Mikhail Kasyanov
Former politician and Chairman of the Government of the Russian Federation
Mikhail Kasyanov
ru → en
Can Putin hold out? How long can he last? The war will end soon. Even if it doesn’t wrap up by the end of this year, it will still end before long
Awaiting resultsMikhail Kasyanov
ru → en
The most likely scenario as I see it today — the one that's taking shape... President Trump, I think, by May or June at the latest, will realize that Putin is not capable of making agreements, and he'll start stepping away from the issue. Ukraine will no longer interest him. He’ll blame everything on the Europeans: “These are your problems — deal with them yourselves.”
Awaiting resultsMikhail Kasyanov
ru → en
I do not believe that there will be any real negotiations in the coming months. So far, I do not see any leverage over Putin
Awaiting resultsMikhail Kasyanov
ru → en
He knows that there will be retribution. It won’t be a nuclear response, because Western politicians are responsible. They won’t escalate to a nuclear war. The response won’t be nuclear, but it will be devastating. All of Putin’s military infrastructure in Russia will be destroyed (If Putin uses nuclear weapons)
Awaiting resultsMikhail Kasyanov
ru → en
Who will control the nuclear button?... They’re more afraid of the nuclear button. Of course, I believe that Putin won’t do it (Putin won’t use nuclear weapons)
Awaiting resultsMikhail Kasyanov
ru → en
If we’re talking about the war and its end in Ukraine’s favor, Putin isn’t going anywhere. It will be the same Putin with the same circle around him. He’ll continue to rule (Even if Russia loses the war in Ukraine, Putin will remain in power)
Awaiting resultsMikhail Kasyanov
ru → en
Of course, I am sure that I will return... certainly, yes (To Russia)
Awaiting resultsMikhail Kasyanov
ru → en
Probably, there will be a complete end in the spring-summer (The end of the war)
Did not come trueMikhail Kasyanov
ru → en
I don't think this will significantly affect his image (The withdrawal of Russian troops from Kherson will not greatly impact Putin's image)
Completely came trueMikhail Kasyanov
ru → en
One and a half to two years (Answer to the question: 'How many years do you give this regime?' (Putin's regime))
Did not come true