Ivan Yakovina
Journalist (Russia, Ukraine)
Ivan Yakovina
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I think that at some stage, Ukraine will still receive Tomahawks or some analog of Tomahawks, like Barracuda missiles
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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Soon, in my opinion, NATO forces will, after all, start shooting down Russian drones and Russian missiles over Ukraine
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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The Western countries have a very good scenario left to support Ukraine's financial stability: to give Ukraine Putin's money... I have no doubt that this is the exact scenario that will be implemented. That is to say, they will give the money to Ukraine. The Russian money (It's about the frozen Russian assets)
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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There will definitely be a next time from the Russian side. Putin needs for the drones not to just fly over Poland, but to hit something there, to blow something up on the territory of Poland or another NATO country
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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I'm completely confident that at some point, Putin will try to strike the Baltic states. I believe he has many plans drawn up regarding Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia. Of course, he is unlikely to go for Finland, given his past bad experience and the fact that the Finns are more prepared to defend their country
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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I'm completely sure that as long as Sergio Gore is in the White House, Trump won't help Ukraine
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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Right now, the main topic of discussion around the world is, of course, whether Donald Trump will enter the war between Israel and Iran or not. To put it briefly, my answer is that he most likely won't and will be too afraid
Did not come trueIvan Yakovina
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All in all, I think Trump doesn’t have much time left, because he’s clearly declining — and fast. He’s not in his best shape right now
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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Right now, the Russians have gone to the Dolmabahçe Palace in Istanbul. The Ukrainians said they would arrive in Istanbul late. Why was this said? To take a pause and decide on a new delegation lineup. I think tomorrow it won’t be Rustem Umerov anymore, but someone of a lower level from the Ukrainian side
Did not come trueIvan Yakovina
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Strangely enough, good. If everything had been going well for him, I think he wouldn’t be so determined to establish peace in Ukraine. Because now, achieving peace in Ukraine, against the backdrop of all his defeats and failures, has become a major motivator for him. I think he won’t be able to back away from this topic, so to speak. He’ll have to push for that peace (In response to the question: “Donald Trump has marked 100 days in office. What are your impressions of the American president’s time in power?”)
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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I am sure that sooner or later, some sort of Prigozhin analogue will emerge in the Russian army, I have almost no doubt about it
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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The situation is gradually moving toward a scenario where, in 2025, if the war does not end, a very serious battle for air superiority will likely begin in the skies over Ukraine and, most likely, over Russia
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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If negotiations do not begin and no ceasefire is reached, another so-called partial mobilization—completely free of charge—will be announced in Russia in March
UnverifiableIvan Yakovina
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I speculate on what the next move by the United States might be: closing the Danish Straits, through which about 30-40% of Russia's oil and gas exports pass
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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I believe there is a fairly high probability that Donald Trump will manage to pressure Putin and impose his terms for a ceasefire in Ukraine
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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I actually believe that Ukraine will eventually join NATO
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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People’s bank deposits will simply be seized. They’ll be frozen or converted into bonds. They’ll call it a patriotic war loan for 20 years (In Russia in 2025)
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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I think sooner or later it will be destroyed (In response to: "What about the Crimean Bridge?")
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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I said from the very beginning that I think the operation will end with, well, basically a genocide of all those Arabs, and there will be none of them left at all—either they’ll be driven out or the entire population of Gaza will be killed off, and Israel will annex this territory. I think, in the end, that’s what will happen (In response to the question: "How do you think Israel’s operation in Gaza will end?")
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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I think it will gradually increase. I don’t know to what levels exactly; it will all depend on how much Putin spends and prints unbacked money. But that the dollar rate will rise is absolutely certain (The ruble-to-dollar exchange rate)
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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They are ready to capitulate if it means avoiding nuclear war. For them, human life is more important than the idea of victory. I think if it comes down to a choice between nuclear war or surrender, they will choose surrender (Referring to Europe if Putin were to deploy troops, for example, in Lithuania)
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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I think this permission will most likely be granted, but only after the elections (In response to the question: "Why does the U.S. prohibit strikes deep into Russia?" Referring to allowing Ukraine to use long-range American weapons for strikes deep into Russian territory)
Completely came trueIvan Yakovina
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He will leave when he dies, or when he is overthrown. But I think he is more likely to die than be overthrown (In response to the question: "When will Lukashenko step down?")
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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It would be beneficial for the Americans if a pro-American force came to power in Russia, so that together they could pressure and contain China. Establishing a pro-American regime in Russia would be a reasonable goal for the Americans. I believe that, sooner or later, they will achieve this
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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I think Trump could very well win this election; it’s quite realistic. However, I don’t believe he will actually become president. I don’t know what will happen, but something will. I am sure he won’t become president. Of course, I could be wrong
Did not come trueIvan Yakovina
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Right now, I would bet that the strike on Feodosia is just a warm-up, a training exercise, and that the main blow will target the oil terminals in Novorossiysk and Ust-Luga. Most likely, this strike will happen after the U.S. presidential elections, at the beginning of November, exactly one month from now
Did not come trueIvan Yakovina
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We need to prepare for the possibility that in winter, Russia will likely launch a large-scale infantry offensive with significant forces
Did not come trueIvan Yakovina
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The middle class won’t go to war en masse, even for money… They’ll have to draft people by force. That’s why I think by the end of this year or the beginning of next year, at least half a million Russian men will be conscripted into the army. They'll try to draft them, though some will flee and some will hide, but overall, I think they’ll get the job done. Russia has set up a special electronic system and border control system; they’ve prepared thoroughly for a new wave of mobilization
Did not come trueIvan Yakovina
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Keeping in mind the military operations that Russia has conducted or attempted in the past, their intentions are generally clear; there is nothing particularly complicated about it, and I think it is quite obvious. Kupiansk is now becoming a city of key importance. I believe that, most likely, we should expect in the coming months, probably when it gets colder, and the autumn rains come to an end, a significant offensive on Kupiansk
Did not come trueIvan Yakovina
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I am confident that at the current pace of development of this technology, within six months at most, the entire front line will generally be closed to Russian reconnaissance drones. They will not be able to fly unpunished in the air, especially over Ukrainian positions. Perhaps they will have the opportunity to fly somewhere over their territory under the protection of their air defense, somewhere far from Ukrainian intercepting drones
Did not come trueIvan Yakovina
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My prediction is that in 2025 inflation will kill the Russian economy, the Russian budget, and the Russian regime
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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Next year, considering how the American sanctions are escalating, how severely they are hitting the Russian economy, and how much the Russian economy is being cut off from the global economy, I absolutely see no possibilities for the Russian economy to hold on without the lifting of sanctions... it will collapse, it will crash
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
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I think the war will end in 2025 with the defeat of the Russian Federation
Awaiting results