screenshot

Trump will have a tough year. I am making a prediction that he will lose either the House of Representatives, or the Senate, or both. Which is, generally, good for the health of America (in 2026)

Under Putin, this law will be neither abolished nor softened, from my point of view (In response to the question: "What are the chances that this law will be repealed or at least modified?" (The law on foreign agents in Russia))

Well, I think that on June 16–17, France will recognize the State of Palestine

... He will remain the top figure until the end. I believe he will hold on to power for as long as physically possible — that's my prediction (In response to the question: "What are the possible ways for Putin to leave power other than death?")

So when I talk about how the Russia-Ukraine situation will end, I predict it will end with a "Northern Cyprus" scenario (He draws an analogy with the Republic of Cyprus and the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, which is recognized only by Turkey, and there's a buffer zone between the two republics)

No (In response to the question: "Will NATO collapse?")

I lean towards the idea that substantive negotiations on a ceasefire will begin. As for how they will end, as Viktor Stepanovich Chernomyrdin once said: "That’s a philosophical question." (In response to the question: "Do you believe that within the next six months there will be a truce, a ceasefire, or that Putin won’t agree to it?")

Most likely, Russia will leave and will already begin evacuating the S-400 systems provided to Assad toward the Tartus naval base. Most likely, it will leave, most likely it will leave (Russia will leave Syria)

Ms. Sandu, even if she wins the election, it will still be something like 51 to 49. Or if the other candidate wins, it will also be 51 to 49

If Kamala Harris wins by a margin of two votes, expect "Maidans" to follow; I have no doubt about that (By "Maidans," large-scale protests are meant)

Therefore, even if tomorrow they lay down their arms and Putin and Zelensky embrace... no sanctions will be lifted (From Russia)

But I am generally not very sure that the president will change the Minister of Defense during the special military operation. This would mean acknowledging that the Russian army is suffering defeats this year. Maybe I no longer understand President Putin correctly, but he wouldn't have done this before

A little about possible changes after the inauguration. I would bet on the return of Alexei Dyumin from Tula to Moscow: either to the government (as a security vice-premier or minister), or to the Security Council, or even to the Administration of the President

I think there will be a younger Zyuganov among the communists (Candidate for the Moscow mayoral elections)

I think that Yabloko will not be registered (The candidate from Yabloko for the Moscow mayoral elections)

I believe that they will accept Ukraine into the European Union, regardless of everything. In the end

The Western world, Zelensky's allies, the coalition, and I would say the world, will never recognize Crimea as Russian