Ivan Yakovina
Journalist (Russia, Ukraine)
Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
I think the war will end in 2025 with the defeat of the Russian Federation
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
Next year, considering how the American sanctions are escalating, how severely they are hitting the Russian economy, and how much the Russian economy is being cut off from the global economy, I absolutely see no possibilities for the Russian economy to hold on without the lifting of sanctions... it will collapse, it will crash
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
My prediction is that in 2025 inflation will kill the Russian economy, the Russian budget, and the Russian regime
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
I think it will gradually increase. I don’t know to what levels exactly; it will all depend on how much Putin spends and prints unbacked money. But that the dollar rate will rise is absolutely certain (The ruble-to-dollar exchange rate)
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
People’s bank deposits will simply be seized. They’ll be frozen or converted into bonds. They’ll call it a patriotic war loan for 20 years (In Russia in 2025)
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
I speculate on what the next move by the United States might be: closing the Danish Straits, through which about 30-40% of Russia's oil and gas exports pass
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
The situation is gradually moving toward a scenario where, in 2025, if the war does not end, a very serious battle for air superiority will likely begin in the skies over Ukraine and, most likely, over Russia
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
Strangely enough, good. If everything had been going well for him, I think he wouldn’t be so determined to establish peace in Ukraine. Because now, achieving peace in Ukraine, against the backdrop of all his defeats and failures, has become a major motivator for him. I think he won’t be able to back away from this topic, so to speak. He’ll have to push for that peace (In response to the question: “Donald Trump has marked 100 days in office. What are your impressions of the American president’s time in power?”)
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
Soon, in my opinion, NATO forces will, after all, start shooting down Russian drones and Russian missiles over Ukraine
Awaiting results February 18, 2026Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
There will definitely be a next time from the Russian side. Putin needs for the drones not to just fly over Poland, but to hit something there, to blow something up on the territory of Poland or another NATO country
Awaiting results September 14, 2026Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
The Western countries have a very good scenario left to support Ukraine's financial stability: to give Ukraine Putin's money... I have no doubt that this is the exact scenario that will be implemented. That is to say, they will give the money to Ukraine. The Russian money (It's about the frozen Russian assets)
Awaiting results September 18, 2026Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
All in all, I think Trump doesn’t have much time left, because he’s clearly declining — and fast. He’s not in his best shape right now
Awaiting results June 10, 2027Ivan Yakovina
ru → en
It would be beneficial for the Americans if a pro-American force came to power in Russia, so that together they could pressure and contain China. Establishing a pro-American regime in Russia would be a reasonable goal for the Americans. I believe that, sooner or later, they will achieve this
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
ru → en
He will leave when he dies, or when he is overthrown. But I think he is more likely to die than be overthrown (In response to the question: "When will Lukashenko step down?")
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
ru → en
They are ready to capitulate if it means avoiding nuclear war. For them, human life is more important than the idea of victory. I think if it comes down to a choice between nuclear war or surrender, they will choose surrender (Referring to Europe if Putin were to deploy troops, for example, in Lithuania)
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
ru → en
I said from the very beginning that I think the operation will end with, well, basically a genocide of all those Arabs, and there will be none of them left at all—either they’ll be driven out or the entire population of Gaza will be killed off, and Israel will annex this territory. I think, in the end, that’s what will happen (In response to the question: "How do you think Israel’s operation in Gaza will end?")
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
ru → en
I think sooner or later it will be destroyed (In response to: "What about the Crimean Bridge?")
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
ru → en
I actually believe that Ukraine will eventually join NATO
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
ru → en
I believe there is a fairly high probability that Donald Trump will manage to pressure Putin and impose his terms for a ceasefire in Ukraine
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
ru → en
I am sure that sooner or later, some sort of Prigozhin analogue will emerge in the Russian army, I have almost no doubt about it
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
ru → en
I'm completely sure that as long as Sergio Gore is in the White House, Trump won't help Ukraine
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
ru → en
I'm completely confident that at some point, Putin will try to strike the Baltic states. I believe he has many plans drawn up regarding Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia. Of course, he is unlikely to go for Finland, given his past bad experience and the fact that the Finns are more prepared to defend their country
Awaiting resultsIvan Yakovina
ru → en
I think that at some stage, Ukraine will still receive Tomahawks or some analog of Tomahawks, like Barracuda missiles
Awaiting results