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Predictions and promises monitor | ru | en

Ranking Predictions Authors

Leonid Volkov

Politician (Russia)


Predictions
30
Verified
17
Came true
59%
Rating
5.30

New Awaiting Verified

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

Putin is not eternal, the war is not eternal. The war will end immediately after Putin is gone, because no one needs it but Putin

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

What I'm sure of is, Putin won't go. The rating of United Russia is so disastrous that Putin cannot be associated with United Russia (As the list leader for United Russia in the 2026 elections)

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

There will definitely be some military figure, someone who has an association with the SMO, and a positive one at that (In the 2026 elections in Russia, from the ruling party)

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

I made a prediction on the best political show that I believe there will be interesting developments and opportunities in September 2025. There are few available positions, many contenders, and regional elites have fewer tools left to determine who holds more power (Answer to the question: "What do you think about the municipal elections on Unified Voting Day 2025? The prospects of Smart Voting.")

Did not come true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

No, I don’t think so. He won’t be able to (In response to the question: "Do you think Trump can stop the war in Ukraine?")

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

I see the future of FBK as a political force participating in competitive elections and playing an important role in the Russian parliament… of course, absolutely without any issues (Answer to the question: "Will you pass the parliamentary threshold?")

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

Either something about tariffs, possibly on imports from China, or something related to crypto (In response to the question: "What will Trump’s first executive order be after the inauguration?")

Did not come true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

Here’s my prediction: if Putin is alive, the war will not end in 2025. Putin has no interest in ending it. He believes he can have it all, not just some compromise. He doesn’t see how any compromise could allow him to save face (The war in Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

Specifically about Gabbard, I think she won’t be approved (Tulsi Gabbard won’t be confirmed as the head of U.S. intelligence)

Did not come true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

Lukashenko will show that he secured 90% of the vote (In the Belarusian presidential election in January 2025)

Almost came true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

So, make a note: yes, Trump will probably win, but it won’t be a catastrophe

Completely came true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

But something tells me that Leonid Nevzlin will not go to the European Union and will not move anywhere from Israel

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

Davankov will not take second place. I make this prediction with complete responsibility

Completely came true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

Erdogan is trading on the domestic market, saying that we will soon be accepted into the European Union, and we will live well. Although he understands perfectly well that this will not happen (Turkey will not be accepted into the European Union)

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

My bet is that Putin will not cancel the elections (2024 presidential elections in Russia)

Completely came true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

I think that in the second half of 2023, a YouTube blockage is highly likely (In Russia)

Did not come true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

No, I don't think so (Answer to the question: "Will China attack Russia after the war?" (War in Ukraine))

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

No, I don't think so... I am confident that the elections will be held (Putin will not cancel the September elections)

Completely came true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

I don't think so (Answer to the question: "Do you think that Putin will cancel the September elections?" (of 2023))

Completely came true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

I don't believe that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will return Crimea by military means... I am absolutely confident that this can be resolved diplomatically

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

My prediction is that this will definitely not happen (The disintegration of Russia)

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

No, I don't see a scenario in which this will happen (Answer to the question "Will the war affect Moscow in 2023?")

Completely came true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

It seems to me that there will be no border closures. They will use it as a scare tactic... but it's unlikely they will decide to implement it (In Russia)

Completely came true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

Yes (Answer to the question: 'Will those who were awarded in this war be stripped of their awards?' (From the side of Russia))

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

No, they won't attack (Answer to the question: 'Will Israel and Azerbaijan attack Iran?')

Awaiting results

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

Definitely... in mid-January (In response to the question: "Will there be a second wave of mobilization?")

Did not come true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

Yes, of course (Answer to the question: 'Will Navalny live to see the BRF?' (Beautiful Russia of the Future))

Did not come true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

My prediction is a year (Answer to the question: 'When will the war be over?')

Did not come true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

I think that at this stage of the war, the likelihood of the use of nuclear weapons is extremely low

Completely came true

Leonid Volkov

ru → en

There will be no mobilization. General mobilization will not be declared (May 9, 2022)

Completely came true