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Trump will have a tough year. I am making a prediction that he will lose either the House of Representatives, or the Senate, or both. Which is, generally, good for the health of America (in 2026)

I think no, neither Trump nor Putin will conduct nuclear tests—specifically, the detonation of nuclear charges—neither of them (Answer to the question: "And will Putin conduct nuclear tests?")

I am absolutely convinced that Königsberg will return to its historical homeland, or become an independent state. But this will only happen after Russia's military defeat

I am a pessimist. For some reason, I'm certain that it will definitely happen in our lifetime (Nuclear war)

I am waiting for a review of the property tax system (In Russia)

So, is Lvova-Belova never going to end up in The Hague? Of course, she will. She is young; she will outlive Putin. She will end up there

What international contingent forces will be introduced into Ukraine after the signing of peace agreements. I have no doubt about this

The Burevestnik on their side, a submarine on this side, which can never be used. Because it's impossible to imagine any reason why Russian capitalists would fire nuclear weapons at American capitalists and vice versa, when they want to trade with each other

I think the ceasefire will last until winter (Between Russia and Ukraine)

Well, I understand that in any case, Mamdani will win. Mamdani will win

I think that at some stage, Ukraine will still receive Tomahawks or some analog of Tomahawks, like Barracuda missiles

Well, if he's released, a position will definitely be found, but somehow I feel they won't release him. The person knows too much (Timur Ivanov might be sent to the front... he's asking to be sent as an assault soldier to the SMO. Your prediction: will they actually release him? And will he really go on the attack as a private with a bayonet, or will some position be found for him?)

A federal judge has temporarily blocked the deployment of troops to Chicago. Everything is moving towards the Supreme Court, which is highly likely to allow Trump to deploy the National Guard in Chicago

I have a feeling they will leave it (unchanged)... There is a chance that they might lower it slightly, but looking at past experience, I lean towards rigidity, I could be wrong on Friday, but my forecast is that they will leave it (unchanged) (Key rate)

He will not end up there. There is no such risk. This is left-wing Israeli propaganda. There is no scenario in which Netanyahu actually ends up in prison

Macron has elections in 2027... Bardella will most likely win them. If Le Pen is allowed to run, she will become the President of France; if not, then Bardella is her second-in-command in the party

Putin will fly the long, roundabout way, through the Black Sea, through the Mediterranean Sea, through friendly countries... I think he will fly. European politicians have no chance of somehow forcing Trump to back out, and no chance of forcing Orbán to arrest Putin

I believe it is zero. I don't see any such chances for a freeze in the war. There are two and a half months left until the New Year. No, I consider it impossible (Answer to the question: "What do you think is the chance of the war ending before the New Year?")

I feel that Putin will not come to Hungary after all. They will either re-negotiate for a different location, or the meeting will simply fall through

There is a feeling that it is absolutely inevitable in the near future (In response to: "Do you believe in the possibility of a big trade war between the US and China?")

Do you believe in the possibility of a big trade war between the US and China? Because my feeling is that they are not ready yet. If five years pass and production is relocated, then yes, but for now, not really

This is an attempt to support Orbán, who is currently facing a big problem with the elections. Most likely, he will lose the election badly

The sanctions have reached their limit. I don't expect them to sharply intensify, because it is very unprofitable for the West itself (Western sanctions against Russia)

What is victory in war? The capture of Kyiv is unrealistic

This war will not be ended by those who started it, on either side. This is a very long story (War in Ukraine)

The Israeli army has withdrawn... My cautious prediction is that the war will continue. Because Hamas certainly won't voluntarily lay down its weapons. Because that would mean losing power in the Gaza Strip

Anastasia Kashevarova... I really think she'll be imprisoned

I think one could choose the option "will give in the coming days" (Will Trump give Tomahawks to Ukraine? The four options are: 1) Yes, will give in the coming days 2) Yes, but in months, or even years 3) Will promise, but won't give 4) Won't give and will stop promising. Which option would you choose, Yury Evgenyevich?)

Absolutely, and, of course, the Tomahawks will appear. That's my prediction (The US will transfer Tomahawks to Ukraine))

I believe so, yes, I believe Putin is currently at war. The Baltics look like the obvious next step (In response to the clarifying question: "If Ukraine capitulates, will Putin definitely start a war somewhere else?")

I think we should expect them from Belarus, but not from Russia (In response to the question: "Should we expect more exchanges with Belarus and the Russian Federation?" (Exchanges of political prisoners))

This is part of the hybrid war against Europe. This is a new wave of refugees, a new burden on Europe, which started screaming, "We are at war with Russia, Russia will surely attack, we must unite." Although it is clear to everyone that Russia will not attack the main, large part of Europe, at least

Right now, there is a vote underway for which object will appear on the new 500-ruble Russian banknote. And Mount Elbrus is competing with Grozny-City. I think Grozny-City will win the vote

A person who spoke such words about Ukrainians and Ukraine, I assume, would never be able to get even 1% in an honest election (Arestovych)

I can say for my part that you can have no doubt about the Tomahawks; the question is how effective they will be, when, and how many. As for Tomahawks, this is a more than realistic scenario (The US will transfer Tomahawks to Ukraine)

Alexei, well, I don't believe in the Tomahawks. Even Biden said that Tomahawks will only be supplied if Putin launches a nuclear strike (The US will not transfer Tomahawks to Ukraine)

There will probably be an operation to overthrow Maduro

Many are asking questions about the Russian IT specialists who were beaten and detained in Azerbaijan. I think nothing will change in their situation right now

Will they capture Siversk? It is very unlikely that they will capture it this year; most likely they won't capture it

I've stated my prediction: they will choose a path soon—either they will carry out mobilization, or they will have to start peace negotiations. They can wait no longer than half a year

If they sort out all the technical issues, I think that in the next few years India will become the main driver of global growth. Trillions of dollars will be invested there

They won't be able to keep the budget deficit under 7-8 trillion, and they won't succeed. They will have so many expenses in December. And they will probably proceed as follows: they will finance part of the expenses not on December 30th, but on January 12th or some other day, and that will give them a breather... And this is the first dangerous game that will undermine the budget, because already in the first quarter, when they start calculating, they will show such a deficit that everyone will be shocked... They will certainly do this; I can practically bet on it (In Russia)

How is Ibragim Suleymanov doing? And now, judging by the charges filed against him, he has two counts of organizing murders. I don't think the investigation will stop there. My prediction is they will find new criminal cases... Ibragim Suleymanov will be jailed for decades; there is no doubt about that

Kozak is a fairly trusted figure for Vladimir Putin. Nothing will happen to Dmitry Kozak, I'm sure of that, just as nothing happened to Kudrin. I think Kozak will be somewhere at Kudrin's level

Literally almost every day, news comes in about nationalizations or simply the redistribution of business. You know the most famous examples. There are two options: nationalization, and the second option is declaring it an extremist community. Now they will start doing this routinely. My prediction is that they will put this into practice on a large scale, and we will see quite a few more extremist communities, besides the Nevzorovs, the owners of Kirieshki, and Lesta

In my opinion, Roman Dobrokhotov was right to say that if he contacts us, we have sufficient data for 2017 and we will quickly understand how much basis this has. By the way, knowing Durov, I don't think he will contact anyone. I think there won't be much of a continuation of the story. And everyone will be left with the impression that Durov talked about poisoning, then proved nothing, so he was talking nonsense. Let's remember this conversation in six months; I think that's how it will be in six months. Remind me of this prediction in six months

My forecast is that the situation is approaching its climax. Call it World War Three, a hybrid war, or whatever you like. But the situation is approaching its climax. I think that the resolution will come during the first half of next year, or generally next year as a whole. Putin has already taken a low start. Drones across Europe—that is war... This will end with Russian ships being completely banned from sailing the seas; it will end with clashes with NATO. This cannot end with anything else, because Putin has decided to go all the way

Probably not; it's very unlikely that Tomahawks will be supplied (In response to the question: "Will there be Tomahawks? How good are they? And what are the pros and cons?" (Will they be given to Ukraine))

Returning to the Bank of Russia, it will want to see how this will affect inflationary expectations, so definitely until January 1st, no one will be lowering the key rate quickly (Referring to the key rate)

Literally at this moment, a meeting between Netanyahu and Trump began at the White House. There will be a discussion of the plan for this deal, which is a 21-point deal. I believe Israel will agree... I sincerely don't believe that Hamas will agree to this deal

The point is that Hamas represents the position of the majority of Palestinians, for whom the goal is the destruction of the Jewish state and the Jewish people, which is why this plan will not work (Trump's plan, which he laid out on September 29, 2025)

When the elections take place in Hungary, the European Union will provoke a civil war in Hungary, similar to a velvet revolution. Combat detachments will be deployed there from Ukraine, composed of ethnic Hungarians, as well as from Serbia and Romania, where Hungarians reside, and they will overthrow Orbán

Russia cannot conclude a truce without reaching the borders of the DNR and LNR. But what if it fails to reach them? There will be a political crisis, I think. Then the war will continue, and then they will start supplying Tomahawks, I think

I think that, right now with Netanyahu... some kind of terrible terrorist attack will happen in Israel that will be blamed on Hamas, in order to prolong this bloody life a little while longer for this gang that is at the head of the Jewish state

Well, perhaps some very nominal figure, like Zhoga—meaning a 'desk veteran' who hasn't seen much fighting and clearly understands the party line. Naturally, no veterans of the Special Military Operation will be allowed into positions of power. The Kremlin would view them more as a dangerous, destructive force (In response to the question: "Will any SMO veteran be featured as one of the main driving forces in the upcoming campaign?")

Putin is not eternal, the war is not eternal. The war will end immediately after Putin is gone, because no one needs it but Putin

What I'm sure of is, Putin won't go. The rating of United Russia is so disastrous that Putin cannot be associated with United Russia (As the list leader for United Russia in the 2026 elections)

There will definitely be some military figure, someone who has an association with the SMO, and a positive one at that (In the 2026 elections in Russia, from the ruling party)

I am 100% sure that Russia will deliberately provoke European countries with these seemingly accidental incursions. It won't be every week, but once a month or once every two months, hypothetically. I doubt one will be shot down eventually; as long as it flies on a tangent—just cutting the corner—they won't shoot it down. If they fly deep inside, then that's a different matter (In response to the question: "How likely is it that Russia will also troll the Europeans with its planes? And how likely is it that sooner or later one of these planes will be shot down?")

I'll make a prediction: at some point, the percentage of Shahed interceptions by drones will be 40-50%, no less

Yes, they would. But I don't think it will come to that (In response to the question: "NATO is threatening to shoot down Russian fighter jets. Do they have the guts?")

It's safe to say that there will definitely be some kind of tax increase. It will be announced, it's a matter of the next few days (In Russia)

The war in Ukraine will last for at least another year

Trump will definitely not impose anything against China (Sanctions)

Let me remind you that it is forbidden to kill people anywhere, in any state, even in diametrically opposed ones.

Whether it's North Korea or France, in both places, killing is forbidden, and the state will come for you if you decide to do such a thing.

Not even all states can kill—the death penalty doesn't exist everywhere.

A soldier, however, is the only person to whom international humanitarian law gives an official mandate to kill.

A soldier has the right to kill; moreover, it's expected of him by the authorities (as is his readiness to die).

That is to say, wars are legal ways of disposing of large masses of unwanted people, which Putin has now empirically proven.

If AI isn't artificially slowed down, then it's likely that before the end of this century, there will be a whole series of large and deadly conflicts.

Ideally, elites want to create permanent points of conflict and tension—regions of controlled instability.

In them, troublemakers, the destitute, the displaced, the unemployed, those who don't fit into the economy, and so on can be dumped and disposed of

I'll stick with my opinion for now that the Chief of the General Staff will be replaced by the end of the year (Referring to Valery Gerasimov, the Chief of the General Staff of Russia)

Alla Pugacheva could face up to 5 years in prison for her remarks about Dzhokhar Dudayev... I don't think Alla Pugacheva will face a criminal case

Soon, in my opinion, NATO forces will, after all, start shooting down Russian drones and Russian missiles over Ukraine

The Western countries have a very good scenario left to support Ukraine's financial stability: to give Ukraine Putin's money... I have no doubt that this is the exact scenario that will be implemented. That is to say, they will give the money to Ukraine. The Russian money (It's about the frozen Russian assets)

I think the Russian occupiers have no chance of taking Zaporizhzhia. I'm certain of that

I think the active phase should end this year? (In response to the question: "When will the war end?")

We've seen drone strikes on Poland. This isn't the last time. And the next ones will be worse

Belgium is holding out, as that's where the majority of these assets are... I think that in the end they will be confiscated (The frozen Russian assets will eventually be confiscated)

I believe that Vance won't last, either. And Vance has no chance of replacing Trump as president of the United States

There's a hateful reaction from pro-Kremlin figures, first and foremost for her leaving, for speaking very highly of Dudayev, and for speaking very highly of Gorbachev; for this, there is fierce hatred. Also, the statement that she will never set foot in Russia again. There have been proposals to list her as a foreign agent or an extremist. But I don't think that will happen (Speaking about Alla Pugacheva)

I don't really see the fighting ending anytime soon

In my opinion, they will raise it (In response to the question: "What's your forecast? Will they raise the VAT, and really to 22 percent?" (In Russia))

Is there a chance for 14%? In my opinion, there's no chance of that. There is a chance for 16% by the end of the year, but (Referring to the key rate in Russia, stating that it won't be 14% by the end of 2025)

There will definitely be a next time from the Russian side. Putin needs for the drones not to just fly over Poland, but to hit something there, to blow something up on the territory of Poland or another NATO country

No, Israel won't risk attacking Turkey, never (In response to the question: "Could you please tell me if Israel would risk attacking Turkey?")

The European Union will not impose tariffs on China and India, 100%

Oil will most likely fall even further in price in the near future

Four years is a very long time for modern wars. I don't believe this will drag on for decades—at least not the hot phase (The war in Ukraine)

Here we see Markaryan, who spoke out against the war... He'll go to prison; they'll put him there

China can afford any megaprojects... I'd cautiously predict that the Chinese will reach the moon first

For now, we're being saved by Trump's greed, in that he's willing to sell these weapons to the Europeans, but then he'll sell weapons to the Russians. I think it'll all happen just like that

Another round of sanctions is being discussed... The 19th sanctions package concerns a serious restriction on the issuance of tourist visas to Russians... I am absolutely convinced that such a measure won't be adopted

Do you believe that Narendra Modi will give up buying Russian oil? No, he won't. Trump will be the one to meet him halfway

Right now, Nabiullina has a good position... I think she'll lower it to 17%, to 16% at most (The key rate)

Vance, it's unlikely that anyone will bring him to power. No one needs him (JD Vance)

Trump, as a man of morality, stopped 7 wars, and he will stop this one too

I believe a meeting between Putin and Zelensky is unrealistic; that's already obvious. But a three-way meeting, where Trump could get them to the negotiating table

I think neither of them will get it (In response to the comment: "Right now, the main contenders for the Nobel Peace Prize are Donald Trump and Francesca Albanese...")

I think neither the first nor the second will get it (In response to the comment: "Right now, the main contenders for the Nobel Peace Prize are Donald Trump and Francesca Albanese...")

This SCO, as well as BRICS and Russia's customs unions, are purely bureaucratic inventions that won't play a role. They will not replace the dollar

Just recently, they took down a drug smugglers' boat. It was a big victory for Trump. Well, that looks very stupid. They most likely won't do anything about Maduro. Most likely, nothing will change. I think there's only one end for Maduro: either his own people will finish him off, or he'll just die

How much longer will the war go on? What do you think, Yan? Right now, I would say no less than six months, no less than six months, and then we'll see (The war in Ukraine)

If Putin doesn't agree to this, the Europeans won't send any troops anywhere. That's because they aren't ready to go to war with Putin (If Putin doesn't give his consent, the Europeans won't send troops to Ukraine)

The Central Bank will most likely cut the rate to 16% at its next meeting

No matter what's happening in Europe or what statements are being made there, no one will fight. They just won't join this war; it's obvious (European countries will not enter the war in Ukraine)