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I lean towards the idea that substantive negotiations on a ceasefire will begin. As for how they will end, as Viktor Stepanovich Chernomyrdin once said: "That’s a philosophical question." (In response to the question: "Do you believe that within the next six months there will be a truce, a ceasefire, or that Putin won’t agree to it?")

Well, I think that on June 16–17, France will recognize the State of Palestine

If Kamala Harris wins by a margin of two votes, expect "Maidans" to follow; I have no doubt about that (By "Maidans," large-scale protests are meant)

Ms. Sandu, even if she wins the election, it will still be something like 51 to 49. Or if the other candidate wins, it will also be 51 to 49

A little about possible changes after the inauguration. I would bet on the return of Alexei Dyumin from Tula to Moscow: either to the government (as a security vice-premier or minister), or to the Security Council, or even to the Administration of the President

But I am generally not very sure that the president will change the Minister of Defense during the special military operation. This would mean acknowledging that the Russian army is suffering defeats this year. Maybe I no longer understand President Putin correctly, but he wouldn't have done this before

I think there will be a younger Zyuganov among the communists (Candidate for the Moscow mayoral elections)

I think that Yabloko will not be registered (The candidate from Yabloko for the Moscow mayoral elections)