Dmitry Demushkin
Politician, public figure (Russia)
Dmitry Demushkin
ru → en
I've stated my prediction: they will choose a path soon—either they will carry out mobilization, or they will have to start peace negotiations. They can wait no longer than half a year
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
If they sort out all the technical issues, I think that in the next few years India will become the main driver of global growth. Trillions of dollars will be invested there
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
Nah, there’s no chance of a rate cut at all (In response to the question: "What do you think about the key interest rate? Nabiullina didn’t lower it on April 25.")
Did not come trueDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
I think that if nothing happens and Zelensky doesn’t pull any stunts that seem too much for Trump, then I’m 100% sure he’ll allow the Europeans to buy American weapons for Ukraine
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
The market reaction is one thing. The European ultimatum, which Peskov commented on regarding the ceasefire, is another. And the meeting in Istanbul is a third. As for the fundamental and main question — will there be peace? In my opinion, no. Because the positions of the two sides differ drastically
Completely came trueDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
To imagine that Ukraine would give up or withdraw from the territories of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia — that’s a strange assumption. Even if Trump joins the war alongside Putin, even that won’t lead to Ukraine agreeing to give them up
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
Someday, the hot phase of the conflict will come to an end. The sides are currently engaged in a war of attrition. But I don’t really believe in the signing of any peace agreement right now — because the interests of the parties are diametrically opposed
Completely came trueDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
I predict that in 2025, there will be attempts to ban WhatsApp and Telegram (In Russia)
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
By the end of the year, I think—let’s make a prediction—I’ll say 120 (The exchange rate of the Dollar in Russia by the end of 2025)
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
It’s clear that nothing is likely to happen with Kherson and Zaporizhzhia next year either (Russia will not capture them)
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
I think the negotiation process will begin by spring (Talks between Russia, Ukraine, and mediators will start)
Completely came trueDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
Yes, the dollar will keep rising, and it will cross 100 soon (In response to: "So, the dollar at 100 this year?" (100 rubles to the dollar))
Completely came trueDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
I believe that the transition period will come from the top, because no one at the bottom has the resources... The elite will be formed from those people whom you currently hate, among others (Significant changes in Russia will be initiated by the authorities, not by the people)
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
As I understand it, sanctions will always be tied to the territories that have been newly acquired. And it’s clear that I don’t see any reason for them to be lifted, even if they sign peace ten times. In other words, we’ll be under sanctions for a very long time (Sanctions against Russia won’t be lifted anytime soon, even if Russia reaches a peace agreement with Ukraine)
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
Trump is the main advocate for fighting with China and bringing all production back to the U.S. But if the Democrats come to power, I think China's policy will very much return to a calm course of agreements on key issues with the Americans. I don't believe they will initiate any large-scale trade wars with the Democrats
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
Yes, there is a painful question regarding Taiwan. Well, China has clearly seen that now is not the time to address these issues, at least not through military means. And after the example of Russia, it definitely will not go down that path. I believe it will achieve all its goals anyway. I am absolutely convinced of this. The Chinese know how to be patient. They will take Taiwan, they will take everything they need. Just not right away
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
Mobilization will happen; according to my calculations, it should take place in the second half of autumn, well, in autumn... I am sure that it will happen (In Russia)
Did not come trueDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
I don't think so; he will avoid it until the last moment (Response to the question: 'Will Lukashenko join the special military operation?')
Awaiting resultsDmitry Demushkin
ru → en
I don't think that it will happen (That Boris Johnson will become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom again)
Completely came true