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Ranking Predictions Authors

Igor Eidman

Sociologist (Russia)


Predictions
25
Verified
5
Came true
60%
Rating
5.13

New Awaiting Verified

Igor Eidman

ru → en

If Putin doesn't agree to this, the Europeans won't send any troops anywhere. That's because they aren't ready to go to war with Putin (If Putin doesn't give his consent, the Europeans won't send troops to Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

This utterly pointless and merciless war being waged by paranoiac Putin will, unfortunately, not end as long as he remains in power and in good health, regardless of the efforts of the international community

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

I don’t think Tikhanovsky will emerge as a major leader or revolutionary Prometheus—it’s unlikely to happen. I believe Maria Kolesnikova is more capable of that

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

I think that as long as Russia doesn't win the war in Ukraine — and it has no chance of winning — it won’t attack anyone else

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

But I think the Democrats won’t accept him into their ranks. Even if Musk says “I want to join you”, they’ll say “No, we don’t need help from Musk”. The Democratic electorate hates Musk no less than they hate Trump

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

I think the conflict will only escalate. Trump won’t forgive Musk, and Musk won’t forgive Trump. These aren’t the kind of people who forgive each other

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

There will be some token actions as part of the continuation of this negotiation process. These actions will take place. It’s purely a cover for Putin’s escalation of the war. Again, it’s meant to convince the Americans not to impose sanctions against them... And, unfortunately, yes — the war will go on (Within the current negotiation process, the war in Ukraine will not come to an end)

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

There will be no direct negotiations between Putin and Zelensky. I have no doubt about that

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

The only thing I’m absolutely sure of is that nothing Trump promises will actually happen. In other words, look at it in reverse: if Trump says he’ll lower drug prices, that means drug prices won’t go down

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

Trump has a mess in his head. He doesn’t even know what he wants. He sets goals at the level of a child’s whims but has no idea how to achieve them. He just throws out some slogans like “Greenland is ours,” and then they frantically start thinking about how to make that whim come true. And it turns out, there’s no way to make it happen. And to understand that it’s unfeasible, they could’ve just asked ChatGPT — even it would have said that such things don’t happen in the modern world and that it’s simply not achievable (Trump will not take full control of Greenland or annex it to the U.S)

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

By summer, I believe Germany will step up and significantly increase its support for Ukraine, especially if the Americans do not resume their aid

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

And Assad will also end up lingering in Russia; of course, Putin won’t hand him over. I don’t think they’ll be able to keep their military bases either. It won’t even be Syria deciding this issue, but rather Turkey… They don’t need Russia’s presence in Syria

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

Le Pen is far-right. The far-right in France has never been and will never be the majority in society. She might even win the first round, but she will lose to anyone in the second round

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

The new chancellor will definitely not be Scholz. It is most likely to be Friedrich Merz, his competitor from another mainstream party—the Christian Democratic Union (The chancellor of Germany in 2025)

Completely came true

Igor Eidman

ru → en

I think that pretty soon Trump will send Musk packing, because two narcissistic egocentrics with delusions of grandeur won’t be able to share the same space

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

I’m almost convinced that within the next year, this agreement will be broken again—this time, fatally. They’ll have no choice but to carry out another mobilization, there’s no avoiding it. And partially, they’ll have to militarize the labor force too

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

Harris, I have no doubt that she will become the next president, unless some completely unexpected force majeure occurs

Did not come true

Igor Eidman

ru → en

I don't think China will seize any Russian territories

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

I think that Xi Jinping is the last dictator of this kind (Apparently, in China)

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

There will be no exchange of territories (Between Russia and Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

I am absolutely confident that Ukraine will achieve the goals and objectives it has set in recent years. It will become a truly European, democratic, prosperous, economically successful, and free state. I have no doubt about this. I see the will for this in the Ukrainian people

Awaiting results

Igor Eidman

ru → en

I don't think there will be any freeze. Active hostilities will continue (In the winter of 2023-2024)

Completely came true

Igor Eidman

ru → en

Yavlinsky is most likely out, or one of them: Yavlinsky or Nadezhdin (About their nomination as candidates for the presidential elections in Russia in 2024)

Almost came true

Igor Eidman

ru → en

Zyuganov will most likely be nominated

Did not come true

Igor Eidman

ru → en

The result will be a complete defeat and collapse of this regime and a sad end for Putin. He may be taken to The Hague, he may be killed, or he may flee. But the fact remains that he will not stay in power. I am absolutely convinced of this

Awaiting results