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#Russia

Authors
322
Predictions
1787
Verified
681
Came true
64%
Complex
56%
Confident
48%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Dmitry Oreshkin

It seems that within the coming months, a rotten compromise will be reached, which will please neither side... but it is far better than senseless and merciless bloodshed. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected July 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

The market reaction is one thing. The European ultimatum, which Peskov commented on regarding the ceasefire, is another. And the meeting in Istanbul is a third. As for the fundamental and main question — will there be peace? In my opinion, no. Because the positions of the two sides differ drastically.
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

As before, I still believe that the resources for continuing high-intensity combat operations are not unlimited for either side — neither for the aggressor, the Russian Federation, nor for the defending Ukraine. Therefore, I still maintain my opinion that in the first half of this year, a ceasefire agreement, under one scenario or another, will be reached.
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ivan Preobrazhensky

One can be fairly certain about the upcoming negotiations: either it will once again be talks in Riyadh, or it will be a direct call between Putin and Trump — and they will finally come to some kind of agreement. Most likely, an energy agreement on non-strike commitments and a deal regarding the Black Sea will be signed. Because the Ukrainian side will agree to sign them.
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Russia #Trump #Putin
ru → en

Arti Green

I am sure that it will. In response to the question: "Will the war stop, as some say, by the middle of this year or not?" (The war in Ukraine)
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

To answer your question, the rate will be raised to 23-25%, but it will be raised a bit later because you can’t spoil the timing. Referring to the key interest rate in Russia.
Expected June 30, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

I lean towards the idea that substantive negotiations on a ceasefire will begin. As for how they will end, as Viktor Stepanovich Chernomyrdin once said: "That’s a philosophical question." In response to the question: "Do you believe that within the next six months there will be a truce, a ceasefire, or that Putin won’t agree to it?"
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Khazin

The war in the Middle East is expected to start, roughly speaking, immediately after Trump’s inauguration—that is, late January or early February. After that, oil prices will rise, and life in Russia will improve. If a war in the Middle East begins after Trump’s inauguration, oil prices will increase.
Expected June 30, 2025
#Oil #Russia #Middle East
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

Our missiles and drones—get ready—they will soon reach Siberia and the Urals. I’m repeating this, guys, be prepared, our range is doing just fine too. (Ukrainian missiles and drones.
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

The Kursk region is in for very good news. The area currently controlled by Ukraine will remain under Ukraine’s control.
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ian Matveev

The noose around Kupiansk is tightening. Judging by the balance of forces, the city will inevitably be captured. The Ukrainian Armed Forces will have to abandon it, just as they previously left Vuhledar and Selydove.
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe there will be no response. There will be no strikes by Moscow on the territory of third countries—I mean European countries or the U.S. And no strikes on bases, as they mention, in the Baltic states, for example... This won’t happen. Moscow won’t react to this. There will be no military response from Russia to the decision allowing Ukraine to strike Russian territory with long-range weapons.
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #USA #European Union
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

If we set aside the possibility of negotiations, which are likely to fail anyway, it will once again become apparent that the Russian army is advancing, and the Ukrainian army cannot effectively counter it.
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I don’t believe in Putin’s ability to negotiate. I believe that Trump will do all the work, that he will go through the entire process. Yes, he will formulate peace proposals. Yes, he will bring some representatives of Ukraine and Russia to the table—not the presidents, not Zelensky or Putin. And then Putin will start his sabotage. Because Putin has no intention of ending the war, and he doesn’t need any peace agreement.
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Trump #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

But if the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) don’t push back the advancing forces right now, Chasiv Yar will inevitably be captured within the next few months.
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Kasyanov

The most likely scenario as I see it today — the one that's taking shape... President Trump, I think, by May or June at the latest, will realize that Putin is not capable of making agreements, and he'll start stepping away from the issue. Ukraine will no longer interest him. He’ll blame everything on the Europeans: “These are your problems — deal with them yourselves.”
Expected June 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Were you planning a summer trip to Anapa? And already considering canceling it? Cancel the cancellation! By summer, all of Anapa's beaches will be completely cleaned of oil residue. Enormous resources are being directed towards the cleanup. Thousands of volunteers—and some non-volunteers—are working. All the sand will be sifted. The cleanup will be personally overseen by the Minister of Natural Resources, Kozlov. All this so that millions of families with children can enjoy their summer vacation in Anapa!
Expected June 15, 2025
#Russia #Oil
ru → en

Vladislav Zhukovsky

I think Nabiullina will resist in every possible way right now. I believe the meeting on June 6 is important — we need to pay attention to Nabiullina’s rhetoric. I don’t think the rate will be lowered. Key interest rate in Russia
Expected June 6, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia
ru → en

Garry Kasparov

The Kremlin’s very demand for negotiations with the legitimate Ukrainian government creates yet another closed loop. On one hand, the Americans agree to hold elections after a ceasefire. On the other hand, it is impossible to sign even a temporary ceasefire agreement with anyone other than Zelensky, and holding elections before a ceasefire is also not an option. This creates yet another kind of trap, from which I currently see no way out. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that the war will continue for the next several months.
Expected June 6, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Nikolai Feldman

We’re recording this broadcast on the eve of potential negotiations. People are hoping for a ceasefire, for peace. I don’t believe in it. Let’s proceed from the assumption that it won’t happen. Speaking about the war in Ukraine and a truce between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergei Markov

My forecast? No—my insight: the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine will collapse now due to Ukraine’s ultimatums. But that will be the first move, a pass. After that, the second move: an announcement will be made about a meeting between Putin and Trump as soon as possible.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Trump #USA
ru → en

Win/Win

The meeting between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump is being prepared and will take place before the end of May. Depending on the circumstances… those will be the topics discussed. It’s definitely not going to be like the Vatican on chairs.
Expected May 31, 2025
#Putin #Trump #Russia #USA
ru → en

Ekaterina Kotrikadze

Many are now writing that this week will be critical, that something will be decided in the coming days. It seems to me that, logically, they should at least sign a 30-day ceasefire. But of course, it's not guaranteed — I could be wrong.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Trump said: "I want to meet with Putin right away. The inauguration is now, and I want to meet with Putin immediately." And everyone was speculating whether he would meet with Putin or Zelensky first. I said they wouldn’t meet before summer. And now, my prediction just has one more month to hold.
Expected May 31, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Gennady Gudkov

They are unfeasible. There will be no peace. All serious politicians in Europe already understand that. In response to the question: "The U.S. proposed that Europe ease sanctions against Russia in the event of a peaceful settlement in Ukraine. The U.S. also believes that the territories Russia captured during the war should remain under Moscow’s control. These proposals have been voiced. Bloomberg reports on this. How feasible are they?"
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

And then we’ll return to our familiar 95–100. The Finance Ministry knows better how far to devalue the ruble to make the budget work. But obviously, that will definitely happen. There’s no avoiding it.
Expected May 31, 2025
#Ruble #Dollar #Economy #Economy of Russia #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I do not expect a large-scale attack toward Sumy. In response to the question: "Will Russia be able to advance toward Sumy if it pushes Ukrainian forces out of the Kursk region?"
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Nikolai Polozov

Despite Donald Trump’s efforts, it is unlikely to lead to any immediate ceasefire. At the very least, the fighting will still continue during the first few months of 2025. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Arti Green

There will be no just peace. It will be a compromise between justice and injustice, because the Western coalition is not inclined to push this conflict to the point of nuclear escalation. Therefore, they do not plan a military defeat of the Russian Federation. Some agreement will be reached, and I am confident it will happen, as the President of the United States has the leverage to achieve it. Knowing Donald Trump, I can say that he will likely reach this agreement fairly quickly. Regarding an agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Arti Green

I find it hard to imagine a breakthrough to the right bank of the Oskil River with the establishment of a bridgehead. Referring to Russian troops and the Oskil River in Ukraine.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

For peace and the start of negotiations, there must be at least Moscow's agreement to retreat from the remaining parts of Ukraine that they haven’t occupied. Can you imagine that? I can’t. The idea of Putin giving up Kyiv and 80 percent of Ukraine is unimaginable to me. So far, I don’t see any signs that Putin is willing to abandon his strategic goal.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Evgeny Savostianov

I don't see any opportunities today to decisively turn the situation in someone's favor... Most likely, everything will be pushed to next year. I don't see the resources for any side to achieve victory today... Most likely, everything will drag on until next May or the second half of April. The war in Ukraine will end, or there will be a significant turning point in it, by May 2025.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Shvets

If he wins, well, I said before... this is Trump's personal war against Zelensky... against Ukraine. It could manifest itself the very next day after November 5th. He will just push the lever and cut everything off... Trump will do what he promised; he will cut off all aid and hand Ukraine over to be devoured. If Trump wins the election, he will stop all aid to Ukraine and effectively hand it over to Russia.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Trump #Russia
ru → en

Valery Solovei

Resources for conducting intensive military operations will be exhausted by the spring of next year, in any case. In any case. This means that it will no longer be able to conduct military operations at the intensity with which the Russian Federation is currently operating
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

Zelensky will cancel his decree, and Putin — if he wants to. He simply doesn’t want to. We must gradually begin to let go of the illusion of these negotiations and realize that, in reality, they’ve already fallen apart. On the potential negotiations between Ukraine and Russia — or between Zelensky and Putin personally — in the near future. And even if they do happen, they will lead to nothing.
Expected May 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Zelensky #Putin
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

Essentially, the 30-day ceasefire has fallen through. Accordingly, there are no sanctions, as we can see. Technically, the ultimatum is nearing its end, time hasn’t fully run out yet. But it’s almost obvious that Europe won’t impose sanctions, because it doesn’t know what to do. The idea was to act in coordination with Washington, but Washington is saying unclear things. Regarding Europe’s ultimatum to Russia to agree to a 30-day ceasefire, or face new sanctions.
Expected May 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Europe #Economy #Economy of Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Starting Monday, the 30-day ceasefire — in my opinion, I could be wrong — I would be very surprised if Moscow stops the fire. My logic, my understanding of the process, suggests that it won’t happen on Moscow’s part. On the 30-day ceasefire proposed by Kyiv starting May 12.
Expected May 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Currently, there are no female governors in Russia. This is after the resignation of Governor Komarova today. This is certainly a disgrace for such a modern, civilized country as Russia. I am sure that the leadership of Russia understands this, and we will see female governors in the near future. Gender equality is one of the main achievements of civilization.
Expected May 30, 2025
#Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Trump will fail in his attempt to establish peace... The big question is whom Trump will blame for the breakdown of negotiations—Putin or Zelensky. And I strongly suspect that it will be more convenient and cost-effective for Trump to place the blame for the failed talks on Zelensky.
Expected April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Zelensky #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

There will be a peace plan from the Americans, from Trump’s team. They will offer it to Putin. And then there are two scenarios: Putin more or less agrees, or he more or less refuses. I’m betting that he will more or less refuse, meaning I’m betting that there won’t be a truce in this format. But that’s just my guess.
Expected April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

On November 5th, Trump wins, and then what? He thinks he can talk to Putin and resolve everything. That’s not true; he won’t solve anything. If Trump wins the elections, he won’t be able to stop the war in Ukraine just by calling Putin, as he has promised.
Expected April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Dmitry Medvedev

A somewhat weary Trump, spouting clichés like “I’ll offer a deal” and “I have great relationships with...,” will also be forced to follow all the system’s rules. He won’t be able to stop the war. Not in a day, not in three days, not in three months. And if he genuinely tries, he might end up like JFK. Trump will not be able to stop the war in Ukraine.
Expected April 21, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mikhail Savva

Such a deal format proposed by Trump, to me, is a clear indication that the United States will have a commercial interest in Ukraine maintaining control over its eastern regions. When will the specific outlines of the plan appear? It's hard to say. But I assume it will be before April. By April, this plan will likely be in place and probably made public.
Expected April 10, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en