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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Russia

Authors
301
Predictions
1588
Verified
611
Came true
63%
Complex
57%
Confident
49%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Maria Pevchikh

Remember this tweet. Later, they’ll all come to us: Kirill Dmitriev, all those technocrats, the employees of today’s Ministry of Economic Development and Finance, or the bankers from Sberbank — Gref and the rest. After Putin, they will appear in a completely different light. They’ll be soft and fluffy. They’ll say things on TV that melt our hearts. They’ll smile and talk about how important and heroic Alexei Navalny was, how they secretly supported him all along, and how vital his work was.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In reality, Putin won’t last long. When this regime collapses, all those territories will return to Ukraine — there’s no doubt about that. And all those criminals who carried out these seizures — we will hunt them down around the world and bring them to justice. Justice will prevail. Sometimes, it doesn’t come immediately.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

To imagine that Ukraine would give up or withdraw from the territories of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia — that’s a strange assumption. Even if Trump joins the war alongside Putin, even that won’t lead to Ukraine agreeing to give them up.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vitalij Manskij

I think a new Putin will emerge. There’s virtually no hope that a “Gorbachev” will come after Putin.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Vitalij Manskij

I believe that Putin got lucky with the Russian people. And he will die in power.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Zubov

I would like Putin to repent... Once he is gone, the war will truly end within two weeks. I am absolutely sure of that. And it will most likely end exactly this way.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I am sure that sooner or later, some sort of Prigozhin analogue will emerge in the Russian army, I have almost no doubt about it.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

What future awaits Akim Apachev? I think it's quite an unseemly one. We've seen what happened to Strelkov.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Kamikadze D

Turkey, together with Israel, using these rebels, threw Assad and his Russian lackeys to hell. Hmeimim and Tartus will never be Russian again.
Expected
#Syria #Russia #Turkey #Israel
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I am 100% sure that the status of Crimea will not be recognized as Russian territory by either the United States or the UN.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #Russia #UN
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

Putin is stronger than he was 4 years ago. This is a reality that must be acknowledged. And the scenarios that seemed realistic back then are not realistic at all today. Therefore, I don’t believe in the “snuffbox scenario” at all. The “snuffbox” refers to the fate of Russian Emperor Paul I, who was killed by conspirators using a snuffbox.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

The situation is truly strange. Russia has given nothing, yet the Americans have offered it mountains of gold. I don’t think any of this will come to pass. Russia will do nothing, and the Americans will lift nothing from it.
Expected
#Russia #USA
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

There will be no scenario where Putin openly and publicly appoints a successor and then gradually hands over power to him.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

DeepState focuses on the situation in Zaporizhzhia—referring to a village on the western flank of the Pokrovsk direction, not the city of the same name, which Russian forces have not yet reached and most likely never will.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

Notice that I did not mention the Anti-Corruption Foundation because I sincerely believe that they have no political future in Russia. I think a critical number of fatal mistakes have been made, making them vulnerable to being taken down by anyone.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I absolutely do not believe that Putin will agree to stop seeking official recognition from Ukraine and its Western allies of the so-called realities on the ground. That Putin would accept a peace agreement in which he continues to de facto control these captured territories, but no one except him officially recognizes these seizures.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Trump, one of Putin's most important demands regarding Ukraine not joining NATO—strictly speaking, he basically agrees with it. So why antagonize this man? If he gets angry or offended, he might simply declare that the U.S. supports Ukraine’s application... How can you afford to quarrel with such a person? That’s why Putin will go to the negotiations. And I believe he will make a significant number of concessions.
Expected
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Vladimir Vladimirovich has one very strong trait, a very strong one. It lies in the fact that he has transitioned from being the executive director of a joint-stock company to becoming its majority shareholder. There are both advantages and disadvantages to this. The advantage is that he will see things through to the very end, no matter what. The disadvantage is that any succession operations or transfer of power are completely impossible. Talking about Putin.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

It’s unlikely that Chasiv Yar will be captured within the next week, but it can no longer be said with certainty that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the city. After the turning point a couple of weeks ago, it became clear that Chasiv Yar will also be abandoned—sooner or later, but inevitably.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mykhailo Samus

No, they won’t close it… There is the concept of freedom of navigation. What could happen are sanctions against these tankers. Response to the question: "Will the sea be closed for Russian tankers?" (speaking about the Baltic Sea)
Expected
#Russia #Oil #Economy of Russia #Economy
ru → en

Ian Matveev

Of course, it will. Just not now and not through military action anymore. At this point, the war is unlikely to shift in such a way that Crimea can be reclaimed militarily. But through diplomacy, Ukraine will undoubtedly regain it sooner or later. In response to the question: "Will Ukraine get Crimea back?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

Abramovich would rather wait for Ukraine when it comes to rebuilding. I can bet anything with you that Abramovich will be the main figure in Ukraine's reconstruction—just wait and see. In response to the question: "The residents of Saratov will pay for a sister city in Gaza. Why not Abramovich?"
Expected
#Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

None of the current opposition leaders, whether abroad or within Russia, will have any role in shaping Russia's future after the collapse of Putin's regime. That responsibility will fall to an entirely different generation, to people we have no knowledge of today.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

I see the future of FBK as a political force participating in competitive elections and playing an important role in the Russian parliament… of course, absolutely without any issues. Answer to the question: "Will you pass the parliamentary threshold?"
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Matvey Ganapolskiy

Pozner will be on television later, and he will talk about how war is bad. Yes, yes, yes, this will happen—it’s how things are set up. He will talk about how war is bad when the time comes.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Anton Orekh

I am confident that when some kind of peace agreement or ceasefire is signed, sanctions will begin to be lifted fairly quickly. Maybe not all at once, but the process will start fairly quickly. A ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Lifting sanctions on Russia.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Economy of Russia #Economy
ru → en

Arti Green

This situation not only cannot continue for long, but it will never reach the borders of Donetsk region. Just never. Russia will not be able to capture the entire Donetsk region of Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Gulyaev

Russia has absolutely no chance of winning it. I said this on February 25, the day after the war began. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I believe he won’t live in Russia. Maybe his son or some of his family, whom no one cares about, will live in Russia. But I think he himself will most likely live elsewhere, perhaps in some Arab Emirates or similar countries. In response to the question: "What about Bashar al-Assad, where will he be?"
Expected
#Syria #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I think that sooner or later, some cunning, greedy, or perhaps sympathetic employee of one of the intelligence agencies will leak this video as well, and we will see those horrifying scenes of Alexei Navalny dying, poisoned on Vladimir Putin’s orders in that dreadful prison.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Olga Romanova

I am absolutely certain that we will very soon see footage of Navalny’s death. This will happen as government agencies compete with each other, trying to pin the blame and outmaneuver one another. One agency will definitely leak it. Whether it’s the Federal Penitentiary Service, the FSB, or the Investigative Committee—someone will leak it, either for money or in a fit of impulse. We will see all of this, absolutely.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

I suspect that as long as Vladimir Putin is alive and well, there’s no reason to expect the collapse of the regime.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

No, I don’t think so. I think he’s more likely to face the fate of either Brezhnev or Portugal’s dictator Salazar, who simply fell into an unconscious state, with a virtual reality created for him, while in the meantime, agreements were made with the rest of the world. In response to the question: "Will Putin face Assad’s fate?"
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think that the social credit systems being implemented in China—I am firmly convinced that they won’t take root here. In Russia.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

I have a feeling that during his lifetime, there will be no trial for Putin, and he truly won’t face any punishment.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

Most likely, Russia will leave and will already begin evacuating the S-400 systems provided to Assad toward the Tartus naval base. Most likely, it will leave, most likely it will leave. Russia will leave Syria.
Expected
#Russia #Syria
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Firstly, we don’t know what kind of power will ultimately take shape... but the kind of ally Moscow once had will no longer exist, and there will no longer be any Russian military base in Syria. Russia’s presence in the Middle East will definitively come to an end.
Expected
#Syria #Russia #Middle East
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

Alexander Dmitrievich Beglov is directly a protégé of the Kovalchuks. Whether he is a popular governor or not, whether he fulfills his duties or not, is completely irrelevant. He suits the Kovalchuks. And as long as that’s the case, which is likely to remain so forever, he will remain the governor of Saint Petersburg.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

After de-Putinization, after his biological death, his grandchildren will grow up, and we will read memoirs from his daughters and grandchildren about what a monster they had to be around and how paralyzed they were, unable to do anything about it.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

They definitely don’t want to release him; they absolutely don’t need him free. So there are two options: either he stays in prison, or they eliminate him. In response to the question: "What’s Ghirkin’s fate?"
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

And if ATACMS and Storm Shadow strikes on Russian territory continue from that side, I think there will be a demonstrative strike with an Oreshnik missile on a NATO base.
Expected
#Russia #NATO #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

This applies to Putin as well. The problem is that he has gotten involved in too many conflicts and is now exhausting his resources, and this will inevitably end in collapse. There are no other options—it’s just a matter of time, how long he can stretch it out, but it will definitely end in collapse.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Absolutely. I fully agree with this statement. In response to: "And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

Putin is incapable of engaging in the kind of negotiations we mean when we use the word "negotiations." And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen. Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Therefore, even 10 Oreshnik missiles, despite a strong desire to strike decision-making centers, are unlikely to reach their targets. Referring to decision-making centers in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Victor Shenderovich

Gorinov will be freed as soon as the regime collapses. But as long as this regime exists, he will remain imprisoned—unless the regime decides it’s necessary to exchange him. Putin’s regime in Russia.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Shaveddinov

All those involved in this case will be added to the FBK’s black notebook and will be held accountable when power changes in Russia. Those involved in Alexei Gorinov’s case.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I believe the most likely scenario for Putin’s removal from power is a coup d’état resulting from a conspiracy organized by his closest allies.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Alexander Pantsov

Russia’s use of nuclear weapons, even tactical ones, removes the limitations on nuclear weapons across the entire globe. And this cannot fail to concern China, because immediately—mark my words—immediately, Taiwan will begin implementing its nuclear program.
Expected
#Taiwan #Nuclear weapons #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Savva

And then there should be a trial, an investigation, and a court ruling. However, in the case of Israeli leaders, this won’t happen, just as it won’t happen with Putin. Yes, precisely because there is a political aspect to it. Speaking about the International Criminal Court.
Expected
#Israel #Russia #Putin
ru → en