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I think no, neither Trump nor Putin will conduct nuclear tests—specifically, the detonation of nuclear charges—neither of them (Answer to the question: "And will Putin conduct nuclear tests?")

Well, if he's released, a position will definitely be found, but somehow I feel they won't release him. The person knows too much (Timur Ivanov might be sent to the front... he's asking to be sent as an assault soldier to the SMO. Your prediction: will they actually release him? And will he really go on the attack as a private with a bayonet, or will some position be found for him?)

I feel that Putin will not come to Hungary after all. They will either re-negotiate for a different location, or the meeting will simply fall through

Will they capture Siversk? It is very unlikely that they will capture it this year; most likely they won't capture it

Probably not; it's very unlikely that Tomahawks will be supplied (In response to the question: "Will there be Tomahawks? How good are they? And what are the pros and cons?" (Will they be given to Ukraine))

I'll make a prediction: at some point, the percentage of Shahed interceptions by drones will be 40-50%, no less

Just recently, they took down a drug smugglers' boat. It was a big victory for Trump. Well, that looks very stupid. They most likely won't do anything about Maduro. Most likely, nothing will change. I think there's only one end for Maduro: either his own people will finish him off, or he'll just die

How much longer will the war go on? What do you think, Yan? Right now, I would say no less than six months, no less than six months, and then we'll see (The war in Ukraine)

The war could end as early as tomorrow if Putin dies or loses power (The war in Ukraine)

I don't think so (Answer to the question: "Do you think Russia is facing another Chechen war?")

I think no, they likely won't attack. The US will certainly get involved (Answer to the question: "Do you think China will attack Taiwan?")

I don't think they'll be thrown into active combat on Ukrainian territory. Instead, they'll likely be stationed somewhere along the borders to relieve the Russian army, so they can cover the Belgorod, Bryansk, and partially Kursk regions from potential invasions by Ukrainian forces (Answer to the comment: "Heard the news about 30,000 North Koreans being sent to the front?")

Putin also has an awarded weapon, but he'll never have the guts to make the right choice (Meaning, Putin won't shoot himself)

No, of course not, and it won't be able to next year either; there are no prospects for it (Answer to the question: "Do you think Russia will be able to capture Kherson this year?")

I think a truce will happen in 2026. Maybe it will be concluded in 2025, but in 2026 we (Russia and Ukraine) will most likely be in a state of truce

I think, more likely yes (Answer to the question: "Do you think America will resume arms supplies?" (to Ukraine))

A Kherson counteroffensive is impossible. How would they cross the Dnieper? It's unrealistic for anyone, neither the Russian nor the Ukrainian army, so nothing serious is brewing on that front

How many more years will Putin need to achieve his goals? Putin's goals are unclear, so it's unknown. But generally, the goal that Putin is truly striving for—the destruction of Ukraine—I think he won't have enough years; that is, he will die sooner

It's obvious Putin doesn't want to apologize at a high level. They're both dictators, both have taken hostages and beaten them, which is, of course, terrible. In Azerbaijan, they grabbed some completely random Russian guys—one's an IT specialist, another something else—and they've all been identified. They're not drug dealers or anything. These are the ways of things: two dictators taking hostages. Maybe there will be exchanges. I think it will all somehow resolve within a month. I hope the people will be free

I think Trump is trying to pressure the Iranian government into making some concessions, cutting a deal, but I don’t think he’ll succeed and will just back off. He’ll be his typical self—talking about how “we’ll hit you hard if you don’t agree”. Nobody will agree, and he won’t actually follow through; he’ll just walk away

Yes. And this year it most likely won’t come to that—unless something falls apart (In response to the question: “It seems to me that we’re still a long way from encircling Pokrovsk or capturing Konstantinovka”)

The Russian military is already attacking Ukraine with all available forces. I haven’t seen Russian drones or missiles holding back anywhere. They’ve recently been setting new records for the number of drones used in a single strike, even without any SBU attacks. So I don’t think we’ll see anything supernatural or particularly unusual. Most likely, Putin will just continue his campaign of terror, and that’s it (In response to the question: "What will happen to the attacks on Ukraine after the SBU strike?" (referring to the SBU attack on Russian military airfields on June 1, 2025))

The capture of Sumy this summer, or even an assault on Sumy, definitely won't happen

No, he won’t advance (In response to the question: "Will Putin reach Zaporizhzhia this year? What's your forecast?")

In terms of probability, I would assess it as low. Because the involvement of Russia’s regions in Russian affairs is very high — most likely, no one will want to separate, in my opinion. The republics of the Caucasus — maybe; their probability is somewhat higher. As for Tatarstan, the probability is zero (In response to the question: "What do you think about the possibility of national republics breaking away from the Russian Federation after the end of the Putin regime? How likely do you think that is?")

If we’re talking about European countries, they abide by international law — unlike Putin. Therefore, of course, no one is going to attack Kaliningrad

I tend to believe that Putin, of course, will not fly to Turkey (In response to the question: "What should we expect from the meeting between Zelensky and Putin in Turkey?")

As for Sloviansk and Kramatorsk — definitely not, in my opinion (In response to the question: "Can Russia occupy Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka, Sloviansk, Kramatorsk, or at least one of these cities this year?")

It’s obvious that the war won’t last another 14 years (The war in Ukraine)

I’m more inclined to believe the second scenario—that Putin will come up with excuses and reasons not to agree. In the end, he will not go for a truce

I don’t think Ukraine will give up all four regions, of course (In response to the question: "Will Ukraine agree to give up all four regions in exchange for peace and security guarantees?")

And most likely, indeed, if the war continues further, a second wave of mobilization will be inevitable. They are functionally fully prepared for it; the only thing left will be to somehow mitigate the political risks (In Russia)

There are currently rumors about a ceasefire being introduced on Easter, April 20, which is in two months. I have almost no doubt that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the Kursk front until then. This means that Putin will have to trade the Kursk region for something else

In the next six months, yes. 100%. That’s my prediction. In the coming six months, the Russian army will definitely not capture Pokrovsk (In response to the question: "Will Ukraine be able to defend Pokrovsk?")

It’s unlikely that Chasiv Yar will be captured within the next week, but it can no longer be said with certainty that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the city. After the turning point a couple of weeks ago, it became clear that Chasiv Yar will also be abandoned—sooner or later, but inevitably

Of course, it will. Just not now and not through military action anymore. At this point, the war is unlikely to shift in such a way that Crimea can be reclaimed militarily. But through diplomacy, Ukraine will undoubtedly regain it sooner or later (In response to the question: "Will Ukraine get Crimea back?")

Will Sudzha hold out? Naturally, some part of the Ukrainian bridgehead might shrink, but I think they’ve set a goal to hold on right up until Trump, until January 20, and part of the bridgehead will definitely hold

The noose around Kupiansk is tightening. Judging by the balance of forces, the city will inevitably be captured. The Ukrainian Armed Forces will have to abandon it, just as they previously left Vuhledar and Selydove

I think if it happens, it will be next year. They haven’t reached Pokrovsk yet (In response to the question: "When do you think the assault on Pokrovsk will take place?")

I think that both before and after the New Year, the Ukrainian Kursk bridgehead will hold. And in the spring, more or less when all the mud has dried up, it could potentially be fully retaken with significant efforts from the Russian military

I think Kamala Harris—I’ll make that prediction (In response to the question: "Who do you think will win the U.S. election? Share your opinion")

But if the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) don’t push back the advancing forces right now, Chasiv Yar will inevitably be captured within the next few months

Of course (Agreed with the statement that the war in Ukraine will not last for 20 years)

I think, of course, they will not be deployed (Sarmat missiles on combat duty in 2023 in Russia)

So, Volgograd will remain Volgograd (There will be no renaming to Stalingrad)

Most likely, a large-scale offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine can be expected after the New Year

Regarding Poland, it is most likely a one-time situation and it is unlikely to happen again (The incident with the missile falling on Polish territory)

I think that at some point, Putin will abandon these attacks (Mass rocket strikes on Ukraine)

I think it will be some kind of bombing of some city. Possibly Dnipro... Putin will simply send cruise missiles to peaceful Ukrainian cities... I don't think it will be a strike on Kyiv, although there are those Iranian drones... there is a theoretical possibility that they could reach Kyiv... it will definitely be just terror against peaceful Ukrainian cities (Russia's response to the explosion of the Crimean Bridge)

Probably not; a nuclear strike is not anticipated (Russia will not use nuclear weapons)

Therefore, I still do not believe in these referendums; they are more likely just being talked about (Talking about the so-called referendums on the accession of Ukrainian regions to Russia)

I believe that we will definitely see at least one significant attempt; we probably have another two months, maybe even three... because this is a very sensitive target for them, the Donetsk region (About Russia's offensive in the Donetsk region of Ukraine)