screenshot

Predictions and promises monitor | ru | en

Ranking Predictions Authors

Valery Solovei

Political scientist (Russia)


Predictions
52
Verified
23
Came true
35%
Rating
4.30

New Awaiting Verified

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Yes, with a high degree of probability, the freezing of deposits will take place (In Russia)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Who exactly will become his successor? That’s the key question. It won’t be Adam Kadyrov. Nothing of the sort (Adam Kadyrov will not succeed Ramzan Kadyrov)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

The Americans know that Taiwan won’t resist... Chinese won’t resist other Chinese

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I think he will manage to resolve the Greenland issue. And there’s already a plan. A referendum is held in Greenland. According to the polling data we know, out of 90,000 eligible voters, the majority supports independence, and then Greenland declares a free association with the United States... The issue is resolved without the use of military force

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I think, and I’m even confident, that we will reach a ceasefire and then a peace agreement. I believe this will happen next year. I know that very intense consultations are currently taking place between the Russian and American sides. I assume between the American and Ukrainian sides as well (In response to the question: "What changes can we expect in military and diplomatic updates during 2025?")

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

To release people from prisons, to carry out a political amnesty, a broad release—this is absolutely necessary, and it will be done next year. As far as I know, it will happen. However, the opposition has nothing to do with it; it will be done by those currently in power, for their own reasons

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

It’s not about Ukraine, the DPR and LPR, or Crimea; it’s about lifting sanctions. Otherwise, the Russian economy will collapse—I emphasize, it will collapse, contrary to what many experts claim. And the Russian leadership knows perfectly well that it will collapse next year. Therefore, they must ensure that sanctions are lifted or eased. To achieve this, they need a peace agreement or a truce with Ukraine that both the West and Ukraine would find acceptable enough to lift sanctions (If sanctions are not lifted, the Russian economy will collapse in 2025)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Neither 5 weeks, nor 5 months, nor 5 years will allow Ukraine to create nuclear weapons. This is not only due to political restrictions but also because of technical challenges... It is impossible to imagine a scenario where the West would support the development of a Ukrainian atomic bomb

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

And when they return, their weight, influence, and ability to affect the situation will become clear... I think they will be able to return next year, maybe even before summer. An opportunity will open up for them. Will they want to return? It will still be risky (About certain leaders of the Russian political opposition currently abroad)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Apparently, the personnel disposition will change very significantly by the end of this year. I think by about 75-80%, referring to the composition of the government, including ministers and the Prime Minister

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Most likely, there will also be early parliamentary elections

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

And who will become the new president of Russia? The new president is expected to emerge in the spring of next year. Early elections will be held

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

The new prime minister is expected to be appointed before the New Year, to be precise, by December 15th

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Resources for conducting intensive military operations will be exhausted by the spring of next year, in any case. In any case. This means that it will no longer be able to conduct military operations at the intensity with which the Russian Federation is currently operating

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

In the long run, the dollar will rise. I keep saying this. The dollar and the euro will rise (In relation to the ruble)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I don't think so. I don't see any prerequisites for a war in the Middle East (The answer to the question: "Will there be a major war in the Middle East?")

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Dmitry Patrushev will become the Prime Minister

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

From my point of view, the outcome of the Russian-Ukrainian confrontation will not be resolved on the battlefield. It will be resolved in Russia, as a result of a political crisis in the Russian Federation and the coming to power of new people. It will be resolved, not because Ukraine will achieve success

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Yes, they did nothing to him. We will see Yevgeny Viktorovich in Moscow next year. They did nothing to him. He is alive, healthy, and free." (About Prigozhin)

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

From my point of view, Iran will not intervene (In the war between Israel and Hamas)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

But they will appear. I want to assure you... evidence will be presented. Irrefutable evidence that the Russian president has passed away (That Putin died in October 2023)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I do not believe at all that this confrontation will drag on for that long (Commenting on the host's words about the possible prolongation of the war in Ukraine for 6-7 years)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I can tell you that the negotiations will begin in the fall. A preliminary decision has already been made by both sides regarding the negotiations (Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine)

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I don't think he will become a victim of the regime (About Igor Strelkov)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

They will not close it, by the way... they are currently unable to do so (YouTube in Russia)

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

It exists and exists. It will soon fall apart (CSTO)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I am confident that Ukraine will not do this (It will not enter Transnistria)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

When the turmoil leads to some political upheavals, then Alexei will be released... maybe next year... if not, then in about a year and a half (About Alexei Navalny)

Unverifiable

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I believe that it will be possible to avoid it (The Third World War)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

There will be conferences on the arrangement of the world after all this is over. A new security system in Europe will be developed, possibly without Russia or with Russia's weak involvement. There will be a new world order (After the end of the war in Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I think it will likely be Argentina in the final... probably the winner of the France vs. England match (About the 2022 FIFA World Cup)

Completely came true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Yashin will be free after Putin leaves power

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

This information will undoubtedly be confirmed. It is absolutely reliable (Information about the death of Tumso Abdurakhmanov)

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

A tribunal will be established... for some reason, I don't think that the main perpetrators will be there (Believes that the main criminals will not be punished)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I believe that such a tribunal will be established. I consider this possibility to be high (Regarding the war crimes of Russia)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

No, of course not. Why would they imprison him? (The answer to the question: "Will Fridman be imprisoned?" (Mikhail Fridman))

Completely came true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

A part of the Luhansk region, a part of the Zaporizhzhia region, and a part of the Kherson region will be left. This is practically already predetermined... it will have to be accepted (Russia will partially leave these regions)

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

It is absolutely certain that there will be no negotiations in the near future. Why would Ukraine want that?

Completely came true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I have serious doubts that there will be an offensive from Belarus (Towards Kyiv)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Next year, they will be next year (The presidential elections in Russia will be in 2023, not in 2024)

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

The second stage of mobilization has been decided to take place after the New Year

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Martial law will be extended to a large part of the country, at least to the capitals... this will happen after the New Year (In Russia)

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

There will be no fight to the death. Kherson will return to Ukraine

Completely came true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

As for a mass protest, no, it is not possible at the moment. There will be local excesses (Response to the question: 'Is a mass protest possible?' (In Russia, apparently in connection with mobilization))

Completely came true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

In the coming months, I wouldn't count on anything like that (Response to the comment: 'As soon as Putin loses the presidential seat, he will be killed immediately.')

Completely came true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

I personally have no doubt that these territories will not become part of Russia (About the so-called LPR, DPR, and other occupied territories)

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Russia will maintain its unity; this is not the Soviet Union... There may be problems in the event of a political crisis... but these problems are unlikely to be serious enough to lead to the disintegration of Russia; from my point of view, this is practically unbelievable

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

As for the fate of those fighters who were taken at Azovstal, I think they will be tried... a public trial will be held to prove that Ukraine is permeated with Nazi ideology... as for the others... it is possible that they could be exchanged

Awaiting results

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Everyone understands that the future will come. It will be without Putin. It will arrive much sooner than previously thought. Not after 2024, but apparently, not just apparently, but definitely in 2023

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

In the fall, I expect the beginning of an elite crisis related to the president's inability to continue fulfilling his duties

Did not come true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

Yes, you are absolutely right. As far as I know, the president of Russia has made this decision; the only thing is that he hasn't set a date... it is necessary to mobilize 500,000 people (About a possible mobilization)

Completely came true

Valery Solovei

ru → en

And to his inner circle, he said that he is waiting until the end of January. If we do not see significant progress in the negotiations by the end of January... then we will begin a military solution. Almost everything is ready for a military solution (Putin is ready for a military invasion of Ukraine)

Completely came true