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In my opinion, they will raise it (In response to the question: "What's your forecast? Will they raise the VAT, and really to 22 percent?" (In Russia))

Is there a chance for 14%? In my opinion, there's no chance of that. There is a chance for 16% by the end of the year, but (Referring to the key rate in Russia, stating that it won't be 14% by the end of 2025)

Vance, it's unlikely that anyone will bring him to power. No one needs him (JD Vance)

The Central Bank will most likely cut the rate to 16% at its next meeting

There won't be a collapse. No catastrophic 120 rubles per dollar; there's no need for that

I believe that any conferences of this kind will take place regardless of what is happening. It’s unlikely they will be canceled (Response to the question: "French President Macron canceled the international conference on the recognition of the Palestinian state, which was supposed to take place on June 17 in New York. Officially, the decision was said to be made in light of Israel’s strikes on Iran. Could this affect whether the G7 summit in Calgary, Canada, will take place or not?")

If there is a strike on the oil and gas sector, then according to my estimates, the increase in hydrocarbon prices — for example, oil — will be around 17–22 percent (A strike by Israel on Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure)

I think so. This process is not quick. Israel has certain limitations, including with its armed forces. Iran and the Islamic world must somehow respond to the destruction of some infrastructure (Response to the question: "Do you think this will last a month?" (The war between Israel and Iran))

As of now, the way we see it, we won’t even reach a hundred by mid-summer (The ruble-to-dollar rate won’t reach 100 rubles per dollar by mid-summer)

Trump’s presidency is over. Dear Donald, where will you be working next? Most likely, the Democrats will come back to power again ((Comment on the remark that J.D. Vance might become the next U.S. president.))

Most likely, Armenia will lose the Zangezur Corridor. And I don’t think it will be a particularly bloody war. I believe there will be a border conflict, so to speak, with some casualties—probably not many, but still

Zaluzhny will become president

Most likely, Zelensky will resign this year

Vladimir Vladimirovich has one very strong trait, a very strong one. It lies in the fact that he has transitioned from being the executive director of a joint-stock company to becoming its majority shareholder. There are both advantages and disadvantages to this. The advantage is that he will see things through to the very end, no matter what. The disadvantage is that any succession operations or transfer of power are completely impossible (Talking about Putin)

VV will remain in power for quite a while, as he’s only 72. I would estimate at least another 10 years of his rule (By VV, he means Putin)

By August, 112-117 (The exchange rate of the Dollar in Russia by August 2025)

Based on my calculations, our group estimated that until May, the exchange rate will remain favorable at 105-107 (The exchange rate of the Dollar in Russia until May 2025)

To answer your question, the rate will be raised to 23-25%, but it will be raised a bit later because you can’t spoil the timing (Referring to the key interest rate in Russia)

I’ll be honest, in my opinion, Serbia will not join the EU in the coming years

December-January will be about liberating the Kursk region

A key rate reduction, I think, is something we won’t see in the next six months (In response to the question: "Should I take out a loan now or wait for the key rate to drop?")

The stability of the Russian ruble. So, the range of 93-97—I don’t really see the need for it to reach, maybe touch, 98-99, but that’s unlikely (The ruble exchange rate will be 93-97 per dollar until the end of 2024)

An end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict is nowhere near possible right now

That’s a highly unlikely scenario for the rate to be 15% next year. Aliens are more likely to arrive (In response to: "By the start of the second quarter... they might start lowering the rate, maybe even to 15% in 2025. What do you think of that?" (Referring to Russia's key interest rate))

It's clear that within the next 3-5 years, the retirement age will be raised

Inflation next year, according to our group's calculations, is estimated to be around 30-35 percent

Right now, renting is more advantageous. Buying an apartment doesn’t make sense at the moment. Prices won’t drop. The real estate market cools down very slowly... It takes 5-7 years for the real estate market to cool off, so prices aren’t going to fall

The demarcation agreement, which I think everyone is pushing towards... will most likely come in 2025, with the first attempts to establish some kind of deal regarding authority and territories (Between Russia and Ukraine)

We are expecting the next meeting, at which we will most likely see an increase in the rate (At the next meeting, the Central Bank will raise the key rate again)

The deal will be resumed. I don't know the timeline. But as I understand it will be before the elections in the Russian Federation (The grain deal between Russia, Ukraine, and Turkey)

The average European is much more concerned about the price of their food and gas, which would be beneficial for them if it were supplied directly through a pipeline from Russia. Therefore, as soon as the escalation of the conflict is reduced, the pipeline will be restored within three months, and Europe will immediately return to Russian gas in full volume. No one is dismantling the gas transportation system

It is clear that they will not transition their defense industry to a military footing

September, October, November... Most likely, they will keep it in the range of 93-97 (The exchange rate of the dollar in Russia)

If long-range artillery can still be seen on the battlefields this year, then regarding aviation... to expect that it will appear before spring 2024 is absolute illusion (Ukraine is unlikely to receive F-16s before spring 2024)

Xi Jinping is expected to visit Russia. This is normal (In March 2023)

No, it will not end. There is not the slightest chance of it ending (Answer to the question: "Will the war end this year?" (The war in Ukraine))

Yes, of course (Answer to the question: 'Will Putin remain in power?')

Solidar, well, in my assessment,... I understand that most likely the Ukrainian military will be withdrawing

I believe that the chances of Belarus not being directly involved in the military conflict are quite high

Yes, there is Latvia's position that it wants to propose to the European Union to set the price cap at 30. Well, they won't set it (Price cap on Russian oil at 30)

Nothing will fall apart... on the contrary, it will be a symbol that we need to unite around the great leader (Response to the remark that if Crimea is de-occupied, everything in Russia will fall apart)

Considering that civilian infrastructure is being destroyed, part of Kyiv will definitely be evacuated

Even the loss of Kherson will not break the backbone... it is an important blow, but (The backbone of Putin's Russia)

And reparations, who’s going to pay them? (Implying that Russia won’t pay reparations)

Some say that the flag of Russia will fly in Kyiv, while others say that the flag of Ukraine will fly in Moscow. In principle, neither will happen

Somewhere in July, I said that the hot phase would be in October, and the signing of the first agreements, so to speak, on a ceasefire, which will certainly be violated, would be in November (He believes that negotiations, at least about a ceasefire, will begin in November and that the parties will at least talk)

NATO will not get involved in this mess

Is there a chance of this? Honestly, I assess it as unlikely (About Ukraine's accelerated accession to NATO. He argues that it would require "bending the procedure.")

On the 28th-29th, there will be a point when the borders will be closed; it will not be a closure of the borders for exit... Men will not be allowed to leave without a certificate from the military enlistment office... Officially, no one will close the border

Still, if we take Iran... is there a chance for some kind of revolutionary scenario? Well, I think not... unless the military gets involved (About a possible revolution in Iran due to the September protests, and stating that the military is unlikely to get involved)

I think they will implement the digital ruble for transactions among so-called friendly countries

Sanctions will work for decades... sanctions are serious and long-term (Regarding sanctions against Russia)

Thus, they will try to bring it to an average of 71-74... but physically, the rate of 67-69 is the maximum they can achieve by December... this is assuming they don't 'fool around like complete idiots.' (About the exchange rate of the ruble to the dollar)

I think they will leave him like Nazarbayev, and then slowly remove him (Response to the question: 'Will Putin remain in power or will he be ousted?')