t been jailed yet. I’m sure about him — he’ll get a shorter sentence than Popov, you’ll see.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Everyone was writing about Putin, filming about Putin, talking about Putin... Everyone immediately started guessing: is this the one he’s picking as his successor? And look, Sobyanin talked to him for over half an hour — could it really be Sobyanin? I can say for sure: definitely not Sobyanin. Anyone but Sobyanin.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Maxim Katz

I think this is unlikely. I don’t see any reasons for this to start happening. I actually think it will be quite the opposite. In response to the question: “In your view, under Putin as president, are any steps toward liberalization, holding certain elections, or at least simulating them possible?”
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

No, there will be no mobilization. There will be no mobilization. Mobilization is not needed. Because that would mean arming the people. And an armed people are dangerous, very dangerous. In response to the question: “Will there be a mobilization?” (in Russia)
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I am also confident that one day a monument to Novodvorskaya will be erected in Russia — the only dissident who fought for Russia’s true interests.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

As for Crimea, in my opinion, after 11 years of occupation, it is already clear that Crimea will never be internationally recognized as Russian territory. It will never happen. The only thing Russia can count on is the occasional whims of individual leaders.
Expected
#Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

Whether the United States recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine or not does not depend on Zelensky — it depends on the United States. And most likely, they will recognize Crimea as Russian.
Expected
#USA #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Aslanyan

Putin will inevitably open up military contracts for women at some point, because he doesn’t even have enough forces — not to conquer foreign territories, but just to contain Ukraine.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

Putin will not agree to any conditions that would allow Ukraine to no longer fear a military invasion. He would rather give up certain settlements than agree to any security guarantees for Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

Over all these years, despite the fact that Trump has managed to insult virtually every well-known political figure at least once — with or without reason — he has never said a single bad word about Putin. He hasn’t, and he won’t.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Yury Pivovarov

No, I don’t believe it. Putin is very much interested in the war. The longer the war goes on, the fewer questions he’ll face from his own people. In response to the question: "Do you believe Putin would be willing to stop the war, to bring it to an end?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yury Pivovarov

It’s hard to say what will happen. When will it happen? What will happen to this regime in the coming years if Putin remains in power? He will stay in power as long as he’s alive.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think he will keep trying to stop this war for a long time — until he succeeds. In response to the question: "How long will Trump keep trying to stop the war? When might he say he's washing his hands of it, that he’s done everything he could, and from now on it’s up to others — America is no longer interested?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Maria Pevchikh

They lie absolutely shamelessly, absolutely brazenly. Andreeva claims that the Malaysian Boeing was shot down by the Ukrainians because they thought it was the presidential plane carrying Putin. It needs to be made clear that this is an outright lie. It took a very long time to get the message across that these people should not be seen or treated as journalists, and eventually, at least some sanctions were imposed on them. Why was Andreeva overlooked? I don’t know. Just a lapse. I’m optimistic about her being included under sanctions.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Russia needs to return to the global stage. But returning while sanctions are still in place is impossible. And no one will lift the sanctions without the de-occupation of the territories.
Expected
#Russia #Economy #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Vladislav Ivanov

Artificial intelligence does not possess qualities such as compassion, for example. Therefore, it is impossible to fully replace judges with artificial intelligence.
Expected
#Science and technology #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I think that even if it’s simply Putin’s natural death and, as a result, his personal power disappears, but one of his supporters comes to power, he will still be just a little better than Putin — that’s how it seems to me. Why? Because Russia will somehow need to be rebuilt economically, and for that, it will be necessary to get out from under the sanctions... In response to the question: "After Putin's death, will someone just like him take over, or someone more reasonable?"
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

Economic sanctions don’t work, because over 25 years Putin has caused so much damage to the Russian economy that any new economic measures would simply be a continuation of Putin’s own policies. That doesn’t stop the war. The only thing that can stop the war is his defeat on the battlefield.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Win/Win

How foolish are the people writing about Gerasimov’s resignation. As long as the special military operation is ongoing, it won’t happen. And even after it ends, some time will still have to pass.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

The fate of this war will not be decided at the negotiating table. And there is no chance of ending this war today until the Russian occupation army is destroyed, as long as Putin remains in the Kremlin. As long as Putin is in the Kremlin, the war will not stop.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgenia Albats

It seems absolutely clear to me that there will be no repetition of the Stalinist model in post-Putin Russia. That doesn’t mean there will be liberals, I repeat. Most likely, it will be some kind of KGB-style junta with no legitimacy. And in that sense, it may become even more repressive for a certain period of time. After Putin’s departure, power in Russia is more likely to be taken by a "KGB-style junta" rather than a liberal democracy.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Many say that the Taurus missiles have a range of 500 km. But I am absolutely sure that even if Merz manages to get the Bundestag’s approval for supplying Taurus missiles to Ukraine, they will deliver a special limited version with a range of no more than 300 km, because there is an agreement between states that missiles with a range over 300 km cannot be supplied to anyone.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Germany #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

This is the Navalny syndrome. These people still see Russian citizens as those who could one day become their potential voters — something these Russian citizens will never be to them. They simply can’t understand that their political contract with Russia was broken long ago and will never be restored... They will never have positions, parliamentary mandates, or the opportunity to change this country within their physical lifetime. Talking about the Russian opposition in exile.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Igor Aizenberg

I don't think he would ever say out loud that he sees Russia as an adversary, or that Putin is a war criminal. That’s completely out of the question. Trump
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

No, of course not. In response to the question: "Slava, what do you think — will your buddy Volodin be jailed?"
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Victor Shenderovich

Now it's too late for him to drink Borjomi. Stepping down from power means an immediate trial, in the best-case scenario — a trial, if he even lives to see it. About Putin.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

The Baltic states are undoubtedly a risk zone, but direct aggression will most likely occur only after one version or another of the war against Ukraine has played out. Whether Putin will be in a position to attack anyone after this war — or whether he’ll even still be around — is a rhetorical question, because I don’t have an answer to it. If Putin does attack the Baltic states, it will be after the war against Ukraine is over.
Expected
#Putin #Russia #Estonia #Latvia #Lithuania
ru → en

Mark Feygin

If peacekeepers are deployed, then a no-fly zone over Ukraine will definitely follow... They will at the very least protect the areas where the peacekeeping contingent is stationed. That’s for sure.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

If the war continues specifically with Ukraine, there won’t be a mobilization. But if there’s a clash with NATO or a group of NATO countries, then mobilization will definitely happen.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Answer to the question: Will there be a mobilization? My answer is: most likely, yes — because the generals are persistent people, and for Putin, Ukraine is the main enemy, something that must be destroyed. And as for the people, the National Guard and the valiant security services will take care of them.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Taking Zaporizhzhia or taking Dnipro won’t work for the Russians — I’m saying that in advance. Because capturing a major city is an extremely complex operation, fraught with massive losses.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Let’s imagine that Russian troops really do approach Zaporizhzhia and the battle for the city begins. Do you think the Armed Forces of Ukraine would leave those bridges across the Dnipro — I believe there are three of them — intact? In my view, the likelihood of that is zero.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Over the past month, there’s been a kind of offensive stirring of Russian troops. And overall, it’s clear they’re probably planning to move toward Zaporizhzhia. Will it work? Only God knows. I think it won’t work out.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Right now they are developing some kind of mechanism whereby, no matter what Orban’s position is, they simply activate the mechanism — and that’s it. Europe will not lift the sanctions. Sanctions against Russia.
Expected
#Europe #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

For now, everything is being done for Putin — in favor of Putin, in the name of Putin, to support Putin. But nothing will come of it, in my opinion. So this will eventually lead to a tightening of sanctions against Russia. On the relationship between Trump and Putin
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

Only Moscow matters. That’s why strikes must be directed solely at Moscow — and then this war will end, and it will end very quickly. There are no other ways to stop this war.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I believe that once Kadyrov is gone, within a few months — let alone a few years — all that will be left of him in Chechnya will be memories, that there once was such a person as Kadyrov. Everything will be renamed, everything will be removed.
Expected
#Kadyrov #Russia
ru → en

Vasily Koltashov

Russia has incorporated four new regions. It will take in four more, and then another four. This will likely continue to happen.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I strongly disagree with the idea that any form of ending the war in Ukraine will lead to some kind of thaw, a weakening of the regime, or anything like that. I don't believe in it, and I don’t recommend that you do either.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Maria Pevchikh

Remember this tweet. Later, they’ll all come to us: Kirill Dmitriev, all those technocrats, the employees of today’s Ministry of Economic Development and Finance, or the bankers from Sberbank — Gref and the rest. After Putin, they will appear in a completely different light. They’ll be soft and fluffy. They’ll say things on TV that melt our hearts. They’ll smile and talk about how important and heroic Alexei Navalny was, how they secretly supported him all along, and how vital his work was.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In reality, Putin won’t last long. When this regime collapses, all those territories will return to Ukraine — there’s no doubt about that. And all those criminals who carried out these seizures — we will hunt them down around the world and bring them to justice. Justice will prevail. Sometimes, it doesn’t come immediately.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Putin #Russia
ru → en