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The Central Bank will most likely cut the rate to 16% at its next meeting

If there is a strike on the oil and gas sector, then according to my estimates, the increase in hydrocarbon prices — for example, oil — will be around 17–22 percent (A strike by Israel on Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure)

As of now, the way we see it, we won’t even reach a hundred by mid-summer (The ruble-to-dollar rate won’t reach 100 rubles per dollar by mid-summer)

By August, 112-117 (The exchange rate of the Dollar in Russia by August 2025)

Based on my calculations, our group estimated that until May, the exchange rate will remain favorable at 105-107 (The exchange rate of the Dollar in Russia until May 2025)

A key rate reduction, I think, is something we won’t see in the next six months (In response to the question: "Should I take out a loan now or wait for the key rate to drop?")

An end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict is nowhere near possible right now

December-January will be about liberating the Kursk region

The stability of the Russian ruble. So, the range of 93-97—I don’t really see the need for it to reach, maybe touch, 98-99, but that’s unlikely (The ruble exchange rate will be 93-97 per dollar until the end of 2024)

We are expecting the next meeting, at which we will most likely see an increase in the rate (At the next meeting, the Central Bank will raise the key rate again)

If long-range artillery can still be seen on the battlefields this year, then regarding aviation... to expect that it will appear before spring 2024 is absolute illusion (Ukraine is unlikely to receive F-16s before spring 2024)

Yes, of course (Answer to the question: 'Will Putin remain in power?')

The deal will be resumed. I don't know the timeline. But as I understand it will be before the elections in the Russian Federation (The grain deal between Russia, Ukraine, and Turkey)

Somewhere in July, I said that the hot phase would be in October, and the signing of the first agreements, so to speak, on a ceasefire, which will certainly be violated, would be in November (He believes that negotiations, at least about a ceasefire, will begin in November and that the parties will at least talk)

No, it will not end. There is not the slightest chance of it ending (Answer to the question: "Will the war end this year?" (The war in Ukraine))

September, October, November... Most likely, they will keep it in the range of 93-97 (The exchange rate of the dollar in Russia)

Even the loss of Kherson will not break the backbone... it is an important blow, but (The backbone of Putin's Russia)

Still, if we take Iran... is there a chance for some kind of revolutionary scenario? Well, I think not... unless the military gets involved (About a possible revolution in Iran due to the September protests, and stating that the military is unlikely to get involved)

Yes, there is Latvia's position that it wants to propose to the European Union to set the price cap at 30. Well, they won't set it (Price cap on Russian oil at 30)

Xi Jinping is expected to visit Russia. This is normal (In March 2023)

Solidar, well, in my assessment,... I understand that most likely the Ukrainian military will be withdrawing

On the 28th-29th, there will be a point when the borders will be closed; it will not be a closure of the borders for exit... Men will not be allowed to leave without a certificate from the military enlistment office... Officially, no one will close the border

Thus, they will try to bring it to an average of 71-74... but physically, the rate of 67-69 is the maximum they can achieve by December... this is assuming they don't 'fool around like complete idiots.' (About the exchange rate of the ruble to the dollar)