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Ranking Predictions Authors

Mark Feygin

Lawyer, blogger (Russia)


Predictions
184
Verified
80
Came true
81%
Rating
6.81

New Awaiting Verified

Mark Feygin

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The Israeli army has withdrawn... My cautious prediction is that the war will continue. Because Hamas certainly won't voluntarily lay down its weapons. Because that would mean losing power in the Gaza Strip

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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Absolutely, and, of course, the Tomahawks will appear. That's my prediction (The US will transfer Tomahawks to Ukraine))

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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Trump will definitely not impose anything against China (Sanctions)

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Mark Feygin

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I believe that Vance won't last, either. And Vance has no chance of replacing Trump as president of the United States

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Mark Feygin

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Here we see Markaryan, who spoke out against the war... He'll go to prison; they'll put him there

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Mark Feygin

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China can afford any megaprojects... I'd cautiously predict that the Chinese will reach the moon first

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Mark Feygin

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Do you believe that Narendra Modi will give up buying Russian oil? No, he won't. Trump will be the one to meet him halfway

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Mark Feygin

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Look at Venezuela, it's been thrown into the mix. Nothing will happen... because to do that, one would have to enter into a real, prolonged conflict with an unpredictable outcome. And he's geared for perpetual victory, Trump is

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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My very cautious forecast is that they will not occupy the Donetsk region up to its administrative borders this year—they won't (They = Russia)

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Mark Feygin

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Will he be removed from this list of foreign agents or not? My prediction is that it definitely won't happen quickly—not in a month, not in a year (Speaking about Sergei Markov)

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Mark Feygin

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So, Mikheil Saakashvili, by being in prison... this plays the important role that there are absolutely no doubts about who is in power in Georgia. I know that efforts, both through negotiations and other means, are being made and are continuing for his release, but my prediction is that they will not release him

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Mark Feygin

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I think this is the next step. Lithuania will get nuclear weapons

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Mark Feygin

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I really think Whitkoff's visit will be pointless and accomplish nothing; they won't agree on anything (Steve Whitkoff's visit to Russia in early August)

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Mark Feygin

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I don't think what's happening in Istanbul can be considered a step towards peace in any way. As for a high-level meeting, it won't happen in the format proposed by Ukraine (Russia won't agree to Ukraine's proposal for a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin)

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Mark Feygin

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Look, the important forecast regarding Iran is that this won’t last long. Why? Because a ground operation is impossible. It’s not feasible because the countries are located far from each other. Who would land troops where, and how would they fight? Iran against Israel and Israel against Iran—it’s a remote war: a missile war, a drone war. There might be a special operation, but this is not a ground war. The second reason is that Israel doesn’t need Iran—it’s not planning to capture it or annex it to its territory (The current war between Israel and Iran will not last long)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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Will Iran block the Strait of Hormuz? My prediction is no. My prediction is no. Why? Because then they would also lose Khark Island, the oil terminal, the refineries, and essentially their entire oil industry

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I'll make a prediction. I believe that Iran will not succeed in inflicting very serious damage on Israel — that’s my forecast. Yes, some missiles, Shaheds, and ballistic rockets may reach Israeli territory, possibly even some military sites, but they will not cause significant damage (In the current phase of the war between Israel and Iran)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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In the end, Ukraine — this is my prediction, and I may be wrong — I believe it will change its non-nuclear status. That’s my forecast, a long-term prediction. Because there’s no other way out

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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All he can do, at some point — and we will see this — is say that Ukraine needs to agree to the terms proposed by Moscow. Not all of them, but it must agree to the four regions. This will come up in one form or another. If you want to stop the bloodshed, if you don’t want retaliatory strikes like what happened on June 1st, you have to go, you have to swallow your pride and give up those four regions. That’s roughly the kind of message we’ll hear. This is the last line Trump will cross, I think (Trump, in one form or another, will propose that Ukraine give up Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions in favor of Russia)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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If Kadyrov does die, for example from illness or something else, my prediction is that none of Kadyrov’s successors will stay in power — neither Delimkhanov nor Daudov will remain presidents of Chechnya, that won’t happen, and his son won’t stay either

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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The paradox of Navalny is that they killed him now, but his role and significance lie in the future. Squares will be named after him, cities will be named in honor of Alexei Navalny. That will inevitably happen

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Mark Feygin

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They won’t reverse course, because everything is happening too quickly, and by now it would openly look like an admission that they’ve lost politically. Withdraw Medinsky? Under what pretext? It’s too late for that. More likely, I think, they’ll actually toughen their demands. They’ll now tighten their demands even more — paradoxically, not ease them, but specifically toughen them. That’s most likely what will happen. Some things will sound more blunt, more brazen, more cynical. And going forward, one can assume that the negotiations will end in nothing (Russia will toughen its demands on Ukraine at the negotiations in Istanbul on June 2)

Almost came true

Mark Feygin

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Zelensky will be in Berlin tomorrow. He wouldn’t have gone if there weren’t a firm promise to provide Taurus missiles. His visit, in fact, signals that the agreement to supply such weapons is being put into action

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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Putin responded during the night with his proposal for a meeting on May 15 in Istanbul. We've seen Zelensky's response... Will Putin agree or not? My personal opinion is that, of course, he won’t come, and of course, nothing will happen (Putin will not come to Istanbul on May 15 for negotiations with Zelensky)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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Starting Monday, the 30-day ceasefire — in my opinion, I could be wrong — I would be very surprised if Moscow stops the fire. My logic, my understanding of the process, suggests that it won’t happen on Moscow’s part (On the 30-day ceasefire proposed by Kyiv starting May 12)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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They are excluded. There will be no exchange of nuclear strikes. Precisely because these are nuclear strikes — they leave no chances. This is deterrent weaponry (Answer to the question: "Do you think nuclear strikes are possible between India and Pakistan?")

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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So my prediction is that most likely America will not back out, will not withdraw from the process next week... And most likely, Trump will continue to maintain the role of mediator, even if his position shifts — he still won’t leave

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I still think that in this situation, the composition of the administration will gradually change. As we’ve discussed, some people will drop out. In their place will come increasingly polished, proper, predictable, non-confrontational Republicans — from among senators and congressmen. I think the eccentricity will gradually, step by step — not immediately — be done away with (Talking about the U.S. presidential administration)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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My prediction is very cautious: Trump won’t impose any significant sanctions to punish Moscow, even if it does come to that

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Mark Feygin

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Why is Whitkoff going everywhere? Now he’s gone to Iran. They’ll come to an agreement on the money. But the issue of Iran’s nuclear program won’t be resolved. That’s my prediction

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Mark Feygin

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Ukraine will not lose the war in 2025. From a military standpoint, it will not be defeated

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Mark Feygin

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If peacekeepers are deployed, then a no-fly zone over Ukraine will definitely follow... They will at the very least protect the areas where the peacekeeping contingent is stationed. That’s for sure

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Mark Feygin

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Trump won’t stay on in four years, no matter what anyone says about a third term or a swap with Vance. I don’t believe in that — I think there’s absolutely no chance

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Mark Feygin

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They’ll do it. Just look at how freely they impose multibillion-dollar fines on these American companies (In response to the remark: "What if the Europeans introduce some tariffs on American digital services?")

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Mark Feygin

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Right now they are developing some kind of mechanism whereby, no matter what Orban’s position is, they simply activate the mechanism — and that’s it. Europe will not lift the sanctions (Sanctions against Russia)

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Mark Feygin

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My prediction: sooner or later, they will do it. The question is whether it's sooner or later. This is my prediction. It will happen (Europe will eventually decide to deploy troops to Ukraine)

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Mark Feygin

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There will be midterm elections there in November 2026. My cautious prediction is that the Republican Party will lose them

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Mark Feygin

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It is clear that there will be no ceasefire. This will even be discussed until summer

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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No, they definitely won’t go for it (In response to the remark: "Turkey’s leader Erdoğan is trying to take advantage of the moment, saying that the EU cannot solve security problems without him, so Turkey must urgently be admitted to the European Union. I hope the EU won’t take such a risky step.")

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Mark Feygin

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He will not achieve peace with Moscow because he cannot make such a peace at Ukraine’s expense. He cannot. That is not what he promised, that is not what is expected of him, and he does not have the authority to do so (Trump)

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Mark Feygin

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This is a left-liberal award for its own— not for outsiders, but for its own. That doesn’t make it better or worse. It’s simply a prize given only to those whom the liberal community considers acceptable to honor with such awards. It’s not necessarily the most deserving individuals. This is also a political tool. Trump is not part of this circle; he will never receive a Nobel Prize. Never

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Mark Feygin

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As for Trump's statements about his peacekeeping and humanitarian mission, when he says that not only will we not start wars ourselves, but we will also end others— the one who does not participate in the war is the one who wins. This will not work for Trump, this will not work for Trump. He will not be able to end wars or avoid starting them during his four-year term

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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I think, my prediction is that this issue will somehow be resolved. After all, the American establishment, which is absolutely not inclined to take responsibility for any new territories—whether it's the 51st state, Canada, or Greenland—will manage to convince Trump that such actions are entirely unnecessary at the moment. After all, Trump doesn’t make this decision alone. By the way, to annex new territories, all states would need to vote in favor. You can’t just annex territories to America like that

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Mark Feygin

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My prediction is that Zelensky will go to Washington on January 20

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

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Firstly, we don’t know what kind of power will ultimately take shape... but the kind of ally Moscow once had will no longer exist, and there will no longer be any Russian military base in Syria. Russia’s presence in the Middle East will definitively come to an end

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Mark Feygin

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Putin won’t live until 2045, believe me

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Mark Feygin

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By 2045, yes, Russia will collapse about 10 times before that point

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Mark Feygin

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Hardly any missile will actually reach the U.S. The truth is that Aegis, THAAD, and similar systems will intercept 95-97% of the strategic missiles heading toward the U.S. The U.S. knows this, and Moscow knows it too

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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The Russian army’s offensive will certainly slow down, simply due to climatic and seasonal factors. From this perspective, I don’t think they intend to take Pavlograd—that’s impossible—or reach the borders of the Dnipro region, let alone cross them. Such an opportunity does not exist at the moment

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I think that most likely, the fighting will pause in December, and its intensity will decrease significantly. The Russian army’s offensive will certainly slow down, simply due to climatic and seasonal factors

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

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Missiles will fly. Want me to make a prediction? Sooner or later, they will fly to Moscow. To Moscow, just like they are flying to Kyiv now

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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I believe there will be no response. There will be no strikes by Moscow on the territory of third countries—I mean European countries or the U.S. And no strikes on bases, as they mention, in the Baltic states, for example... This won’t happen. Moscow won’t react to this (There will be no military response from Russia to the decision allowing Ukraine to strike Russian territory with long-range weapons)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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They say that all efforts are being focused on arranging a new meeting between Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky. And I think such a meeting will most likely take place

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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As for foreign agents and these new legislative measures, this is certain, it’s 100%. I’ve said many times that foreign agents will be stripped of their citizenship, and I have no doubt about it. (In Russia.)

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Mark Feygin

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If British and American troops are indeed deployed there under an international UN mandate, you understand that they will never leave—they’ll dig trenches, settle in, and so on, whether in blue helmets or any other color. Moscow will never agree to this (Moscow will not accept a truce in the Ukraine war that involves a neutral buffer zone controlled by British forces)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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I believe that at least until the inauguration, nothing will happen. Everything will continue as it is (There will be no ceasefire in the war in Ukraine until Trump’s inauguration)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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Deploying weapons in space, creating manned and unmanned space bases, and so on. Putting weapons into space is inevitable, unavoidable. This isn’t a science fiction novel; this is real life on Earth

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Mark Feygin

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Right now, such a strike would be an unnecessary setback for Iran in the current context. Such a strike might even benefit Trump, who is fiercely opposed to Iran... I would say with a high degree of probability that there won’t be a strong response at this time. They may put on a show for appearance’s sake. The fact is, Iran itself and its proxies are in a state of disarray after all these Israeli strikes (Iran is unlikely to deliver a powerful strike on Israel despite the heightened rhetoric)

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Mark Feygin

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Iran will soon get this bomb with the help of North Korea and Moscow. I think they will acquire nuclear weapons unless Israel carries out preemptive strikes

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Mark Feygin

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The ruling party in Georgia is "Georgian Dream," a puppet pro-Moscow party... My prediction is that Moscow is certainly involved and is participating in the election process in Georgia, which will take place on the 26th. They will rig the elections, that’s for sure. And most likely, Moscow will also take part in forcefully defending the rigged election results, ensuring that Georgian Dream remains in power

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I don’t believe in any organized protest, for the simple reason that I don’t see any political forces capable of it. There used to be, but not anymore... That’s why I don’t believe in any mass and organized protest now, under the conditions of war (Ukraine will not face major internal protests or political destabilization during the current war)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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There won't be a long, protracted war with Moscow... Everything will be resolved in the coming years. I'm not saying one year; I'm saying years—one, two, three. It will be settled soon, not in some long, drawn-out conflict on a distant horizon (The war in Ukraine will not last for decades and will be resolved in the next few years, within one to three years)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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China plans to take over Taiwan by any means necessary, including military action, if the situation is safe for them—meaning if it can be done without consequences, such as no interference from the United States. Under what circumstances would that be possible? It's quite obvious: if Ukraine loses, if the West abandons it (If the West gives up on Ukraine and it loses the war, China will take over Taiwan)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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I'm confident, and I predict that Putin will intervene and resolve the issue, and everything will collapse in an instant. We'll see a smiling Kerimov and Kadyrov, wearing expensive sunglasses, hugging and kissing, saying, "That's it, we've agreed, everything is fine. We get 30 percent, he gets 70 percent. We're respectable people."

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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For peace and the start of negotiations, there must be at least Moscow's agreement to retreat from the remaining parts of Ukraine that they haven’t occupied. Can you imagine that? I can’t. The idea of Putin giving up Kyiv and 80 percent of Ukraine is unimaginable to me. So far, I don’t see any signs that Putin is willing to abandon his strategic goal

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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I don’t think so. The inertia of the war over the next three months will carry it into next year. For the war to truly come to an end, we need radical solutions—either towards peace or towards further escalation. But those radical solutions are not there; we don’t see them (Response to the question: "Do you feel that the hot phase of the war might end this year?")

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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On November 5th, Trump wins, and then what? He thinks he can talk to Putin and resolve everything. That’s not true; he won’t solve anything (If Trump wins the elections, he won’t be able to stop the war in Ukraine just by calling Putin, as he has promised)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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In Tajikistan, there will be a dynastic system. It will repeat what happened in Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan

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Mark Feygin

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Biden stated today that he considers Israel's retaliatory strikes against Iran, particularly on nuclear facilities, to be impractical... It seems that one can predict that this strike will occur right after the holiday ends. There are no grounds to think that it will be canceled. However, it will not be a large-scale operation; rather, it will be targeted strikes on selected objectives, military targets, and possibly energy infrastructure facilities. But regarding the nuclear facilities, it is unclear whether Israel will decide to act. In my opinion, no (Israel will soon strike Iran, but not on nuclear facilities)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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Moscow does not want to participate in any peace summits and will not participate in the second summit; it will not participate, even as an observer. It will not participate

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Mark Feygin

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But still, it seems more realistic to me that, when considering the context of a nuclear response or an attempt at nuclear blackmail, it is more likely that they will conduct nuclear tests on Novaya Zemlya... This is more likely. Why? Because the level of control over the situation there is much higher. This will have an effect on the West. None on Ukraine

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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In this business, once everything is divided up, there won’t be any Bakalchuks left—that’s obvious too (Referring to Wildberries)

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Mark Feygin

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I predict that, in the end, Putin will step in as an arbitrator and somehow divide this business between the disputing parties (Wildberries)

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Mark Feygin

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Attempting to assassinate Donald Trump is an outrageous thing... they have arrested the shooter... it is clear that he will face severe responsibility, he will be convicted and, apparently, given a very long sentence

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Mark Feygin

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Clearly, but it is unlikely that he will get it (Ryabkov is clearly aiming for Lavrov's position)

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Mark Feygin

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Most likely, Mongolia will be withdrawn from the International Criminal Court. I think this will happen, perhaps not all at once... and most likely, Mongolia will be excluded from the Rome Statute

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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I believe with a high degree of certainty that Durov will grant access to Telegram. While in custody, Durov will agree to cooperate with the French law enforcement system, and let's be frank, with the French means with the American and all the others

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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I think that there won't be enough time for any peace process to begin by the end of the year. This is more likely a question for next year

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I will make a prediction that, most likely, the niqabs will not be banned (In the context of the discussions these days about banning niqabs in Russia)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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In the end, they will certainly ban YouTube (In Russia)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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She will never be a foreign agent (Ksenia Sobchak)

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Mark Feygin

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If such incredible steps were taken to admit Ukraine into NATO, the war would likely end much sooner rather than escalate to a new level (If Ukraine is accepted into NATO, the war will end, not intensify)

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Mark Feygin

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This summer, the 75th anniversary summit of NATO's founding will take place in Washington. Why shouldn't old Trump, in his 90s, consider that he might not have another term as president (Mark Feygin misspoke: it’s not Trump, but Biden. Since this NATO summit is taking place under Biden, and Trump is not yet in his 90s)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I believe the conflict in Israel will come to an end. I mean in southern Israel, in the Gaza Strip. I think they will deal with Hamas... it will be over in January-February, there will be no difference. But when they say that they will be fighting for years – that won't happen

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

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Although I think it will be avoided, it won't happen, at least not in the near future (Referring to the possible resignation of Zaluzhny)

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

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I don't see any prospects for him in his new role. I don't see any political quality (Arestovich has no prospects in politics)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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Just like Hezbollah (They won’t get drawn into the war)

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Mark Feygin

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Kupyansk will not be taken by Russian troops. It will not be taken

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Mark Feygin

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I think negotiations are underway regarding the hostages... I believe that this will not be successful. Hamas will not release these people. They will not release them

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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Because in December, the question of Georgia’s candidacy for EU membership will be decided. And the chances are zero

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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Of course (A response to the remark that China will not develop production in Russia, such as car factories)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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Austria will definitely join NATO as a result of the war

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Mark Feygin

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The governor of the Belgorod region… he will definitely be removed, 100% (Referring to Vyacheslav Gladkov)

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

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Erdoğan will retain his position in the second round

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I think that Prigozhin will most likely announce the creation of a party

Unverifiable

Mark Feygin

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I tend to think that they will ultimately imprison him (About Yevgeny Roizman)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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They will let him participate in the elections... they will let him participate in the primaries (About Donald Trump. He will not be arrested until the results of the primaries)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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In my opinion, it is unlikely that a forceful scenario can be avoided... The issue of Moldova will be resolved by force. I do not see a possibility for Moscow to voluntarily withdraw its contingent back to Russia... that is out of the question (Referring to Transnistria)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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Stoltenberg will stay until September, and there is a very high probability that he will be replaced by Boris Johnson (As NATO Secretary General)

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

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By spring, some ATACMS should definitely be transferred (To Ukraine)

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

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What is the year 2024? It's the elections in America in November. As for Ukraine, I don't know if they will be postponed or not... most likely, they will be held in some way

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

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He will return, I am sure (Ivan Urgant will return to Russia)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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Still, sooner or later, we will have to get rid of Shoigu

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I think that is most likely how it will be. One battery will probably be transferred as a trial (Regarding the USA transferring the Patriot system to Ukraine)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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And I think they will make him a deputy (Viktor Bout will be made a deputy from the LDPR)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I think they definitely won't reach an agreement there... There is no benefit for Ukraine in this (About the transportation of grain from Ukraine through Belarus)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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Most likely, he will leave. Probably to Israel. Unlikely to Russia (Mikhail Fridman)

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

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They will trade and sell for 60 and for 30... everyone who buys (Russia will still sell oil, despite the price cap that has been introduced)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I believe they will most likely be added to the list of terrorist organizations (Wagner Group)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I personally believe that Crimea can only be liberated by military means

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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We will apparently witness the sunset of the Prigozhin story

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I think humanity will most likely go down this path (Regarding the creation of a new organization instead of the UN, which will include not all countries of the world, but those that share certain Western values)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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First of all, there will be no Marshall Plan for Russia... don't harbor any illusions

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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He is not facing the dock. Most likely, he will be killed... if Moscow loses the war... he will be killed (Lukashenko)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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I believe that they will reach the point of confiscating frozen assets. I think this will happen in both Europe and America as well... I believe that large-scale confiscations may begin by the start of next year (Frozen Russian assets)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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Moscow will also prepare for an offensive. And most likely, with a high degree of probability, it will be in the north (The north of Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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I think so, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are preparing for an offensive. In my opinion, it is in the Zaporizhzhia direction

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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He will be killed (Evgeny Prigozhin)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I don't think that something like that will happen on the 15th... that would be quite foolish (Missile strike on Ukraine)

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

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Independently, as a force, the military will not come to power (In Russia)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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Even before the war, I believed that Putin's regime... the power in Russia would not change as a result of elections or peaceful protests

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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I do not believe that the war has the resources to last until 2025 (The war in Ukraine)

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

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Ukraine, having endured these 8 months of hell, will never be demilitarized; that will never happen

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

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I just can't imagine that the front will turn and they will go to Mykolaiv (Russian troops)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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I think so, most likely they will have to leave Kherson (About Russian troops)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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She will return... I can't imagine that Sobchak has left for good (Ksenia Sobchak)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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He will be fine... they won't put him anywhere (in prison) (About Anton Krasovsky. Regarding his statements on RT and the subsequent suspension)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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The son of Yakunin will most likely get away with it; he is not in much danger, considering his British citizenship

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

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Yes, it will be independent, of course, yes (In response to the statement: "The Chechen Republic will be independent.")

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I think Zelenskyy will not go... most likely he will speak online

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I'll tell you more... there will be strikes on the Crimean Bridge as well (New strikes)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I think this is unlikely (Regarding Russia attacking airports in Poland)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

Only if Moscow itself initiates it... NATO will avoid it until the last moment (Answering the question: "What percentage do you give that a war between NATO and Russia is possible?" The prediction is interpreted in such a way that NATO will not attack Moscow first, only in response to Russia's actions)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I cannot believe that he will be appointed the head of Novorossiya right now, after the referendums (About Medvedchuk)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

The borders will be closed soon... they will close the borders... the state borders will be blocked, there is no doubt about that (About mobilization in Russia)

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I predict that most likely troops will be deployed on the territory of Ukraine... by NATO countries (If Russia uses nuclear weapons)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I don't think that they are saying she will become the leader of the anti-war rebellion, the anti-war protest (About Alla Pugacheva)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

Now there are no chances left; he can't die on his own now (About Putin)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

All the recent structures that connected countries, like the CIS... all of this will fall apart (CIS = Commonwealth of Independent States)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

Well, of course (This comment is in response to Andrei Piontkovsky's remark that the CSTO (Collective Security Treaty Organization) certainly won't lift a finger in the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan in September 2022)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I am not sure that this can happen in the near future... I have skepticism; I approach this with skepticism (Commenting on the remark "Putin may be removed by the Security Council due to health reasons")

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

As if there was never such a president as Nazarbayev. Tokayev will also be removed someday; do you think such a fate does not await him? It does

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

Undoubtedly, the CSTO will fall apart

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

And my prediction is that Hungary will bend; it will concede. It will not leave either the European Union or NATO (On Hungary's pro-Putin behavior, that it is more beneficial for them to remain in the EU than to continue supporting Putin)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

No, no, no... they cannot agree to that (Moscow will not agree to the proposal for a special status for Crimea)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

This will never happen... they will not agree to anything of that sort (About the possibility of deploying UN peacekeepers at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

Europe will get through this because the gas storage facilities are full... their winters are mockeries of our summers (Regarding the gas problems with Russia)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

Kadyrov is showing incredible activity... there will be no appointment of him in place of Zolotov

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

They will meet at the G20 summit, Xi Jinping and Biden. I suspect that this will most likely end with mutual visits, first Xi Jinping to Washington, and then Biden to Beijing. This is my prediction, and I do not insist on it

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I don't get the impression that they will abandon the referendum (In Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and other occupied territories of Ukraine)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

They will not reach Kyiv in a month, nor in six months, nor in a year, nor in two (Russian troops)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I highly doubt that Putin will go there... but this cannot be ruled out (About Putin's trip to the G20 summit in 2022 in Indonesia)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

By the way, I do not believe in it; it will never happen (Regarding General nuclear disarmament worldwide)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

By the way, I am convinced that they will join NATO... ultimately, this will come to pass (Serbia)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

In my opinion, the Russian troops will not leave the territory of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (On their own)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

My prediction is that they will reach an agreement on JAFI , and JAFI will most likely remain in Russia (JAFI = The Jewish Agency for Israel)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

They will agree, they will agree, and they will make the exchange (The Americans will agree to exchange Viktor Bout for the basketball player Brittney Griner)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

In the south, no. I assess that there are not many chances to advance in the south (Regarding the Russian troops)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

By the way, nothing will happen regarding Kosovo; I can say this for sure (Regarding the escalation in Kosovo on the night of August 1, 2022. It means that there will not be a hot continuation of the escalation of the situation)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

With a high degree of probability, I still believe that the Americans will not cancel this visit (About Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I believe that there will be no military conflict; China will not go for it (About the threats from China if Nancy Pelosi visits Taiwan)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

In November, there are midterm elections that the Democratic Party of the USA is likely to lose

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

They will come to this (The West will provide Ukraine with long-range missiles)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

In my opinion, everything will come to a breaking point, and at the last moment, he will not press it (Putin will not press the 'red button' to launch nuclear weapons)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

He wants some kind of comeback that will never happen (Medvedev will not become president of Russia again)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

No, he definitely will not shoot himself (Putin)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I don't think he will be trusted to handle Ukraine instead of Kiriyenko (Rogozin)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

As for Rogozin, yes, I do not believe that he will be appointed instead of Kiriyenko (At the extraordinary meeting of the State Duma of Russia on July 15, 2022)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I do not believe that they will declare martial law or mobilization (At the extraordinary meeting of the Russian State Duma on July 15, 2022)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

The war with Ukraine will ultimately lead to Russia having no European borders without NATO countries; we will gradually see Georgia and Moldova in NATO, and we will also see Ukraine

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

There will not be any kind of super-massive strike (Regarding the threats from Russia to strike at decision-making centers of Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

There will be a vote on the candidacy for EU membership, and it is clear that it will be positive for Ukraine and for Moldova

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I think that most likely yes, this will happen, in my opinion. It's hard to say how quickly (Regarding the lifting of the moratorium on the death penalty in Russia)

Awaiting results

Mark Feygin

ru → en

In general, I predict that the energy will last until the end of the year, no more. After that, it may transition into a positional phase, like it was for 8 years (About Russia)

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I think this is some kind of temporary situation. Patriarch Kirill is providing grounds to end up on the list. And if not now, then later he will find himself there (In the sanctions list. He will be subjected to sanctions)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

They will stretch it out as much as possible; an exchange will definitely not happen until the end of summer, at least for the majority of the two thousand who are in captivity in the Russian Federation (About the exchange of prisoners from Azovstal)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

Here is my prediction. They will come to an agreement. Finland and Sweden will indeed join NATO

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

He is just pretending... he will not give weapons to the people... he will not give them weapons, he will not (Lukashenko will not provide Belarusians with weapons in the context of creating a people's militia)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

For years... it will definitely last more than a year (Answering the question: "How much longer will this war last?")

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

Yes (The answer to the question: "So, is he (Putin) going to annex them? Will he officially join them?" About Kherson and Mariupol (presumably about the Kherson region and the Donetsk region of Ukraine))

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

One hundred percent will vote (About the vote in the U.S. for $40 billion in aid to Ukraine)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

I think it won't be like that with Severodonetsk (The scenario of encircling Severodonetsk like Mariupol)

Completely came true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

As for mobilization, the question is open; I remain a skeptic... whether they will decide to do this or not (Russian authorities)

Did not come true

Mark Feygin

ru → en

Because a war is really starting, now I can say for sure... now it is definitely war (Speaks about the beginning of Russia's invasion of Ukraine)

Completely came true