Valery Solovei
Political scientist (Russia)
Valery Solovei
ru → en
Resources for conducting intensive military operations will be exhausted by the spring of next year, in any case. In any case. This means that it will no longer be able to conduct military operations at the intensity with which the Russian Federation is currently operating
Awaiting results May 31, 2025Valery Solovei
ru → en
And when they return, their weight, influence, and ability to affect the situation will become clear... I think they will be able to return next year, maybe even before summer. An opportunity will open up for them. Will they want to return? It will still be risky (About certain leaders of the Russian political opposition currently abroad)
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Valery Solovei
ru → en
It’s not about Ukraine, the DPR and LPR, or Crimea; it’s about lifting sanctions. Otherwise, the Russian economy will collapse—I emphasize, it will collapse, contrary to what many experts claim. And the Russian leadership knows perfectly well that it will collapse next year. Therefore, they must ensure that sanctions are lifted or eased. To achieve this, they need a peace agreement or a truce with Ukraine that both the West and Ukraine would find acceptable enough to lift sanctions (If sanctions are not lifted, the Russian economy will collapse in 2025)
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Valery Solovei
ru → en
To release people from prisons, to carry out a political amnesty, a broad release—this is absolutely necessary, and it will be done next year. As far as I know, it will happen. However, the opposition has nothing to do with it; it will be done by those currently in power, for their own reasons
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Valery Solovei
ru → en
I think, and I’m even confident, that we will reach a ceasefire and then a peace agreement. I believe this will happen next year. I know that very intense consultations are currently taking place between the Russian and American sides. I assume between the American and Ukrainian sides as well (In response to the question: "What changes can we expect in military and diplomatic updates during 2025?")
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Valery Solovei
ru → en
Most likely, there will also be early parliamentary elections
Awaiting results September 20, 2026Valery Solovei
ru → en
I think he will manage to resolve the Greenland issue. And there’s already a plan. A referendum is held in Greenland. According to the polling data we know, out of 90,000 eligible voters, the majority supports independence, and then Greenland declares a free association with the United States... The issue is resolved without the use of military force
Awaiting results December 31, 2026Valery Solovei
ru → en
Yes, with a high degree of probability, the freezing of deposits will take place (In Russia)
Awaiting results December 31, 2026Valery Solovei
ru → en
I do not believe at all that this confrontation will drag on for that long (Commenting on the host's words about the possible prolongation of the war in Ukraine for 6-7 years)
Awaiting results September 21, 2029Valery Solovei
ru → en
I believe that such a tribunal will be established. I consider this possibility to be high (Regarding the war crimes of Russia)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
A tribunal will be established... for some reason, I don't think that the main perpetrators will be there (Believes that the main criminals will not be punished)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
I don't think he will become a victim of the regime (About Igor Strelkov)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
In the long run, the dollar will rise. I keep saying this. The dollar and the euro will rise (In relation to the ruble)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
Neither 5 weeks, nor 5 months, nor 5 years will allow Ukraine to create nuclear weapons. This is not only due to political restrictions but also because of technical challenges... It is impossible to imagine a scenario where the West would support the development of a Ukrainian atomic bomb
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
The Americans know that Taiwan won’t resist... Chinese won’t resist other Chinese
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
But they will appear. I want to assure you... evidence will be presented. Irrefutable evidence that the Russian president has passed away (That Putin died in October 2023)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
Who exactly will become his successor? That’s the key question. It won’t be Adam Kadyrov. Nothing of the sort (Adam Kadyrov will not succeed Ramzan Kadyrov)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
I have serious doubts that there will be an offensive from Belarus (Towards Kyiv)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
There will be conferences on the arrangement of the world after all this is over. A new security system in Europe will be developed, possibly without Russia or with Russia's weak involvement. There will be a new world order (After the end of the war in Ukraine)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
I believe that it will be possible to avoid it (The Third World War)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
I am confident that Ukraine will not do this (It will not enter Transnistria)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
It exists and exists. It will soon fall apart (CSTO)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
Russia will maintain its unity; this is not the Soviet Union... There may be problems in the event of a political crisis... but these problems are unlikely to be serious enough to lead to the disintegration of Russia; from my point of view, this is practically unbelievable
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
I personally have no doubt that these territories will not become part of Russia (About the so-called LPR, DPR, and other occupied territories)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
As for the fate of those fighters who were taken at Azovstal, I think they will be tried... a public trial will be held to prove that Ukraine is permeated with Nazi ideology... as for the others... it is possible that they could be exchanged
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
I don't think so. I don't see any prerequisites for a war in the Middle East (The answer to the question: "Will there be a major war in the Middle East?")
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
From my point of view, Iran will not intervene (In the war between Israel and Hamas)
Awaiting resultsValery Solovei
ru → en
From my point of view, the outcome of the Russian-Ukrainian confrontation will not be resolved on the battlefield. It will be resolved in Russia, as a result of a political crisis in the Russian Federation and the coming to power of new people. It will be resolved, not because Ukraine will achieve success
Awaiting results