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Look, the important forecast regarding Iran is that this won’t last long. Why? Because a ground operation is impossible. It’s not feasible because the countries are located far from each other. Who would land troops where, and how would they fight? Iran against Israel and Israel against Iran—it’s a remote war: a missile war, a drone war. There might be a special operation, but this is not a ground war. The second reason is that Israel doesn’t need Iran—it’s not planning to capture it or annex it to its territory (The current war between Israel and Iran will not last long)

Will Iran block the Strait of Hormuz? My prediction is no. My prediction is no. Why? Because then they would also lose Khark Island, the oil terminal, the refineries, and essentially their entire oil industry

I'll make a prediction. I believe that Iran will not succeed in inflicting very serious damage on Israel — that’s my forecast. Yes, some missiles, Shaheds, and ballistic rockets may reach Israeli territory, possibly even some military sites, but they will not cause significant damage (In the current phase of the war between Israel and Iran)

They won’t reverse course, because everything is happening too quickly, and by now it would openly look like an admission that they’ve lost politically. Withdraw Medinsky? Under what pretext? It’s too late for that. More likely, I think, they’ll actually toughen their demands. They’ll now tighten their demands even more — paradoxically, not ease them, but specifically toughen them. That’s most likely what will happen. Some things will sound more blunt, more brazen, more cynical. And going forward, one can assume that the negotiations will end in nothing (Russia will toughen its demands on Ukraine at the negotiations in Istanbul on June 2)

It is clear that there will be no ceasefire. This will even be discussed until summer

Starting Monday, the 30-day ceasefire — in my opinion, I could be wrong — I would be very surprised if Moscow stops the fire. My logic, my understanding of the process, suggests that it won’t happen on Moscow’s part (On the 30-day ceasefire proposed by Kyiv starting May 12)

Putin responded during the night with his proposal for a meeting on May 15 in Istanbul. We've seen Zelensky's response... Will Putin agree or not? My personal opinion is that, of course, he won’t come, and of course, nothing will happen (Putin will not come to Istanbul on May 15 for negotiations with Zelensky)

So my prediction is that most likely America will not back out, will not withdraw from the process next week... And most likely, Trump will continue to maintain the role of mediator, even if his position shifts — he still won’t leave

The Russian army’s offensive will certainly slow down, simply due to climatic and seasonal factors. From this perspective, I don’t think they intend to take Pavlograd—that’s impossible—or reach the borders of the Dnipro region, let alone cross them. Such an opportunity does not exist at the moment

They say that all efforts are being focused on arranging a new meeting between Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky. And I think such a meeting will most likely take place

The ruling party in Georgia is "Georgian Dream," a puppet pro-Moscow party... My prediction is that Moscow is certainly involved and is participating in the election process in Georgia, which will take place on the 26th. They will rig the elections, that’s for sure. And most likely, Moscow will also take part in forcefully defending the rigged election results, ensuring that Georgian Dream remains in power

They will meet at the G20 summit, Xi Jinping and Biden. I suspect that this will most likely end with mutual visits, first Xi Jinping to Washington, and then Biden to Beijing. This is my prediction, and I do not insist on it

My prediction is that Zelensky will go to Washington on January 20

I believe that at least until the inauguration, nothing will happen. Everything will continue as it is (There will be no ceasefire in the war in Ukraine until Trump’s inauguration)

I do not believe that the war has the resources to last until 2025 (The war in Ukraine)

I think that there won't be enough time for any peace process to begin by the end of the year. This is more likely a question for next year

I think that most likely, the fighting will pause in December, and its intensity will decrease significantly. The Russian army’s offensive will certainly slow down, simply due to climatic and seasonal factors

They will not reach Kyiv in a month, nor in six months, nor in a year, nor in two (Russian troops)

I don’t think so. The inertia of the war over the next three months will carry it into next year. For the war to truly come to an end, we need radical solutions—either towards peace or towards further escalation. But those radical solutions are not there; we don’t see them (Response to the question: "Do you feel that the hot phase of the war might end this year?")

What is the year 2024? It's the elections in America in November. As for Ukraine, I don't know if they will be postponed or not... most likely, they will be held in some way

The governor of the Belgorod region… he will definitely be removed, 100% (Referring to Vyacheslav Gladkov)

They will come to this (The West will provide Ukraine with long-range missiles)

In general, I predict that the energy will last until the end of the year, no more. After that, it may transition into a positional phase, like it was for 8 years (About Russia)

I will make a prediction that, most likely, the niqabs will not be banned (In the context of the discussions these days about banning niqabs in Russia)

This summer, the 75th anniversary summit of NATO's founding will take place in Washington. Why shouldn't old Trump, in his 90s, consider that he might not have another term as president (Mark Feygin misspoke: it’s not Trump, but Biden. Since this NATO summit is taking place under Biden, and Trump is not yet in his 90s)

They will let him participate in the elections... they will let him participate in the primaries (About Donald Trump. He will not be arrested until the results of the primaries)

Still, sooner or later, we will have to get rid of Shoigu

Stoltenberg will stay until September, and there is a very high probability that he will be replaced by Boris Johnson (As NATO Secretary General)

Here is my prediction. They will come to an agreement. Finland and Sweden will indeed join NATO

Although I think it will be avoided, it won't happen, at least not in the near future (Referring to the possible resignation of Zaluzhny)

Because in December, the question of Georgia’s candidacy for EU membership will be decided. And the chances are zero

I don't think he will be trusted to handle Ukraine instead of Kiriyenko (Rogozin)

I don't think that they are saying she will become the leader of the anti-war rebellion, the anti-war protest (About Alla Pugacheva)

I believe they will most likely be added to the list of terrorist organizations (Wagner Group)

He will be fine... they won't put him anywhere (in prison) (About Anton Krasovsky. Regarding his statements on RT and the subsequent suspension)

They will trade and sell for 60 and for 30... everyone who buys (Russia will still sell oil, despite the price cap that has been introduced)

I think they definitely won't reach an agreement there... There is no benefit for Ukraine in this (About the transportation of grain from Ukraine through Belarus)

By spring, some ATACMS should definitely be transferred (To Ukraine)

Most likely, he will leave. Probably to Israel. Unlikely to Russia (Mikhail Fridman)

I believe the conflict in Israel will come to an end. I mean in southern Israel, in the Gaza Strip. I think they will deal with Hamas... it will be over in January-February, there will be no difference. But when they say that they will be fighting for years – that won't happen

And I think they will make him a deputy (Viktor Bout will be made a deputy from the LDPR)

Well, of course (This comment is in response to Andrei Piontkovsky's remark that the CSTO (Collective Security Treaty Organization) certainly won't lift a finger in the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan in September 2022)

I am not sure that this can happen in the near future... I have skepticism; I approach this with skepticism (Commenting on the remark "Putin may be removed by the Security Council due to health reasons")

Kadyrov is showing incredible activity... there will be no appointment of him in place of Zolotov

I think that Prigozhin will most likely announce the creation of a party

We will apparently witness the sunset of the Prigozhin story

He will be killed (Evgeny Prigozhin)

My prediction is that they will reach an agreement on JAFI , and JAFI will most likely remain in Russia (JAFI = The Jewish Agency for Israel)

By the way, nothing will happen regarding Kosovo; I can say this for sure (Regarding the escalation in Kosovo on the night of August 1, 2022. It means that there will not be a hot continuation of the escalation of the situation)

I'll tell you more... there will be strikes on the Crimean Bridge as well (New strikes)

Erdoğan will retain his position in the second round

For years... it will definitely last more than a year (Answering the question: "How much longer will this war last?")

Europe will get through this because the gas storage facilities are full... their winters are mockeries of our summers (Regarding the gas problems with Russia)

I think that is most likely how it will be. One battery will probably be transferred as a trial (Regarding the USA transferring the Patriot system to Ukraine)

The borders will be closed soon... they will close the borders... the state borders will be blocked, there is no doubt about that (About mobilization in Russia)

He is just pretending... he will not give weapons to the people... he will not give them weapons, he will not (Lukashenko will not provide Belarusians with weapons in the context of creating a people's militia)

I cannot believe that he will be appointed the head of Novorossiya right now, after the referendums (About Medvedchuk)

They will agree, they will agree, and they will make the exchange (The Americans will agree to exchange Viktor Bout for the basketball player Brittney Griner)

The son of Yakunin will most likely get away with it; he is not in much danger, considering his British citizenship

I think Zelenskyy will not go... most likely he will speak online

I highly doubt that Putin will go there... but this cannot be ruled out (About Putin's trip to the G20 summit in 2022 in Indonesia)

I don't think that something like that will happen on the 15th... that would be quite foolish (Missile strike on Ukraine)

I just can't imagine that the front will turn and they will go to Mykolaiv (Russian troops)

I think so, most likely they will have to leave Kherson (About Russian troops)

In November, there are midterm elections that the Democratic Party of the USA is likely to lose

In the south, no. I assess that there are not many chances to advance in the south (Regarding the Russian troops)

She will return... I can't imagine that Sobchak has left for good (Ksenia Sobchak)

I don't get the impression that they will abandon the referendum (In Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and other occupied territories of Ukraine)

Yes (The answer to the question: "So, is he (Putin) going to annex them? Will he officially join them?" About Kherson and Mariupol (presumably about the Kherson region and the Donetsk region of Ukraine))

As for mobilization, the question is open; I remain a skeptic... whether they will decide to do this or not (Russian authorities)

They will stretch it out as much as possible; an exchange will definitely not happen until the end of summer, at least for the majority of the two thousand who are in captivity in the Russian Federation (About the exchange of prisoners from Azovstal)

I believe that there will be no military conflict; China will not go for it (About the threats from China if Nancy Pelosi visits Taiwan)

With a high degree of probability, I still believe that the Americans will not cancel this visit (About Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan)

I think so, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are preparing for an offensive. In my opinion, it is in the Zaporizhzhia direction

I do not believe that they will declare martial law or mobilization (At the extraordinary meeting of the Russian State Duma on July 15, 2022)

As for Rogozin, yes, I do not believe that he will be appointed instead of Kiriyenko (At the extraordinary meeting of the State Duma of Russia on July 15, 2022)

I think this is some kind of temporary situation. Patriarch Kirill is providing grounds to end up on the list. And if not now, then later he will find himself there (In the sanctions list. He will be subjected to sanctions)

There will be a vote on the candidacy for EU membership, and it is clear that it will be positive for Ukraine and for Moldova

I think it won't be like that with Severodonetsk (The scenario of encircling Severodonetsk like Mariupol)

One hundred percent will vote (About the vote in the U.S. for $40 billion in aid to Ukraine)

Because a war is really starting, now I can say for sure... now it is definitely war (Speaks about the beginning of Russia's invasion of Ukraine)