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Ranking Predictions Authors

Michael Sheitelman

Political technologist, blogger (Israel, Ukraine)


Predictions
52
Verified
17
Came true
59%
Rating
5.44

New Awaiting Verified

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

For now, we're being saved by Trump's greed, in that he's willing to sell these weapons to the Europeans, but then he'll sell weapons to the Russians. I think it'll all happen just like that

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

I think it will come to a victim anyway. The Russians will definitely do it. I don't know who exactly they will eliminate. I mean European leaders; I'm not joking. They will eliminate one of them

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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He could become a legal, legitimate president of the Russian Federation because he served one term already and this would be his second. I think that's what Medvedev is aiming for. Remember this date, August 3, 2025, when Dmitry Anatolyevich Medvedev once again became the heir to the Russian throne after the deployment of nuclear submarines

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

They are trying to scare us by saying there will be no sanctions, look, Hungary and Slovakia have blocked new sanctions. Well, let me give you a forecast: another week or two, 1-2 weeks, and there will already be the 18th package of sanctions. That is my simple forecast (18th package of sanctions against Russia)

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

Literally yesterday, the issue of capping the price of Russian oil was being discussed, lowering the cap from 60 to 45... The G7 meeting is supposed to start on Sunday or Monday, where they were expected to agree on this new price cap of 45 dollars, and then the European Union was supposed to support it by the end of June. But today, the oil price has already gone up — it's already 75 dollars per barrel, instead of 60-something — and now, it seems to me, they won’t dare to lower it to 45

Completely came true

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

No, absolutely not. Trump will lead it — he’ll come to the Senate and speak in support of this bill (In response to the question: "If the Senate moves to put Lindsey Graham’s bill to a vote and it passes, do you think Trump will veto it?")

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

I'd give it a 1. Not zero. It's not zero probability (In response to the question: "Could Putin come? On a scale from 1 to 10, what number would you assign to the likelihood of Putin coming?" (To Istanbul on May 15 for negotiations with Zelensky))

Completely came true

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

Trump said: "I want to meet with Putin right away. The inauguration is now, and I want to meet with Putin immediately." And everyone was speculating whether he would meet with Putin or Zelensky first. I said they wouldn’t meet before summer. And now, my prediction just has one more month to hold

Completely came true

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

Here’s my prediction — Witkoff will be in prison after Trump’s term ends. Trump won’t be, but Witkoff will be behind bars for decades. If we live long enough, we’ll see it with our own eyes

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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I think yes. The war will end in its immediate form (In response to the question: "If Putin is removed, will the war end?")

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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My main demand is that America must apologize for proposing that we sign this predatory agreement, for attempting to rob us at a crucial moment. I was genuinely outraged by the White House representative's words. I believe that America will have to apologize for this (The U.S. will apologize to Ukraine for proposing the resource extraction agreement in the form it was presented during the Munich Conference in February 2025)

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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There will be neither a second term for Trump nor a successor to whom he will transfer power. Completely different people will come to power and reject everything from the past

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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In any case, Alternative for Germany, according to my forecast, will gain a maximum of 22%. That’s how it seems to me, though I could be wrong

Completely came true

Michael Sheitelman

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Yes, Trump will dismantle NATO. Let’s not have any doubts, let’s not hesitate or say, "Maybe he won’t." He will. He will

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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What is the likelihood of a civilian plane being shot down because airports are not permanently closed? It took three years for the first civilian plane to be shot down. The next one will take much less time. Within a year, the next one will be shot down by the Russians

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

Here’s my prediction: in the presidential election after the war, both Zelensky and Zaluzhny won’t be on the ballot simultaneously. Either neither Zelensky nor Zaluzhny will be there, or Zelensky will be, but not Zaluzhny, or Zaluzhny will, but not Zelensky. That’s my prediction (In Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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And now, after Syria, Israel will also make peace with Saudi Arabia—very soon

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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Did the Russians threaten Ukraine with nuclear weapons? They did. This means there is every reason, since Russia violated the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty with respect to Ukraine, to create nuclear weapons in response. I suspect that they will be developed... Ukraine already has this program, and it will be implemented regardless

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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It seems to me that the delivery of Tomahawks to us is already close (To Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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Here’s my prediction: one of these three figures—Orbán, Fico, or Elon Musk—will definitely make a statement in support of Putin within the next 24 hours or so. Not directly in support of Putin, but something along the lines of how we urgently need to negotiate with him now because look how formidable he is

Almost came true

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

I don’t believe in Putin’s ability to negotiate. I believe that Trump will do all the work, that he will go through the entire process. Yes, he will formulate peace proposals. Yes, he will bring some representatives of Ukraine and Russia to the table—not the presidents, not Zelensky or Putin. And then Putin will start his sabotage. Because Putin has no intention of ending the war, and he doesn’t need any peace agreement

Completely came true

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

There will be a peace plan from the Americans, from Trump’s team. They will offer it to Putin. And then there are two scenarios: Putin more or less agrees, or he more or less refuses. I’m betting that he will more or less refuse, meaning I’m betting that there won’t be a truce in this format. But that’s just my guess

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

The way he’s proposing to fly to Mars is impossible because of cosmic radiation, and no human will make it to Mars. They just won’t make it—they’ll die; everyone will die from the cosmic radiation

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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It will remain occupied at first, but then we will definitely take it back, reclaim it, no question about it—there’s no other way. Sooner or later, Crimea will certainly be part of Ukraine

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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It draws the attention of European officials, which is something Georgia really needs right now. America is likely to lean toward not recognizing the election results (In Georgia)

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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The president is likely to be a former military officer (The next president of Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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BRICS won't last long; that's my prediction. I don't know how many more years it will survive, but it won't last long

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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I would assume that most likely the Georgian Dream will lose the elections, and the opposition will win (In the parliamentary elections in Georgia on October 26, 2024)

Did not come true

Michael Sheitelman

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With a very high probability—though I can't say 100%—we are likely to see an attempted revolution in Georgia (Following the elections on October 26, 2024)

Did not come true

Michael Sheitelman

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He's about 50, Zaluzhny. I have a suspicion that he will be one of the main participants in the presidential elections that will take place right after the war (Zaluzhny will be a candidate in Ukraine's future presidential elections)

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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I’m not going to change my prediction. I made my forecast back in 2020 in my book "The Bat Effect". I wrote that in 2024, Kamala Harris will become the President of the United States

Did not come true

Michael Sheitelman

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As of today, it's known that the Ramstein meeting on the 19th won't take place... It will be limited to a meeting between Biden, Scholz, and Steinmeier. However, Zelensky might unexpectedly show up there. For some reason, I believe that on the 19th we will see a meeting between Biden and Zelensky. It will likely take place in Germany. Everything we were supposed to see at Ramstein, we will probably see there instead

Did not come true

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

And amid the referendum in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan is also searching for a location to build a new power plant... However, since a nuclear power plant costs $10-12 billion... It’s highly unlikely that Kyrgyzstan will have a nuclear power plant anytime soon

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

Now we might also be expecting Korean soldiers. Because we’ve already taken out 6 officers. And the South Korean Minister of Defense said that North Korea is planning to send its troops. I don't believe it. My prediction: I don't think any serious Korean forces will appear on the front from the Russian side. We might take out another 5 officers, but if we're talking about 10,000 troops — I don't believe it

Did not come true

Michael Sheitelman

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Admit Ukraine into NATO without the occupied territories. This is about some sort of compromise that Ukraine, Russia, and NATO would need to sign. What is this compromise? … The military actions would stop along the current front line. After that, all of the territory controlled by Ukraine at this moment would be admitted into NATO. What is being proposed in this deal, which doesn’t yet exist? The proposal is this: you sign something like that with Russia, we’ll flood you with money, you’ll start building a prosperous Ukraine, join the European Union, and receive massive investments… in 20 years, Russia will collapse, and you’ll get your territory back. I believe none of this will work. A year from now, we’ll look back at all of this as something that didn’t happen

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

Those 33 years of Ukraine's independence are not much. Another 40 years will pass, and we’ll see F-185s in our skies, capable of targeting a lone Russian standing in Red Square. Or maybe they won’t be F-series planes, but U-135s, our own Ukrainian aircraft (This means that in the future, Ukraine will have advanced weaponry, including state-of-the-art aircraft)

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

Sooner or later, this war will end only with the destruction of the state known as the Russian Federation. There will be no such state. There will be no such country

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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Most likely, with Kamala Harris, though this is my very subjective opinion, things will be slightly better than with Biden. That is, if Kamala Harris becomes president, our life in Ukraine and our war will become just a bit easier than under Biden. We’ll receive a little more. She will be slightly more aggressive toward the Russian Federation, both diplomatically and in other areas

Unverifiable

Michael Sheitelman

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I don't believe that with Putin alive, with Putin who is free, there will be at least a ceasefire established; I'm not even talking about peace. Simply because our interests are directly opposed

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

No, there won’t be any strikes on Moscow. There won’t be any strikes on the city of Moscow with this American weaponry, because that would actually scare the Americans (Ukraine won’t strike Moscow with Western long-range weapons)

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

Before the elections—before November 5th—we need more than just permission to hit some distant targets… By November 5th, when the U.S. elections take place, we need not just permission, but we need to hit something big, spectacularly, 2-3 times, to make some major impactful strikes… That’s just my prediction (By November 5th, Ukraine will carry out significant strikes on Russian territory using Western long-range weapons)

Did not come true

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

We have been discussing for several days, even a couple of weeks, whether we will be given permission to strike at the launch points of Russian aircraft, that is, airfields, possibly the launch points of ballistic missiles, meaning permission to strike deep into Russia with American, British, and French weapons... September 11, and it seems that everything will work out for us (Most likely, Ukraine will be given permission to strike deep into Russian territory with Western weapons)

Completely came true

Michael Sheitelman

ru → en

Today is September 11, the World Day of Combating Terrorism. Such a holiday has not yet been established. But I believe that someday it will be

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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Ernst will be carried out feet first from this ORT, and that will be when he is 95 years old (This means that Konstantin Ernst will not be replaced as the head of the Russian 'First Channel')

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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The capture of Pokrovsk is an operation that will take a couple more years (By Russian troops)

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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It seems to me that he will not... announce mobilization... I find it hard to believe (Putin on January 18, 2023)

Completely came true

Michael Sheitelman

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But I don't believe that we will lose Putin due to health issues... I don't believe in our luck that he will die on his own (Apparently referring to the possibility during the war)

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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Kosovo will return to Serbia

Awaiting results

Michael Sheitelman

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If they are recognized as a terrorist organization, and it seems to be heading that way (Wagner Group)

Completely came true

Michael Sheitelman

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I tend to expect our victory in the next calendar year (Victory for Ukraine)

Did not come true

Michael Sheitelman

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Most likely, victory will look like I said - the flight of the Russians (Answer to the question: 'What could the liberation of Kherson look like?')

Completely came true

Michael Sheitelman

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I don't believe that Russia will strike the nuclear power plant, blow up the nuclear power plant, or even allow any radiation to be released from this plant (About the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant)

Awaiting results