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Ranking Predictions Authors

Ian Matveev

Military expert (Russia)


Predictions
52
Verified
17
Came true
71%
Rating
6.19

New Awaiting Verified

Ian Matveev

ru → en

I’m more inclined to believe the second scenario—that Putin will come up with excuses and reasons not to agree. In the end, he will not go for a truce

Completely came true October 3, 2025

Ian Matveev

ru → en

The capture of Sumy this summer, or even an assault on Sumy, definitely won't happen

Completely came true August 28, 2025

Ian Matveev

ru → en

In the next six months, yes. 100%. That’s my prediction. In the coming six months, the Russian army will definitely not capture Pokrovsk (In response to the question: "Will Ukraine be able to defend Pokrovsk?")

Completely came true July 28, 2025

Ian Matveev

ru → en

The Russian military is already attacking Ukraine with all available forces. I haven’t seen Russian drones or missiles holding back anywhere. They’ve recently been setting new records for the number of drones used in a single strike, even without any SBU attacks. So I don’t think we’ll see anything supernatural or particularly unusual. Most likely, Putin will just continue his campaign of terror, and that’s it (In response to the question: "What will happen to the attacks on Ukraine after the SBU strike?" (referring to the SBU attack on Russian military airfields on June 1, 2025))

Completely came true June 30, 2025

Ian Matveev

ru → en

I tend to believe that Putin, of course, will not fly to Turkey (In response to the question: "What should we expect from the meeting between Zelensky and Putin in Turkey?")

Completely came true May 15, 2025

Ian Matveev

ru → en

I think that both before and after the New Year, the Ukrainian Kursk bridgehead will hold. And in the spring, more or less when all the mud has dried up, it could potentially be fully retaken with significant efforts from the Russian military

Completely came true May 13, 2025

Ian Matveev

ru → en

There are currently rumors about a ceasefire being introduced on Easter, April 20, which is in two months. I have almost no doubt that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the Kursk front until then. This means that Putin will have to trade the Kursk region for something else

Did not come true April 20, 2025

Ian Matveev

ru → en

Will Sudzha hold out? Naturally, some part of the Ukrainian bridgehead might shrink, but I think they’ve set a goal to hold on right up until Trump, until January 20, and part of the bridgehead will definitely hold

Completely came true January 20, 2025

Ian Matveev

ru → en

I think if it happens, it will be next year. They haven’t reached Pokrovsk yet (In response to the question: "When do you think the assault on Pokrovsk will take place?")

Completely came true December 31, 2024

Ian Matveev

ru → en

I think Kamala Harris—I’ll make that prediction (In response to the question: "Who do you think will win the U.S. election? Share your opinion")

Did not come true November 6, 2024

Ian Matveev

ru → en

So, Volgograd will remain Volgograd (There will be no renaming to Stalingrad)

Completely came true December 31, 2023

Ian Matveev

ru → en

I think that at some point, Putin will abandon these attacks (Mass rocket strikes on Ukraine)

Did not come true December 31, 2023

Ian Matveev

ru → en

I think, of course, they will not be deployed (Sarmat missiles on combat duty in 2023 in Russia)

Did not come true September 1, 2023

Ian Matveev

ru → en

Most likely, a large-scale offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine can be expected after the New Year

Completely came true June 5, 2023

Ian Matveev

ru → en

I think it will be some kind of bombing of some city. Possibly Dnipro... Putin will simply send cruise missiles to peaceful Ukrainian cities... I don't think it will be a strike on Kyiv, although there are those Iranian drones... there is a theoretical possibility that they could reach Kyiv... it will definitely be just terror against peaceful Ukrainian cities (Russia's response to the explosion of the Crimean Bridge)

Completely came true December 31, 2022

Ian Matveev

ru → en

I believe that we will definitely see at least one significant attempt; we probably have another two months, maybe even three... because this is a very sensitive target for them, the Donetsk region (About Russia's offensive in the Donetsk region of Ukraine)

Completely came true November 30, 2022

Ian Matveev

ru → en

Therefore, I still do not believe in these referendums; they are more likely just being talked about (Talking about the so-called referendums on the accession of Ukrainian regions to Russia)

Did not come true September 30, 2022