Ian Matveev
Military expert (Russia)
Ian Matveev
ru → en
I’m more inclined to believe the second scenario—that Putin will come up with excuses and reasons not to agree. In the end, he will not go for a truce
Completely came true October 3, 2025Ian Matveev
ru → en
The capture of Sumy this summer, or even an assault on Sumy, definitely won't happen
Completely came true August 28, 2025Ian Matveev
ru → en
In the next six months, yes. 100%. That’s my prediction. In the coming six months, the Russian army will definitely not capture Pokrovsk (In response to the question: "Will Ukraine be able to defend Pokrovsk?")
Completely came true July 28, 2025Ian Matveev
ru → en
The Russian military is already attacking Ukraine with all available forces. I haven’t seen Russian drones or missiles holding back anywhere. They’ve recently been setting new records for the number of drones used in a single strike, even without any SBU attacks. So I don’t think we’ll see anything supernatural or particularly unusual. Most likely, Putin will just continue his campaign of terror, and that’s it (In response to the question: "What will happen to the attacks on Ukraine after the SBU strike?" (referring to the SBU attack on Russian military airfields on June 1, 2025))
Completely came true June 30, 2025Ian Matveev
ru → en
I tend to believe that Putin, of course, will not fly to Turkey (In response to the question: "What should we expect from the meeting between Zelensky and Putin in Turkey?")
Completely came true May 15, 2025Ian Matveev
ru → en
I think that both before and after the New Year, the Ukrainian Kursk bridgehead will hold. And in the spring, more or less when all the mud has dried up, it could potentially be fully retaken with significant efforts from the Russian military
Completely came true May 13, 2025Ian Matveev
ru → en
There are currently rumors about a ceasefire being introduced on Easter, April 20, which is in two months. I have almost no doubt that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the Kursk front until then. This means that Putin will have to trade the Kursk region for something else
Did not come true April 20, 2025Ian Matveev
ru → en
Will Sudzha hold out? Naturally, some part of the Ukrainian bridgehead might shrink, but I think they’ve set a goal to hold on right up until Trump, until January 20, and part of the bridgehead will definitely hold
Completely came true January 20, 2025Ian Matveev
ru → en
I think if it happens, it will be next year. They haven’t reached Pokrovsk yet (In response to the question: "When do you think the assault on Pokrovsk will take place?")
Completely came true December 31, 2024Ian Matveev
ru → en
I think Kamala Harris—I’ll make that prediction (In response to the question: "Who do you think will win the U.S. election? Share your opinion")
Did not come true November 6, 2024Ian Matveev
ru → en
So, Volgograd will remain Volgograd (There will be no renaming to Stalingrad)
Completely came true December 31, 2023Ian Matveev
ru → en
I think that at some point, Putin will abandon these attacks (Mass rocket strikes on Ukraine)
Did not come true December 31, 2023Ian Matveev
ru → en
I think, of course, they will not be deployed (Sarmat missiles on combat duty in 2023 in Russia)
Did not come true September 1, 2023Ian Matveev
ru → en
Most likely, a large-scale offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine can be expected after the New Year
Completely came true June 5, 2023Ian Matveev
ru → en
I think it will be some kind of bombing of some city. Possibly Dnipro... Putin will simply send cruise missiles to peaceful Ukrainian cities... I don't think it will be a strike on Kyiv, although there are those Iranian drones... there is a theoretical possibility that they could reach Kyiv... it will definitely be just terror against peaceful Ukrainian cities (Russia's response to the explosion of the Crimean Bridge)
Completely came true December 31, 2022Ian Matveev
ru → en
I believe that we will definitely see at least one significant attempt; we probably have another two months, maybe even three... because this is a very sensitive target for them, the Donetsk region (About Russia's offensive in the Donetsk region of Ukraine)
Completely came true November 30, 2022Ian Matveev
ru → en
Therefore, I still do not believe in these referendums; they are more likely just being talked about (Talking about the so-called referendums on the accession of Ukrainian regions to Russia)
Did not come true September 30, 2022