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Predictions and promises monitor

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Dmitry Bykov

Writer (Russia)

Predictions
28
Verified
6
Came true
17%
Complex
50%
Confident
33%
Rating
4.05
All Expected Expected soon New results

Dmitry Bykov

In the second half of the 21st century, humanity will live out its days without prisons... I believe people will enter the thirties, and certainly the forties, without prisons. Prisons need to be replaced. And not just with isolation, but perhaps with treatment, perhaps with socialization, rethinking the entire punishment system.
Expected
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

It will be a world of completely transparent borders... I think a sort of citizenship bank will emerge, where people can choose where they want to live... Passports, registration, and affiliation with a specific port will become irrelevant in about 5–6 years.
Expected
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

As for Arestovych’s future, my prediction is quite simple—he will disappear without a trace, and endless expeditions will search for him in the depths of the Amazon…
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

I may be wrong, but it seems to me that Alternative for Germany, which everyone fears and which supposedly has around 20%, will face a complete disaster in this election. And I know why. Because about three days before the election, a dossier will be published revealing its dependence on the Kremlin.
Did not come true
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

None of the current opposition leaders, whether abroad or within Russia, will have any role in shaping Russia's future after the collapse of Putin's regime. That responsibility will fall to an entirely different generation, to people we have no knowledge of today.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

It seems to me that Putin's superpower, and broadly speaking, the Russian state as it has existed for the past 500 years, will end its history with this parade. I have this bitter feeling... The May 9, 2025, parade will be the last of its kind with this type of ideology. I might be wrong, but I don’t think I am.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

It seems to me that Alexander Lukashenko will do everything possible to step down this year. Where he will go, how, and on what terms is debatable. But I believe we are witnessing the final period of Lukashenko's rule. As a leading political figure, he can no longer be taken into serious account.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

I am absolutely convinced that when peace comes and elections are held according to the constitution, he will not run in those elections. I think that would be the wisest decision on his part. Speaking about Zelensky.
Expected
#Ukraine #Zelensky #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

By March 2025, the war in Ukraine will end, I think. I’m ready to be wrong, but I’d say there’s a 70% chance of it happening.
Did not come true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

Each of them is writing their own biography. Musk is writing his. Trump’s place in that biography is very modest... The fallout between these two figures, their conflict, will be so loud, so explosive, and so fascinating that you won’t need any TV shows for the foreseeable future.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

The Kremlin will hold onto Ramzan Kadyrov until the very end... Analysts are correct when they say that the fall of Kadyrov will be a precursor to Putin's own fall. This will happen sooner.
Expected
#Russia #Kadyrov #Putin
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

Do not think that Margarita Simonyan’s future is cloudless. Many think so, but it’s a dangerous, heavy delusion... Long before the entire system falls, we will see the fall of Margarita Simonyan. I feel very sorry for her.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

There will be no peaceful exit. That’s the horror of any totalitarianism—there’s no peaceful way out. Of course, there will be no peaceful departure. Referring to Lukashenko.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

The consensus on Ukraine's entry into NATO has been reached... It’s completely clear that it will happen.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

After the collapse of this regime, Russia will become completely, completely different... I think this will happen in about 10 years, with the complete collapse and total replacement of the state's system.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

In 2025, Russia will commit some sort of suicidal act. Whether it will involve the use of tactical nuclear weapons, an incursion into NATO territory, or an accidentally shot-down plane, I can't say for sure. But I can see there's a clear crisis of leadership. So in 2025, the situation will spiral out of control. How exactly this will play out, I don’t know.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

In Ukraine today, the situation with the repair of the energy sector is better than it was two years ago... Ukraine cannot be destroyed... It is completely impossible to bring it to its knees. Ukraine will survive this winter. Both Zelensky and Zelensky's rating will survive it. Kharkiv residents will survive it too. This means that Ukraine will not surrender this winter and will not accept Russia's conditions due to the fact that Russia is destroying its energy infrastructure.
Expected
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

And now it will collapse once again, I believe, by the end of this year. The Russian system.
Did not come true
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

It will consume them. The Russian system will take down Igor Strelkov.
Completely came true
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

Therefore, I am firmly convinced that Roizman will be pushed out of the country. Not imprisoned, but pushed out. And nothing will come of it.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

First of all, he is unlikely to be awarded an Oscar. Navalny. In 2023.
Did not come true
#Oscar
ru → en