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Ranking Predictions Authors

Konstantin Borovoy

Politician, entrepreneur, blogger (Russia, USA)


Predictions
43
Verified
8
Came true
38%
Rating
4.83

New Awaiting Verified

Konstantin Borovoy

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A federal judge has temporarily blocked the deployment of troops to Chicago. Everything is moving towards the Supreme Court, which is highly likely to allow Trump to deploy the National Guard in Chicago

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

ru → en

So, we're waiting. You can place bets, everyone loves to argue. We can debate whether Putin will decide on the same massive bombings he conducted before August 10th. Those interested, write to me, and we'll debate

Did not come true

Konstantin Borovoy

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There's a very high probability that Putin will stop the war. It seems it won't be in 10 or 12 days, or by August 10th; larger timeframes are needed for that. But this war will be stopped relatively quickly (Due to Trump's ultimatum)

Did not come true

Konstantin Borovoy

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And Zelensky also cares about security. He understands that stopping the war means immediate elections, immediate removal of this group from power, and the start of investigations into this group's activities after the elections

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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First, Putin says, recognize these territories and give me guarantees, and then I'll be ready to stop the hot phase of the war. He understands that if the war stops now along this line, it will lead to endless negotiations that will last decades and certainly won't result in the recognition of occupied territory

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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If the war doesn't stop, it will lead to the removal of democratic power in Ukraine and catastrophically increase the chances of Putin's supporters coming to power

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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The conditions formulated by Putin. Putin very much wants to gain a lot before negotiations begin, before the hot phase of the war stops. As I understand it, he's achieved his goal; he'll get sanctions. And these sanctions will be very painful (Answer to the question: "Under what conditions, in your opinion, will peace negotiations take place?")

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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Let them believe that defeat is not final, that it is not capitulation. But now they will be offered a deal and asked to abandon their nuclear ambitions. They will ponder it for a long time—and most likely agree. After all, on the other side of the scale lies the bombing of Iran or actions that would remove the Ayatollahs

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I don't think that either Ukraine or Russia will have enough strength to continue this war until 2026. I have a feeling that some kind of political process has begun—a process of understanding that this war needs to be stopped

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I think they will come to power (In response to the question: "What will happen with the French right-wing?")

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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It's obvious that Iran is stalling, and has been for years—more than a decade. And all of this will end the way we want it to: with the physical destruction of Iran’s nuclear program, nuclear weapons, and missile systems

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I am also confident that one day a monument to Novodvorskaya will be erected in Russia — the only dissident who fought for Russia’s true interests

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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Ukraine is eager to claim that after Ukraine, Putin will go after Europe — Germany, Finland, the Baltic states. That’s not the case

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I think he will keep trying to stop this war for a long time — until he succeeds (In response to the question: "How long will Trump keep trying to stop the war? When might he say he's washing his hands of it, that he’s done everything he could, and from now on it’s up to others — America is no longer interested?")

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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Russia needs to return to the global stage. But returning while sanctions are still in place is impossible. And no one will lift the sanctions without the de-occupation of the territories

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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The Iran issue ranks second. On Trump’s scale, I would give it a weight of 3 out of 10. We know that this issue will be resolved, and very quickly. The nuclear program will be stopped through negotiations

Did not come true

Konstantin Borovoy

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Trump is serving his second term in presidential office, a second term in office. He won’t be president a third time... I’m sure that Trump won’t run for a third term

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I’d give Putin five years, no more. Then maybe a gray zone — another five years. Ten years total. By that time, he’ll probably die anyway

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I foresee this happening within a couple of years — blogging will start to fade and disappear. Only those will remain who turn their platforms into professional news agencies, information agencies, or expert organizations

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I believe that Trump will get Putin to stop the war

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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Musk’s sales are down 50 percent, and the market cap is down 17 percent. Smart Democrats in Congress have already picked up on this. They’re buying like crazy — buying Tesla stock. Because it will go up. It can’t go down

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I'm sure that Yermak will publish a memoir that will be very popular, in which he will talk about his relationship with Zelensky

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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In reality, Putin won’t last long. When this regime collapses, all those territories will return to Ukraine — there’s no doubt about that. And all those criminals who carried out these seizures — we will hunt them down around the world and bring them to justice. Justice will prevail. Sometimes, it doesn’t come immediately

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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You'll see — something big is about to start in connection with the decision regarding Marine Le Pen, and it won’t be pretty. I have no doubt about it for even a second. The protests will be massive

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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It’s not very important to him — to Trump. And I predict that, indeed, after stopping the hot phase of the war, he will hand over the negotiation process to the Europeans. He doesn’t need it

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I think there’s a very important point related to Taiwan. The Democratic administration has an ambiguous stance — at one point, Biden made a very dangerous statement saying that the U.S. would not intervene in a conflict between China and Taiwan. That is a very dangerous position. It’s clear that under Trump, nothing like that could happen — Taiwan will defend itself, and it is not a province of China

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I don't think it will come to an uprising. But we’ll see. I believe that if anyone would stage an uprising, it would be the Democrats. Not an uprising, but rather some protests—those are possible (He implies that there will be no uprising from the Republican Party in the U.S. if Trump loses)

Unverifiable

Konstantin Borovoy

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I think this will be one of Ivanishvili's justifications when he is removed from power and receives a sentence in absentia, a punishment. He will probably outlive Putin and eventually face punishment, perhaps even in absentia

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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In Georgia, a revolutionary scenario is likely. The Georgian people are very emotional. At some point, when mere existence becomes truly dangerous for people, they will rise up and overthrow Ivanishvili. He won’t sit in prison; he’ll flee to Russia immediately

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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Zaluzhny will be the new president (Of Ukraine. If negotiations begin in the coming months)

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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Leftist ideology began to retreat in the 21st century... In France, nationalists, patriots, Le Pen... will come (Implying that Marine Le Pen, or right-wing forces in general, will eventually come to power in France)

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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A similar situation is unfolding in Ukraine right now. The choices aren’t great either. Ukraine is slowly moving toward authoritarianism. There’s already a propaganda campaign instead of a free information environment. The security forces are beginning to dominate as well. I think they’ll remove Zelensky from power, and gradually, security forces and intelligence services will start to take control

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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We are talking about the current President of the United States, Joe Biden. But in a couple of weeks, there will likely be a different U.S. President, who has already stated that this is exactly what he plans to do (In response to the statement: "The U.S. could have easily brought down oil prices. But they didn't". Konstantin Borovoy is implying that the next U.S. President will likely be Donald Trump)

Completely came true

Konstantin Borovoy

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Zaluzhny, who is very likely to become the president of Ukraine

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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In the United States, it is unlikely that Kamala Harris will win. The next 8 years will belong to the Republicans

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I am almost certain that after the Republicans come to power in the U.S., as it was already the case during Trump’s presidency, there will be a reduction in programs of the United Nations. There will be a cut in funding for these programs

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

ru → en

It will lower it, of course. That’s already clear (In response to the question: "Stocks are falling, the S&P 500 is down 4%. Will the Federal Reserve raise or lower the rate?")

Completely came true

Konstantin Borovoy

ru → en

I really want this trial to happen. But I am a realist... The likelihood of a trial against Putin is very low (Response to the question: 'When do you think the trial against Putin will take place?')

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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There are no chances left that Russia will survive as a unified state. Absolutely no chances. There will be many new states

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I believe that it will stop by January 20 in any case (War in Ukraine)

Did not come true

Konstantin Borovoy

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He is expendable. They will soon discard him like an unnecessary, used resource (About Yevgeny Prigozhin)

Completely came true

Konstantin Borovoy

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Therefore, this state has no other chances; it will disintegrate (Russia)

Awaiting results

Konstantin Borovoy

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I think that starting in January, the impeachment process will begin — if the Republicans win — an impeachment process against Biden

Did not come true