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Predictions and promises monitor

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Authors
419
Predictions
2778
Verified
1038
Came true
65%
Complex
54%
Confident
48%
Predictions Author Ranking
All Expected Expected soon New results

Scott Bessent

Well, first off all, I will say the United States of America is never going to default.
Expected
#USA #Economy
en

Fyodor Ovchinnikov

We will definitely open in Italy. Dodo Pizza
Expected
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

No. Thanks to Alexander Grigoryevich Lukashenko, his remarkable intellect, and his exceptional diplomatic and strategic foresight, Belarus will not get involved. He is maneuvering between Scylla and Charybdis. In response to the question: "Will Belarus get drawn into the conflict?" (referring to the war in Ukraine)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Belarus #Lukashenko
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

We definitely need to bomb the plant in Alabuga. I think it will be done. I have a gut feeling that the plant in Alabuga, where the Shaheds are being produced, will be taken out. Ukraine will disable the Russian plant producing Shahed drones, located in Alabuga.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

Zoom, I think. Google, I believe, will be one of the last, it seems to me. In response to the question: "Who will be banned next?" (In Russia)
Expected
#Russia #Censorship #Internet
ru → en

Maxim Katz

If an opportunity opens up in Russia right now to create a party and take part in elections, there will be a major liberal party in two weeks — I’ll create it. I know how, I know who, everything is clear to me — it will be ready in two weeks. If I remain in the same condition as I am now by the time Russia opens up, we’ll set it up in two weeks. It will participate in everything, people will vote for it. It won’t get 60%, it will get 15–20%. In Moscow, it will get 40 percent, in St. Petersburg and other major cities. It will be an important political force.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Daniel Sachkov

Monero is currently an untraceable currency, which makes it the most uniform... I’m certain that Monero will definitely be banned on all exchanges.
Expected
#Cryptocurrencies #Economy
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

... He will remain the top figure until the end. I believe he will hold on to power for as long as physically possible — that's my prediction. In response to the question: "What are the possible ways for Putin to leave power other than death?"
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

So when I talk about how the Russia-Ukraine situation will end, I predict it will end with a "Northern Cyprus" scenario He draws an analogy with the Republic of Cyprus and the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, which is recognized only by Turkey, and there's a buffer zone between the two republics
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Nikolay Rosov

There should be an election after the special military operation, and of course someone else will take the position. I'm more than sure it most likely won't be Zelensky. I don't think Zelensky will run for another term or that anyone will try to elect him — he's unelectable at this point. Talking about the presidential election in Ukraine.
Expected
#Zelensky #Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Daniel Sachkov

And I’m sure that the time will come — some event will happen or something — and they’ll simply force it: all USDT will be frozen until you submit your personal information.
Expected
#Cryptocurrencies
ru → en

Fyodor Ovchinnikov

We currently have around 470 pizzerias in Russia. We are 200% sure that we’ll open 1,000. It’s just a matter of time. Speaking about the Dodo Pizza chain.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

When the offensive fails—he hasn’t taken either Kramatorsk or Sloviansk, and never will—the Coalition of Will, of which Ukraine is a member, will face the question: what to do next? The Russian army will never take Sloviansk or Kramatorsk.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

We’re waiting for a drone swarm. I’m sure that during this war, we’ll see one. Sooner or later, we’ll definitely witness a swarm of drones. Air defense is in no way capable of withstanding a massive attack targeting one or several objectives, carried out by a hundred or two hundred drones. I believe Ukraine already has such capabilities — or will have them soon.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Kara-Murza

I rarely agree with Putin on anything, but there's one thing he said yesterday that’s hard to disagree with. He said that the war in Ukraine will continue until its root causes are eliminated. I completely agree with that. The only thing is, the real root cause of this terrible war is the current Chekist regime... As long as Putin remains in power, the war will go on.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

Let’s see what happens with the sanctions. The 17th EU sanctions package is ready. Will it be adopted? Europe is waiting for action from Trump. But Trump, for his part, is in no rush. I’ll venture a guess: Trump, as someone primarily focused on a meeting with Putin — he has said that he’s willing to postpone all other meetings for the sake of this one — doesn’t want to strain relations with the Kremlin. So I think Trump definitely won’t impose any sanctions now. Before the meeting with Putin.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA #Economy
ru → en

Valery Solovei

Who exactly will become his successor? That’s the key question. It won’t be Adam Kadyrov. Nothing of the sort. Adam Kadyrov will not succeed Ramzan Kadyrov.
Expected
#Russia #Kadyrov
ru → en

Ian Matveev

In terms of probability, I would assess it as low. Because the involvement of Russia’s regions in Russian affairs is very high — most likely, no one will want to separate, in my opinion. The republics of the Caucasus — maybe; their probability is somewhat higher. As for Tatarstan, the probability is zero. In response to the question: "What do you think about the possibility of national republics breaking away from the Russian Federation after the end of the Putin regime? How likely do you think that is?"
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

If we’re talking about European countries, they abide by international law — unlike Putin. Therefore, of course, no one is going to attack Kaliningrad.
Expected
#Russia #Europe
ru → en

Ekaterina Kotrikadze

And Grigory Melkonyants will be released, I’m sure of it, and he will continue to monitor fair elections in Russia. I just hope the viewers don’t take me for a naive, silly girl — I’m truly convinced of this.
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

I'm not sure that the United States will unilaterally recognize a Palestinian state... That’s too radical a step. But I think the Saudis will insist on it.
Expected
#USA #Palestine #Saudi Arabia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

It's obvious that Iran is stalling, and has been for years—more than a decade. And all of this will end the way we want it to: with the physical destruction of Iran’s nuclear program, nuclear weapons, and missile systems.
Expected
#Iran #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Ariel Cohen

I'm shocked when someone opens their mouth and says that we need to deal with Hamas, we need to deal with Iran, and that dismantling Iran’s enrichment system by the Iranians themselves is preferable to bombing those facilities. Iran will never, ever agree to a complete dismantling of the entire system. I’m willing to bet a bottle of whatever you name that Iran itself will not go for full dismantling. On Iran's uranium enrichment systems.
Expected
#Iran #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

In the event of a full-scale war between India and Pakistan, it is likely that China will launch military actions not only in the direction of Taiwan, but also toward Bhutan, a significant portion of whose territory China continues to claim.
Expected
#India #Pakistan #China #Taiwan #Bhutan
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

One shouldn’t think that if China seizes Taiwan, it will gain control of TSMC’s chip production facilities. I believe the Americans will destroy them quickly with precision strikes — China won’t get anything.
Expected
#China #Taiwan #USA
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

If, let’s say, Putin loses power, are they planning to try him there in that tribunal? We won’t let them try him there if he loses power. He must be tried in Moscow and must reveal which of these Europeans helped him, who was the main criminal in Europe, who was the traitor. Over there in Europe, he won’t reveal any of this.
Expected
#Putin #Russia #Europe
ru → en

Mark Feygin

They are excluded. There will be no exchange of nuclear strikes. Precisely because these are nuclear strikes — they leave no chances. This is deterrent weaponry. Answer to the question: "Do you think nuclear strikes are possible between India and Pakistan?"
Expected
#India #Pakistan #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Garry Kasparov

Xi Jinping fully understands that if he miraculously manages to seize Taiwan, then within a few months Japan will become a nuclear power, and so will South Korea.
Expected
#Japan #Taiwan #China #South Korea
ru → en

Tetiana Montian

Zero. In response to the question: “Some time ago, people were saying that it would all end because the front would collapse, the front would crumble, and we would take a couple of regions in no time. What are the chances that this will happen?” (That Ukraine’s front will collapse, Russia will break through, and seize more regions)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Tetiana Montian

Timur Ivanov hasn’t been jailed yet. I’m sure about him — he’ll get a shorter sentence than Popov, you’ll see.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Everyone was writing about Putin, filming about Putin, talking about Putin... Everyone immediately started guessing: is this the one he’s picking as his successor? And look, Sobyanin talked to him for over half an hour — could it really be Sobyanin? I can say for sure: definitely not Sobyanin. Anyone but Sobyanin.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Maxim Katz

I think this is unlikely. I don’t see any reasons for this to start happening. I actually think it will be quite the opposite. In response to the question: “In your view, under Putin as president, are any steps toward liberalization, holding certain elections, or at least simulating them possible?”
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

No, there will be no mobilization. There will be no mobilization. Mobilization is not needed. Because that would mean arming the people. And an armed people are dangerous, very dangerous. In response to the question: “Will there be a mobilization?” (in Russia)
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Praful Bakshi

As for nuclear weapons, I don’t think they will be used in the event of hostilities. The fact is, Pakistan understands that the moment it uses nuclear weapons, it will be wiped off the face of the earth... This is mutually assured destruction.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #India #Pakistan
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I am also confident that one day a monument to Novodvorskaya will be erected in Russia — the only dissident who fought for Russia’s true interests.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Ezra Mor

A country called Palestine has never existed for even a single minute in the history of humanity, and it will not exist in the future either.
Expected
#Palestine #Gaza
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

As for Crimea, in my opinion, after 11 years of occupation, it is already clear that Crimea will never be internationally recognized as Russian territory. It will never happen. The only thing Russia can count on is the occasional whims of individual leaders.
Expected
#Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

I still believe that two major figures dominate the political stage — Zelensky and Valerii Fedorovych Zaluzhnyi. And only one of them, not both, will run for president.
Expected
#Ukraine #Zelensky
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

Whether the United States recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine or not does not depend on Zelensky — it depends on the United States. And most likely, they will recognize Crimea as Russian.
Expected
#USA #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Aslanyan

Putin will inevitably open up military contracts for women at some point, because he doesn’t even have enough forces — not to conquer foreign territories, but just to contain Ukraine.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

Putin will not agree to any conditions that would allow Ukraine to no longer fear a military invasion. He would rather give up certain settlements than agree to any security guarantees for Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

I think he will run for re-election — for him, it’s almost a matter of life and death. The Ukrainian political landscape is quite toxic for former presidents. I believe that a lot could be held against Volodymyr Zelensky after the war ends.
Expected
#Zelensky #Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

Over all these years, despite the fact that Trump has managed to insult virtually every well-known political figure at least once — with or without reason — he has never said a single bad word about Putin. He hasn’t, and he won’t.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Yury Pivovarov

No, I don’t believe it. Putin is very much interested in the war. The longer the war goes on, the fewer questions he’ll face from his own people. In response to the question: "Do you believe Putin would be willing to stop the war, to bring it to an end?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yury Pivovarov

It’s hard to say what will happen. When will it happen? What will happen to this regime in the coming years if Putin remains in power? He will stay in power as long as he’s alive.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think he will keep trying to stop this war for a long time — until he succeeds. In response to the question: "How long will Trump keep trying to stop the war? When might he say he's washing his hands of it, that he’s done everything he could, and from now on it’s up to others — America is no longer interested?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Aleksandr Ivanchik

In the near future, those supermassive black holes that exist in nearly every galaxy — including our own — will not be able to absorb any stars, galaxies, let alone the Universe itself, for tens of billions of years to come.
Expected
#Space #Science and technology
ru → en

Maria Pevchikh

They lie absolutely shamelessly, absolutely brazenly. Andreeva claims that the Malaysian Boeing was shot down by the Ukrainians because they thought it was the presidential plane carrying Putin. It needs to be made clear that this is an outright lie. It took a very long time to get the message across that these people should not be seen or treated as journalists, and eventually, at least some sanctions were imposed on them. Why was Andreeva overlooked? I don’t know. Just a lapse. I’m optimistic about her being included under sanctions.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Russia needs to return to the global stage. But returning while sanctions are still in place is impossible. And no one will lift the sanctions without the de-occupation of the territories.
Expected
#Russia #Economy #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Fursa

The BRICS idea just doesn’t work — it’s impossible. Their currencies are non-convertible, there’s no trust, and of course, there will be no BRICS currency.
Expected
#BRICS
ru → en

Vladislav Ivanov

Artificial intelligence does not possess qualities such as compassion, for example. Therefore, it is impossible to fully replace judges with artificial intelligence.
Expected
#Science and technology #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I think that even if it’s simply Putin’s natural death and, as a result, his personal power disappears, but one of his supporters comes to power, he will still be just a little better than Putin — that’s how it seems to me. Why? Because Russia will somehow need to be rebuilt economically, and for that, it will be necessary to get out from under the sanctions... In response to the question: "After Putin's death, will someone just like him take over, or someone more reasonable?"
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

Economic sanctions don’t work, because over 25 years Putin has caused so much damage to the Russian economy that any new economic measures would simply be a continuation of Putin’s own policies. That doesn’t stop the war. The only thing that can stop the war is his defeat on the battlefield.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Win/Win

How foolish are the people writing about Gerasimov’s resignation. As long as the special military operation is ongoing, it won’t happen. And even after it ends, some time will still have to pass.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

The fate of this war will not be decided at the negotiating table. And there is no chance of ending this war today until the Russian occupation army is destroyed, as long as Putin remains in the Kremlin. As long as Putin is in the Kremlin, the war will not stop.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgenia Albats

It seems absolutely clear to me that there will be no repetition of the Stalinist model in post-Putin Russia. That doesn’t mean there will be liberals, I repeat. Most likely, it will be some kind of KGB-style junta with no legitimacy. And in that sense, it may become even more repressive for a certain period of time. After Putin’s departure, power in Russia is more likely to be taken by a "KGB-style junta" rather than a liberal democracy.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en